Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Oct05 Sep16 Aug18 Jul20   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  VAN HAVEN Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 Aug12   (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  TIZ DETERMINED Feb18         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
4  TURBIE Sep03 Aug01 Jul09 Jun14   (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 ★    
5  MYRA FLEENER Oct05 Sep14 Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 (maymo jorge )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 ★    
6  MO MUMMY Sep13 Aug17 Jul19     (king lawrence)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY LAD Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 57% 0.80    
2  NAZARENO Oct04 Apr29 Apr06 Mar15 Feb08 (carpio er)VARGAS L 121 6.00    
3  ADY'S MUNNY Oct04 Sep20 Aug17 Aug05 May11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  GOSIGNAL Mar09 Feb11 Jan04     (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
5  SIBERIAN Oct04 Sep07 Aug18     (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Oct09 Sep15 Aug31     (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 ★    
7  COWBOY MALICE Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul14 May27 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 13% 6.80    
8  ON THE RIM Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 May11   (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 10.00    
 
PEN-3   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTOMATED TELLER Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 6% 15.80    
2  LOIS'S CAUSE Jun11 Apr21 Feb22 Jan28 Jan07 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  TALENTED TAPPER Oct05 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
4  FREYSINGER Oct11 Aug26 Jul01     (kulp brando)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  BROOKLYN MOJO Aug19 Jul21 Jun24 Jun09 May19 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 30.00    
6  FOLK HERO Sep23 Aug14 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  MIDDLE ISLAND Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Jul29 Jun26 (d'angelo r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 4.00 29% 2.50    
8  PARABLE Sep23 Sep08 Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00    
 
PEN-4   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA LENA Sep23 Sep08 Jun30 May11 Apr22 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 1.60 15% 5.70    
2  DENALI RAE Oct12 Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 Jul06 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 4.00 ★    
3  PHANCY PHILLY Oct12 Sep07 Aug02 Jul12 May25 (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
4  AMEN SYLVIA Jul01 Jun11 May20 Apr27   (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Oct12 Sep23 Aug31 Aug12 Jul21 (ferreira fer)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
PEN-5   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNERS WIN Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 12.00    
2  THE LITTLE SPROUT Oct07 Aug17 Jul08 Jun16 May12 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 4.50 ★    
3  MISTER GARY Sep22 Sep08 Aug24 Jun23 Jun03 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMERS REWARD Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
5  DAKOTA OUTLAW Oct12 Sep22 Aug24     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  ACT OF VALOR Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 (mick r)AGUILAR M 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-6   10/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER FIFI         (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
2  TOUCH OF MADNESS         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  PEACH BE WITH Q         (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
4  MADISON COUNTY Sep15 Aug11       (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
5  OUTSPEND Oct05 Aug11 Jul27     (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
6  MORGANS COVE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
PEN-7   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Oct05 Jul27 Jun30 Jun22 Jun03 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 ★    
2  TRADERS LUCK Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  MR. MOX Oct08 Sep05 Jul27 Jul03 Jun11 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 1.40 ★    
4  BOYS OF QUEENS Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 120 12.00 7% 12.40    
5  COAST TO COAST Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-8   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Sep22 Sep02 Jun23 May25 Apr29 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
2  SHATTER ME Sep07 Aug05 Jul07 Apr29 Apr08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
3  RAECHEL'S RISK Oct12 Aug31 Aug05 Jul13 Jun16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HILL VALLEY Sep09 Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 ★    
5  PARANOIA Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul27 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
6  LUSCIOUS LOLA Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  MARIE FROM PARIE Aug11 Jun23 May27 Apr28 Apr08 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.