Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5)-(1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/5)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/5)-(1/5/6)-(1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(1/4/5)-(6/7/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/7/3/8)-(8/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/8)-(8/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/8)-(8/2/6/7)-(6/1/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/7)-(6/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/7)-(6/1/2/4)-(8/2/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(8/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   04/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
WEST COAST SONG Mar13 Feb28 Feb08 Jan22 Dec29 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 21% 3.80    
ELKO Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (vecchio caryn)HERMAN NOEL 119 6.00    
ISLANDINTHESTREAM Mar24 Mar10 Jan24 Nov14 Oct24 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
HALCYON DAYS Mar25 Feb21 Jan30 Jan02 Oct31 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00    
QUEEN LEXI Mar24 Mar10 Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 (short thomas)PEREZ A 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
MVR-2   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAIL'S DANCER Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 Oct26 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
RUBY LAYNE Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov24 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
SARAH JANE Mar24 Mar10 Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
QUICK RENDEZVOUS Mar30 Mar18 Jan08 Dec02 Nov04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
CITY SIGNS Mar24 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
VILLAGE CAT Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
NICEASAKITTENSEYES Mar22 Sep11 Aug01 Jul17 Jul06 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   04/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERVAL Mar14 Jan03 Dec12 Oct08 Sep12 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by FLATTER out of LENGTH by WAR FRONT)
DIVINE EMPIRE Mar20 Mar01 Jan26 Oct04 Sep13 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 1.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
COSMIC LUTE Mar08 Feb08       (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 118 20.00    
  (by GOVENOR CHARLIE out of SEULEMENT by DISTORTED REALITY)
FOREST MANAGER         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 126 15.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SHAMROCK ROLL by PRIME TIMBER)
CREEK Mar20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Dec21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GREAT REVELATION Apr01 Mar12 Mar01 Feb12 Feb03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  SURF HAPPY Mar18 Jul30 Jul03 Jun09 Apr26 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  HALTER BOY Mar13 Dec19 Nov30 Oct26   (butcher james)SIMPSON JASON 118 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOPE TO WIN by MARIA'S MON)
 
MVR-4   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN RED RUN Mar25 Feb27 Jan16 Sep28 Sep16 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
PAINT THE TOWN Feb27 Feb03 Dec02 Nov14 Sep17 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 2.50    
PLAYING FOR KEEPS Mar18 Dec27 Dec09 Nov06 Jul25 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00    
KNOCK WOOD Mar25 Mar11 Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
LITTLE TOY GUNS Mar19 Jan27 Dec17 Aug30 Jul10 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAMMY'S TOY Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 Jan25 Dec23 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER BANKER Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50    
SWEET EMPIRE Mar10 Feb10 Sep30 Sep18 May18 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
TWERK Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
JETTIN PEGASUS Mar24 Mar05 Jan29 Sep03 Aug14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
LADY ABRIL Mar24 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
SPICE ICE Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan08 Nov06 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
PRICELESS PICTURE Mar10 Nov12 Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTA LAVISTA BABY Nov28 Nov13 Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
SACRED CONNECTION Mar30 Mar10 Mar01 Feb06 Jan24 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
CALI CRUISER Mar18 Feb27 Jan29 Nov13 Oct28 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 126 10.00    
JUST LIKE YOU Mar19 Feb22 Jan26 Jan01 Nov29 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
BEATIFUL KARLA Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Jan30 Jan15 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
GO GIRL Mar27 Mar01 Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 (yoder d)STOKES J 124 12.00 11% 8.30    
CAUSE OF LOVE Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan09 Dec16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
IN MY MEMORIES Mar09 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-7   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSETTA Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Jan15   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.50 8% 10.90    
MOST ADORABLE Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 Jan13 Dec09 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS SIX Mar06 Feb27 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
VICTORIA COMMAND Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
IAMAMASON Mar18 Feb05 Oct08 Sep12 Aug22 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 116 6.00    
KOZY NIGHT Mar06 Jan06 Nov21 Nov07   (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 2.50 66% 0.50    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Mar06 Feb27 Jan25 Jan08 Dec26 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
LIL BIT Mar06 Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 Nov21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00    
 
MVR-8   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS EM Mar25 Mar06 Feb27 Jan25 Jan06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.60    
ANGEL I'M NOT Mar25 Mar06 Feb10 Jan15 Dec26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
MAYBETHEONE Mar25 Mar06 Jul24 Jul04 May29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY Mar25 Mar18 Feb27 Feb06 Jan25 (doering mark)STOKES J 124 20.00    
SCR  MOBIL DREAM STAR Jan24 Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 (butcher james)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
COUSIN MINNIE Mar06 Feb05 Nov25 Oct23 Sep06 (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 6.00    
EMERALD EYES Mar25 Feb27 Jan25 Jan08 Nov21 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL COLLETTE Mar20         (pappada julie)BRACHO A 118 1.60 54% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.