Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - April 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/6/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4/5)-(8/6/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4/5)-(8/6/3/4/5)-(8/6/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4/5)-(2/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4/5)-(2/4/1)-(8/2/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(8/2/6/3)-(2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/3)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/3)-(2/4/1)-(2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/6/7)-(5/2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(5/2/6/1)-(3/4/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(3/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(6/1/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/1)-(6/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/5/8)-(6/1/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
2  BAY MAGIC Mar24 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
3  TWERK Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 9% 10.30    
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Mar24 Feb28 Jan29 Jan13 Jun11 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Feb10 Jan13 Nov12 Oct29 Oct19 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PANAMANIAC Sep18 Sep09 Aug01 Jul03 Jun05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 28% 2.50    
7  ANGEL WINGS Mar24 Feb05 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
8  BUCKEYE ROSE Apr02 Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 (rivera r)RIVERA R 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
9  JETTIN PEGASUS Apr09 Mar24 Mar05 Jan29 Sep03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jul24 Jun17 May29 Apr10 Jan22 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMMISSIONER D Sep18 Sep02 Aug07 Feb07 Jan22 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  DRILL BLITZ Apr07 Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 Dec26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80    
4  MOST ADORABLE Apr09 Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 Jan13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
5  ROSETTA Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Jan15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
6  RIVER HUSTLER Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Feb05 Jan11 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50    
 
TDN-3   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ATHLETIC Apr01 Mar25 Feb06 Dec28 Dec06 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
2  DROPPING LEMONS Feb28 Feb05 Dec17 Nov28 Nov17 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr09 Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MANGORITA Mar24 Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 (vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 119 15.00    
5  TAYYARA Mar21 Aug19 Jul25 Mar06 Jan28 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
6  ELKO Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 6% 14.60    
7  ROYAL ITCH Mar19 Mar05 Nov20 Nov04 Oct04 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
8  MALI BALI Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan25 Jan07 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-4   04/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE WINS Mar18 Mar01 Feb12 Jan31 Jan17 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAN CONQUISTADORA Apr11 Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 Jan01 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  GUNNADIVA Mar25 Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan08 (vlaun manuel)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
4  LIME TREE Apr11 Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Dec26 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  ATHENA'S GHOST Mar31 Mar17 Feb13 Feb05 Jan16 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 1.20    
6  UAINTRIGHT Apr11 Mar25 Mar17 Feb27 Jan29 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
 
TDN-5   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAME FOR REAL Apr10 Mar31 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
2  BELLE BOTTOMS Mar20 Mar05 Dec30 Dec11 Nov13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.60 57% 0.80    
SCR  MY KINDA PARTY Apr10 Mar20 Mar01 Nov11 Oct26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00    
4  AMY'S STAR Mar31 Mar11 Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
5  OLYMPIC WINGS Mar20 Mar03 Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
6  GOOSEBUMPS Apr12 Oct26 Aug10 Jul19 Jun15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
7  MIESHA Mar30 Mar21 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOBIL ENSIGN Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan25 Jan06 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 115 10.00    
 
TDN-6   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING STATE Apr12 Apr01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIER ONE Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  VINCENZINO Apr11 Mar29 Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 (castillo jabdiel)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
4  K KID Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
5  FLORIDA GATOR Apr08 Mar28 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  ONLY GET'N BETTER Apr10 Mar18 Feb27 Dec17 Dec02 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
7  MAGICAL MONARCH Apr07 Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 Feb04 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 4.50    
 
TDN-7   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEISTHEHERO Apr08 Mar27 Mar05 Feb10 Jan25 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANCE MY WAY Apr11 Mar28 Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
3  HONEY BELLA Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Feb03 Jan15 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.00 54% 0.80    
4  AUSTRIAN NAVY Mar28 Mar15 Feb03 Jan03 Oct11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  HARTFUL HOPE Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 Dec28 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
6  CANDYMONIUM Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Nov18 Sep26 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 119 6.00    
7  GRACIE DANCE Apr01 Mar11 Jan24 Dec23 Nov27 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
8  SHARP AZ CAN BE Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Dec28 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Apr08 Mar25 Feb12 Jan29 Dec06 (erdel john)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  POOTOOGOOK Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 Jan26 Sep12 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00    
3  OCHO'S SECRET Apr01 Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Mar08 Feb08 Jan15 Nov12 Oct30 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 30.00    
5  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 Jan02 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 ★    
6  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 Dec09 Nov05 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 5.00 45% 1.20    
7  THEHILLONWOODSIDE Apr11 Mar12 Feb14 Jan04 Dec22 (trevino g)PEREZ A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAND WEDGE Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb28 Jan03 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WIZ THE BOMB Apr11 Apr01 Mar21 Feb13 Dec11 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.