Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/3/6)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/6)-(4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4/5/2)-(5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(1/3/4/2)-(3/4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(3/4/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/4/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/9)-(3/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/9)-(3/4/2/9)-(3/4/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIO DE PAZ Apr23 Mar26 Jan31 Jan17 Jan01 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
2  SECESSION BREWING Apr16 Aug27 May24     (danner kelsey)ASHTON GAVIN 121 3.50    
3  CHAR Mar26 Mar07 Feb15 Jan30 Jan16 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  RABBLE Feb26 Feb12 Jan24 May25 Apr24 (caramori caio)SERPA ANGEL 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  SATIS Mar26 Feb15 Jan30 Jan15 Sep20 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 5.00    
6  SAUER POWER Mar21 Feb22 Jan18     (lobo h)LAZO HECTOR 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
BTP-2   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERY PATH Apr18 Mar21 Feb07 Dec06 Oct28 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
2  CAMPAIGN PROMISES Mar12 Dec11 Nov02 Sep14 Aug23 (moger jr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
3  HOLD MY CROWN Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb15 Jan26 (nocero carmino)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
4  I CAME TO DANCE Mar06 Feb20 Mar22 Jan24 Aug25 (campos paulo)MEZA JJ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RAPPING WISH Mar28 Aug14 Jul03 Jun05 Apr17 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  HULAH JAY Feb07 Jan16 Sep21 Sep13 Aug15 (clark le)SERPA ANGEL 123 4.50    
 
BTP-3   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C OUTWORK Mar19 Feb15 Dec13 Oct02 Aug31 (brafford )CORREA L 123 8.00    
2  THIS TIME Apr08 Sep11 Jul27 Jun07 May04 (maker j)MCKEE J 123 3.00    
3  RIVER BOAT May10 Apr25       (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  COASTLAND Aug10 Jul19 Jun26     (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  R C IRONSIDE Mar26 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec02 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00    
6  MR. BALI Mar19 Feb26 Sep26 Sep14 Aug16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIVING THE DREAM Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 Sep04 Aug15 (mendieta )CORREA L 123 5.00    
SCR  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Aug31 Aug08 Jul11 Sep30 Aug29 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
3  SHOWTIME BOY Feb08 Jan13 Dec19 Dec03 Nov07 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00    
4  JUST LIKE RAMBO Dec19 Sep20 Aug31     (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  COLONEL COOPER Dec19 Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.50    
6  ORFANO Mar18 Jan30 Dec27 Oct23 Oct03 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00 5% 17.70    
 
BTP-5   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST Apr09 Oct10 Aug19 Jul29 Jun20 (caramori caio)SERPA ANGEL 125 3.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  MRS CHOFIS Apr22 Feb27 Jan15 Dec27 Aug01 (call)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
3  TAKE FLIGHT NIGHT         (mott riley)MCKEE J 121 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  TIZ SWEET EMOTION Mar21 Jan29 Dec07 Nov13 Oct16 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00 76% 0.30    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
5  DAME STRAIGHT Mar17 Jan26 Aug16 Jul26 May31 (sturgeon )CORREA L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
6  DON'T WORRY Mar12 Jan31 Nov06 Oct11 Sep11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OVER THINKING by OVERANALYZE)
 
BTP-6   05/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE BISCUIT Apr19 Dec22 Nov05 Oct04 Sep25 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 8.00    
SCR  KING'S LEGACY Mar06 Feb22 Jan31 Jan23 Aug24 (chavez man)HERNANDEZ N 123 2.50    
3  JANUARY JUBILEE Mar12 Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Dec12 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SANDRINHA LOVE Apr16 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Feb05 (decker anna)MCKEE J 123 5.00    
5  LUCKY SHORE Dec19 Dec05 Oct28 Oct04 Aug23 (sturgeon )CORREA L 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  STORM CHARGING Apr22 Mar27 Mar08 Feb08 Jan16 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
7  GENERAL GINNY Jan13 Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 Oct05 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
BTP-7   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Feb14 Jan30 Jan02 Dec05 Oct03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  NO HANG CHARLIE Nov05 Oct20 Sep25 Sep05 Aug06 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JURA Mar28 Mar05 Jan18 Jan03 Dec11 (baez serg)CORREA L 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  CASANOVA KITTEN Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 Nov19 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  STRIKE PRICE Mar20 Mar06 Feb23 Feb06 Jan18 (schuette shery)PAULY SUMMER 118 20.00    
6  SCIENCE (IRE) Mar28 Mar19 Mar05 Feb07 Jan12 (adams nanc)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00    
7  CAPPY HOUR Mar12 Feb14 Jan30 Jan02 Dec05 (adams nancy)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00    
8  BREADMAN Apr12 Apr02 Mar15 Mar01 Jan29 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 6.00    
 
BTP-8   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSE OF PEARL Apr18 Mar29 Mar14 Jan01 Dec13 (decker anna)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 5.00    
2  TOUGH AS NAILS Feb05 Dec21 Oct17 Sep11 Aug26 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00 10% 8.70    
3  DEVIL OF PARADIS Mar07 Feb06 Oct16 Sep05 Aug09 (evans mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  LADY HAMILTON Mar26 Feb05 Jan23 Dec07 Oct23 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  NILE CANDY Feb26 Jan04 Aug26     (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 119 15.00    
6  VERY WEALTHY Apr16 Mar29 Mar07 Feb13 Jan16 (lucas wayne)MCKEE J 123 12.00    
7  FACTISIMFLASHY Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
8  SPARE A DIME Jun21 Jun05 May16 Apr25 Mar28 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
9  SLOW NO MO Nov07 Sep24       (corrigan )CORREA L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.