Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYMN'S SYLVIA Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (shea lydee)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
2  LADY MARVEL Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 (skawinski ca)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  TOTAL DISTRACTION Sep21 Aug15 Jul27 Jun13 Jun06 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
4  SAVE THE DRAMA Sep20 Sep06 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  DONALD Sep20 Sep12 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 (hogue l)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
6  ANOTHER SOFTBALL Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 (schaber debbie)ALLEN M 124 3.50 ★    
 
PID-2   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDEO STAR Sep05         (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
2  YOU LOOKING AT ME         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
3  PARISIAN SUMMER Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jun16   (hendriks)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 ★    
4  BE SHARP Sep15 Sep05       (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 8.00    
5  LA PANDA Sep15 Aug30 Aug16     (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
6  SPYENTIST Sep11 Sep03       (pappada micha)WALKER M 121 10.00    
7  MOM'S TOWN Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
PID-3   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S REDNECKER Sep15 Aug08 Jul20 May21   (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  MIDNIGHT CHOIR Sep15 Aug30       (hendriks richard)MARTINEZ W 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  JULIETTE FALLS         (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
4  DETERMINED HOPE Sep18 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 May26 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 ★    
5  FLOAT AWAY Sep15 Aug30 Aug15 Jul20 Jun30 (bourke john)STANLEY O 121 6.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT FAME Sep22 Sep15       (carr-rozantz c)ROMERO RAMON 124 3.00 ★    
 
PID-4   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FOR LOVE Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 3.00 7% 13.30    
3  SOUTH HOUSE Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24   (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  GOLDEN OLDIE Sep21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA Sep15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May31 (es)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00    
6  SO MOXIE Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul06 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
7  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (pappada )MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
PID-5   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT GOAR Aug31 Jul21 Apr18 Mar24 Mar08 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 3.50 ★    
2  FUEL THE BERN Sep19 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul04 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
3  BEAR CREEK Sep12 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 ★    
4  KING ECLIPTICAL Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  QUARTERMASTER Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun29 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
6  SAMAY (PER) Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 ★    
7  BLAKENSTEIN Aug22 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 Apr15 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN DADDY Sep19 Aug01 Jul12 Jun29 Jun13 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  CREATIVE CHOICE Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 6.00    
3  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Sep21 Sep12 Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 (rojas eduardo)WALKER M 118 15.00    
4  SUMMER PALACE Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  NOT SO EASY Sep15 Aug24 Feb23 Jan26   (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TITRATE Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 Jul12 (worton dorot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
7  SPEED WAY Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 Jun03 May22 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO TIME TO YAWN Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 May26   (fiesman robert)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
9  RICHARD HOOTY Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun07 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  BAHAMIAN PARK Sep19 Sep12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul12 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   10/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES DAY Sep05         (wismer glenn )WALKER M 117 8.00 ★    
2  JUSTA WARRIOR Sep17 Aug14 Jul22     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
3  BACK TO OHIO Aug13 Jul08 Jun23     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  A NITE IN CAIRO Aug20 Jul26       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 20.00    
5  BEL PENSIERO Aug28 Aug12       (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 10.00    
6  GRAND OAK (IRE) Sep06 Aug20 May20 Apr21   (motion graha)ORTIZ L 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  ESTABLISHMENT         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 115 20.00    
8  DAMASO Sep01 Aug07 Jul16 Jun08   (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 6.00    
9  JILL JITTERBUG Sep19         (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 117 15.00 6% 14.50    
10  ELSA'S ROCKET Sep20 Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 117 20.00    
SCR  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Oct01 Sep15 Aug28 Aug07 Jul21 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABE HONESTLY Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 May30 Mar02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
2  GOLDEN OAK Sep19 Sep08 Aug24 Jul26 Jul19 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jul05 Jun13 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.60    
4  MY BOY BLUE Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun11 (kurtinec)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  GENERALONAMISSION Sep19 Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  SHOSHA Sep11 Aug15 Jun28 Jun05   (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 119 20.00    
7  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Sep19 Sep08 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (cheeks joseph)DELGADO DAVID 119 12.00    
8  BUMMER Aug24 Jul29 Jul13 Jun23   (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00 ★    
9  OLE G MAN Sep20 Aug29 Aug18 Aug01 Jul18 (carr-rozantz )WALKER M 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
10  HOMEMADE MOONSHINE Sep19 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 (rotunno sydne)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
11  AMERICAN CHAOS Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  LUCKY NINETEEN Sep21 Sep08 Aug17 Jul27 May06 (roman d)ROMERO RAMON 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.