Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG BLACK VEIL Nov07 Oct01       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Nov07 Oct26 Oct12     (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 6.00    
ONE MORE SISTER Aug23 Aug10       (caramori ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 8.00    
TOUGH GAME Nov16 Nov04 Oct06 Sep07 Aug27 (ovando melvin)CEDILLO MAURO 113 30.00    
ARAYA Oct28 Oct12 Sep09 Aug18 Jul04 (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
BABY BONNIE         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 15.00 7% 14.10    
SWEET TORI PAT Nov20 Nov07 Oct05     (jackson d)YARANGA Y 118 15.00    
SCR  MO'S ROYAL FLUSH         (reed e)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 7% 12.60    
JOHN'S SECRET Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Aug22   (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 118 4.00    
 
MNR-2   11/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AVA'S DESTINY Oct13 Jan22       (chapman jam)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 8.00 6% 14.70    
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Nov22 Nov08 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 (erwin andre)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Oct30 Oct17 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 (ewell sr)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
SCR  HALOFIED Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 Jul17 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
MYRRH Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 2.50    
VEGAS SLIPPERS Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Jun26 Jun12 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
LA MAMA CHULA Sep28 Sep18       (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
 
MNR-3   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWINGIN FRIAR Oct23 Oct02 Sep06 Jul05 Jun21 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TRICK Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 Sep29 Aug24 (simone michael )MUSARRO JOE 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
JACK'S DREAM Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
DISTORTED LIMITS Nov14 Nov02 Oct11 Oct03 Sep05 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Oct23 Sep29 Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 (fiesman r)CORREA L 115 12.00    
VOLTE FACE Nov01 Sep28 Sep20 Jul26 Jun19 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
SCR  GO CASH GO Sep12 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (engleha)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
MNR-4   11/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIVETTE Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 (tucker jim)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
SCR  VAPORIZED Jul11 Jun22       (montano w)CORREA L 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
DIAMOND MONEY Nov15 Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 (romero osca)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
ELUSIVE MOTION Oct31 Oct16 Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
HE'S A FINE MAN Nov23 Nov07 Oct30 Oct12 Oct05 (larue steve)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00    
ROCKIN MACHEN Nov23 Oct17 Oct11 Sep26 Jul10 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.40 28% 2.60    
STRONG SAFETY Nov07 Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 Jul01 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00    
 
MNR-5   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADING INDICATOR Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 Aug24 (welsh gar)CORREA L 120 4.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  TALE OF V K Oct12 Sep06 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Nov02 Oct18 Oct03     (herri)MONSERRATE A 123 15.00    
CYBERBURG Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Sep08   (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
CASSIE'S RAINBOW Oct17 Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 Sep12 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 120 1.00 26% 2.80    
BEND THE KNEE Jun21 May30 May01 Mar31 Mar02 (cain cr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
AVENIDA MANANA Aug29 Jul31 Jul23 Jun27 Jun14 (larue steve)DIAZ I 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
MNR-6   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Jun13 May23 Apr06 Mar10 Feb23 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
GIRO KATE Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 Aug16 Jun27 (barker james )CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.50    
CURT'S ANGEL Nov01 Oct23 Oct10 Sep13 Aug29 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  OPPS MY BAD Nov09 Oct25 Sep26 Sep13 Aug28 (murillo r)CORREA L 120 5.00 10% 8.90    
SHANNON'S GIRL Nov15 Nov02 Sep13 Aug15 Jul13 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
PLEASANT BUFFY Oct25 Sep04 Aug16     (reffner tara)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  BELLA BASORA Nov02 Oct16 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
SWEET BELEN Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug28 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
 
MNR-7   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND YOUR OWN Oct02 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
MON PARADIS Nov02 Oct23 Oct10 Sep28 Aug17 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00 6% 15.00    
LUCKY TUESDAY Nov14 Oct26 Oct19 Sep16 Aug23 (zircher robert)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
SCR  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST Oct31 Sep20 Aug03 May18 Apr25 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 8.00    
SCR  BLANQUITA NIEVE Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug23 (torres )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
STARTED WITH STARS Oct11 Sep19 Jul13 Jun06 May18 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
GRAY ROYALITY Nov14 Oct26 Sep15 Aug15 Jul20 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 120 6.00    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Nov09 Oct30 Oct11 Sep05 Aug05 (mcente)ENRIQUEZ JR 123 5.00    
ROYAL COUNTY Oct17 Aug08 May30 Mar05 Feb12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
 
MNR-8   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG HEART May15 Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 15.00    
FIRST CROWNED Nov17 Nov01 Sep20 Aug08 Jul12 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00    
MISBEHAVED Nov14 Oct17 Oct02 Aug27 Jul01 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
OLD FORTY FIVE Oct30 Oct18 Sep27 Aug29 Aug09 (baird john )LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 12.00    
POUR ME A DOUBLE Nov07 Oct25 Oct16 Jul20 Jun27 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
PITMAN Oct11 Sep26 Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
OMEGA GOLD Oct25 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov17 Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 Aug12 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00    
ANGUSONIC Oct16 Aug31 Aug07 Jun27 Jun10 (mcentee paul)JURADO EDDIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CONSIDER ME Nov17 Nov08 Oct12 Sep17 Sep02 (inirio carlos)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.