Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/6)-(2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/6/1)-(2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(2/3/1)-(5/1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(5/4/1)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/3/6)-(5/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLYESTER BRIDE Mar18 Dec11 Dec02 Nov24 Nov11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 0.80 57% 0.70    
2  I FEEL THE NEED Mar10 Feb12 Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HEBRIDES Mar10 Jan27 Dec27 Oct22 Oct14 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 5% 17.90    
4  FUNTASTICA Feb13 Jan29 Dec21 Dec05 Nov17 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 2.50    
5  PEARLINTHEROUGH Feb28 Feb12 Jan24 Dec03 Oct19 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-2   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPTALKINGSARAH         (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 8.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  PEEKABOO MOM Sep12 Aug22 Aug06     (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.00    
3  KELLEY JEAN Mar24 Feb27 Jan25     (hamm timothy)STOKES J 118 3.00    
SCR  QUETZALY Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jun17 May28 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
5  DRILL BLITZ Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 Dec26 Dec09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.50    
6  DESTINY'S TOT Mar24 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec26 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY'S TREASURE Mar20 Mar03 Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Dec02 Nov06 Sep12 Aug10 Jul04 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  THELMA LUCILLE Mar20 Feb06 Dec26 Nov20 Nov06 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
4  STATE OF GRACE Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan13 Oct13 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
5  C MORE PRIDE Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 May07 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
6  SHES A STORM Mar18 Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  OFFICE CHATTER Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-4   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTER THE STARS Mar31 Mar22 Mar05 Jan27 Jan09 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Mar22 Mar06 Feb04 Jan08 Dec27 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  BAREBACK FUN Mar12 Feb26 Jan28 Dec19 Aug14 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  DEVRA WARRIOR Mar30 Mar19 Mar06 Feb04 Dec18 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
5  EPICUREAN Mar26 Mar13 Mar05 Feb03 Jan15 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
SCR  VARTON Mar26 Mar12 Jan25 Dec26 Dec04 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
 
MVR-5   04/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S SPIRIT Mar20 Mar08 Feb12 Jan17 Dec07 (andrade hugo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  FOOD FOODIE Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan06 (erdel john)PEREZ A 126 12.00    
SCR  STEVIE T Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep23 Aug19 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
5  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Mar30 Mar11 Jan24 Jan01 Nov30 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
6  BEYOND TALENTED Mar22 Feb05 Jan23 Dec09 Nov25 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
7  LOMACHENKO Mar22 Feb09 Jan01 Nov23 Nov02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Mar28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb26 Feb22 (delacr)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
9  ROYALLY FLUSHED Mar20 Feb05 Jan13 Dec19 Dec04 (short travis )SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   04/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S CRAFTY Mar17 Sep23 Aug27 Aug10 Jun19 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  R THREE ANGELS Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Dec23 Oct26 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
3  NEECHI Jun27 Jun07 May18 Mar14 Feb26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
4  SILENT RULE Mar17 Feb08 Dec17 Nov25 Sep02 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.20 35% 1.90    
5  BACK TO OHIO Feb26 Dec10 Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 0.80 44% 1.30    
 
MVR-7   04/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Feb05 Jan23 Jan13 Dec18 Nov25 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
2  MISTER MOBIL Mar31 Aug20 Aug10 Jul29 Jul16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
3  IT'S OFFICIAL Mar03 Jan13 Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  BRILLIANT JOURNEY Mar05 Jan29 Sep07 Aug03 Jul05 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  RAVEN MOON Mar13 Oct26 Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
6  HIDDEN ACCESS Dec03 Nov12 May27 Apr30 Apr09 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  GONE IN A FLASH Mar03 Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 Sep26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   04/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K KID Mar24 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 Dec17 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
SCR  WASHINGTON'S UNION Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
3  STORMIN LOVE Feb08 Dec28 Nov06 Sep28 Nov11 (lobo h)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
SCR  FLORIDA GATOR Mar28 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
5  MAGICAL MONARCH Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 Feb04 Jan24 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  TIER ONE Mar24 Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 Dec17 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  CAVENDISH Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb04 Jan23 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00 10% 9.10    
8  THUNDERIAN Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Nov24 Nov07 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SCR  CRAFTED Mar11 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 Aug16 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER Mar18 Feb27 Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 (reed r)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.