Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/1/6)-(3/4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/4/1/2)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(6/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/7/2)-(3/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)-(2/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(2/3/6/7)-(5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/7)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-9   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Feb06 Dec20 Nov20 Oct05 Sep15 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
2  BRAQUET Feb19 Jan09 Dec07 Nov14 Oct17 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 6.00    
3  ROCK N REWARD Jan30 Dec19 Oct17 Sep17 Aug20 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  JAVA'S LUCKY LADY Feb12 Jan27 Dec19 Nov20 Oct28 (arce josue)OCASIO M 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
5  BLAME CATALAYA Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
6  LADY ZETA Feb04 Dec04 Nov06 Sep07 Aug12 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-2   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL NATION Feb19 Jan18 Jan10 Nov22 Nov01 (stites w)AGUILAR M 125 2.00 14% 5.90    
2  NOBODY'S ZAPPER Apr17         (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  BOUNTY KILLAH Feb06 Jan09 Dec18 Dec07 Sep04 (richards)DAVIS A 123 4.50    
4  RED BETTY Feb06 Jan09 Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00    
5  ANALOG Feb19 Dec13       (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 8.00    
6  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Nov20 Nov01 Sep11 Aug23 Jul24 (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING AT IT Feb06 Dec27 Nov13 Oct24 Aug29 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan26 Jan14 Nov15 Oct17 Oct04 (richards)DAVIS A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINNIE VAN GO Oct15 Sep10 Jul07 Jul01 Nov29 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 39% 1.50    
4  CAJUN VIBES Feb20 Jan31 Jan09 Nov28 Oct30 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  JACKIE A Feb07 Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 6.00    
6  POWERFULLY BUILT Jan30 May08 Mar01 Jan31 Dec07 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.00    
7  LIVING WATER Dec27 Dec11 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00    
8  HELMS DEEP (GB) Feb07 Jan03 Nov28 Nov02 Oct04 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
 
PEN-4   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIXTER Jan02 Dec06 Nov14 Oct25 Oct07 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00    
2  MUSICAL HEART Feb05 Dec31 Dec18 Nov19 Oct30 (abrams rona)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  LAKE NAKURU Feb06 Jan02 Dec20 Dec06 Nov14 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCKIN THE PALACE Feb21 Feb07 Dec19 Nov08 Oct30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50    
5  OVER AND THUNDER Feb06 Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  CRITICAL THINKING Dec12 Nov29 Nov13 Jul03 Jun19 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 8.00    
7  BEE BY THE SEA Nov29 Oct30 Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50    
 
PEN-5   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHEDRAL BEACH Feb08 Nov06 Oct11 Sep15 Aug12 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
2  TARSUS WARRIOR Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  TROPHY ROOM Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Sep20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNIFIED BY CANDY Jun04 May18 Mar27 Mar07   (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
5  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jul08 Jun17 May16 May04 Apr09 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  GUARDIAN PRINCE Feb02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct13 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 5.00    
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Dec27 Nov17 Oct13 Sep08 Aug24 (synnefias p)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPORICAL Feb07 Jan02 Dec20 Dec11 Nov18 (martin f)AGUILAR M 123 4.00    
2  RAMBLIN CHROME Dec09 Dec03 Nov25 Nov13 Nov03 (manning john )TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRADY Dec19 Nov08 Oct25 Aug21 Jun11 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 3.50    
SCR  SWEET SPITE Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00    
5  TOWN KISSER Feb21 Jan02 Nov27 Nov07 Sep08 (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 4.00    
6  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Feb13 Jan29 Dec16 Nov22 Sep21 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  BEARING DOWN Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDYSON'S DREAM Feb07 Dec02 Sep17 Aug26 Jul17 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  ADDED MISCHIEF Feb05 Nov23 Nov09 Nov17 Oct25 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 125 8.00    
3  KEY STAT Jan31 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 Jul17 (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  RIP MY HEART Feb07         (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 15.00    
5  MISTER LINCOLN Feb10 Nov13 May12 Mar23 Feb17 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  SANDY'S REFUGEE Feb07 Nov20 Oct25 Aug01 Jul12 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MALIBU KNIGHT Jan08 Dec12 Oct25 Sep09 Jul12 (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 6.00    
 
PEN-8   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Oct31 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50    
2  MELODIOUS SINGER Feb06 Jan09 Oct23 Aug14 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  QUEEN WIGGY Feb06 Dec13 Nov20 Oct17 Sep30 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  PHANCY PHILLY Feb06 Jan09 Dec19 Nov20 Oct23 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00    
5  I'M HEADING EAST Nov13 Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Aug13 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50    
6  GRAND LADY INDY Nov18 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 (rodriguez frank)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 9% 9.70    
7  BAHAMA PEARL Nov11 Oct09 Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 (soto- martin)TORRES L 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-9   02/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEY GIRL Jan30 Jan01 Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 125 3.50    
2  DESI'S REWARD Dec06 Oct30 Sep25 Aug29 Jul19 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
3  MY JO JO Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00    
4  MY BOSS LADY Feb06 Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  WILL OR WON'T Feb19 Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 Mar08 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  SECRET TEMPTATION Jan13 Dec04 Nov11 Oct09 Sep23 (aristone)DAVIS A 123 2.50    
7  JUST STAY HOME Feb19 Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 Nov11 (rodriguez frank)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.