Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(9/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(9/2/4)-(3/7/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4)-(9/2/4)-(9/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/2/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(1/4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(1/4/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/4)-(1/4/8/6)-(4/9/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6)-(1/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/6)-(4/9/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/6)-(4/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/1)-(4/9/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/1)-(4/9/5/1)-(4/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/1)-(4/10/9/5/7)-(2/9/3/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-6   WIN (4/10/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/5/7)-(4/10/9/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/5/7)-(4/10/9/5/7)-(4/10/9/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/9/5/7)-(2/9/3/7/1) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (4/10/9/5/7)-(2/9/3/7/1)-(11/6/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (2/9/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/7/1)-(2/9/3/7/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/7/1)-(2/9/3/7/1)-(2/9/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/3/7/1)-(11/6/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (11/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/8/10)-(11/6/1/8/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (11/6/8/10)-(11/6/1/8/10)-(11/6/1/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YACHT INTENTIONS Apr24 Sep10       (rojas mu)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
STRATEGYFORYOU Nov27 Nov13 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROWDY WARRIOR Apr24 Mar14 Feb27 Jan09   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
CHIEF CRAZY MOON Oct16 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAST LEARNER Sep26 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jul04 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 125 2.50 20% 4.10    
WE CALLED SOL Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
ANCHISES Oct06 Aug30 Jul06 Apr27 Oct13 (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
PID-2   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 (morrell just)AYALA J 123 20.00    
WROTE IN STONE Oct17 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Jul30 (fennessy john)STOKES J 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
AKAMAI Mar12 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 Dec05 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
EXTRA MEDIUM Oct24 Oct14 Sep26 Sep11 Aug27 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 123 12.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  ICING Jan18 Dec07 Nov16 Oct25 Aug11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 123 3.00    
SCR  ENJOY THE MUSIC Oct17 Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 Aug06 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50    
GENIUS May06 Oct20 Oct07 Sep29 Sep11 (inman rober)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 30.00    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 10.00    
THE SINNER IS YOU Oct17 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Jun26 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
PID-3   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Apr18 Sep08 Aug12 Jul22 Jul13 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOOTLEGGERS WIFE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
MOMS TRIBUTE Nov12 Oct12       (brafford mich)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HALLOWEEN FUN by EL PRADO (IRE))
SOUPER UPGRADE Apr25 Sep13 Aug22     (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SWEET FORTUNE by CANDY RIDE)
PINCARA         (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARACARO out of FANCY PINSTRIPES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
THY NAME IS WOMAN Oct05 Aug30 Aug12 Jul26 Jun22 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
BLOODY COLORS WAVE Sep11 Aug17       (potts g)MARTINEZ W 125 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVERYONELOVESJIMMY by JIMMY CREED)
WAITINGFORTHELIGHT Mar22 Feb13 Jan17 Dec11   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 19% 4.10    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FRAUDULENTFOOTNOTE by MORE THAN READY)
WALL STREET MAGIC May09 Apr18 Mar21 Mar01 Feb12 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of WEATHERURNOT by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
 
PID-4   05/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT NOW Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan16 Dec14 (girten t)GALLARDO A 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN May09 Apr23 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 (manning joh)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00    
SCR  REAL MIKEY May02 Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 15.00    
SARATOGA GAZE Apr19 Mar21 Mar05 Feb09 Jan04 (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
PRIYANKA Apr22 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 Sep14 (bouali wajdi)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
NEEDED Apr08 Dec23 Nov13 Nov04 Oct21 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALCOHOL Mar22 Mar07 Feb19 Jan01 Nov24 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00    
STASSI May07 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Oct08 (houghton thom)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
PID-5   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOVIA Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb12 Feb04 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 6.00    
GIO'S MY DAD Dec10 Nov25 Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 (herrington a)STOKES J 123 30.00    
RED WREN Apr13 Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
JOYS OF SUMMER Nov07 Oct15 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
BLAH BLAH WORLD Oct15 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 12.00    
SCR  PERFECT PINK Apr26 Mar03 Feb12 Dec11 Nov07 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
WINDY VALLEY May06 Apr12 Apr03 Mar18 Feb06 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
LAST GLIMMER Oct21 Oct17 Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOMENTOUS MISS Oct17 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 Jul11 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 123 3.00    
 
PID-6   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR ETHAN CHARLES Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 (houghton thoma)ALLEN D 123 20.00    
COUNTRY RUCKUS May03 Feb12 Dec17 Dec03 Oct17 (maddox mark )GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
TOP RECRUIT Apr11 Jan31 Dec22 Mar10 Aug12 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50    
WHERE YOU WAS Oct24 Oct02 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
BEAR CREEK Apr04 Mar15 Oct07 Sep20 Aug19 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
GET EVEN Apr16 Mar19 Dec28 Dec06 Oct24 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 5.00    
NO ANGEL May02 Mar19 Mar02 Jan31 Dec27 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) May04 Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Dec12 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
GOLDEN SODA Aug19 Aug07 Jul17 Jul08 Jun05 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 123 12.00 6% 16.90    
10  JOE PHILLIPS Sep20 Sep09 Jul10 Jun21 May29 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 15.00 26% 2.90    
11  OCEAN OF STORMS May02 Apr09 Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 123 5.00    
 
PID-7   05/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIQUANT Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 Jan26 Jan18 (ramsey nolan)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
STARGAZZERS DREAM Mar27 Mar14 Feb26 Jan25 Dec19 (danner k)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
TARSUS WARRIOR Feb28 Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00 9% 9.80    
FAR WEST Apr29 May20 Apr30 Feb21 Feb07 (silva pablo)STOKES J 123 15.00    
SCR  JOHN DUTTON Nov29 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00    
SCR  AIR ONE May27 Sep03 Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00    
MOR SPRING SPIRIT Jan15 Dec28 Nov29 Oct15 Sep25 (potts g)AYALA J 123 15.00 7% 14.10    
BRAGGART JOE Aug27 Aug05 Jul18 Jun19   (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
OSPREY Apr06 Mar29 Feb09 Jan19 Dec11 (arriagad)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
10  CARCONE Apr04 Mar27 Feb19 Jan17 Nov02 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 8.00    
11  GOOD DIRECTIONS Aug10 Jul22 Jul08     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50    
 
PID-8   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOHEMIAN STYLE May04 Mar28 Mar08 Jan25 Sep28 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 5.00    
RANSOM MONEY Jan15 Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug28 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
ONE AMERICA May09 Apr22 Apr01 Jan29 Jan08 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 123 15.00    
STONE'S THROW May04 Jun19 May20 Apr24 Mar08 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00    
SCR  DUKE SKYWALKER Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 15.00    
RUNNINGFORJOY May12 Mar01 Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
FLYING BLIND May06 Feb26 Feb06 Dec31 Dec12 (silva pablo)STOKES J 123 15.00    
SNOWNAME Apr23 Mar28 Mar15 Mar08 Feb09 (rice kevin)AYALA J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAMBLIN CHROME May02 Mar28 Feb28 Dec09 Dec03 (manning joh)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 30.00    
10  MAC'S CAT Oct10 Sep25 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  SCHNITTKER Jul03 May22 Mar30     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.