Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/4)-(6/7/4)-(8/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(8/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(8/1/6/2)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/2)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/2)-(2/3)-(2/10/6/5/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/10/6/5/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/10/6/5/11)-(5/3/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/10/6/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/6/5/11)-(5/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/6/5/11)-(5/3/2)-(3/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/7/1/6)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(2/5/4)-(7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENGLISH DADDY Jan26 Dec22 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 (pecoraro an)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00    
TINY LAKE Jan26 Jan09 Nov15     (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
KISSLING Jan26 Dec27 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S HAVE A PARTY Dec14 Oct16 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (bailon nesv)DEL SARA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
ARTILLERY GUNNAR Jan24 Dec14       (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
BOOKITWITHHADDAD Dec28 Nov15 Oct05 Jul25   (de hora)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 119 6.00    
SCR  BIGTONTEN Nov27 Nov11       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 6.00    
URBAN SYMPHONY Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 Nov15 Oct25 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50    
ENABLER Jan31 Dec20 Dec01 May05   (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
LRL-2   02/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROBALE TEN Feb06 Dec27 Dec14 Nov20 Nov06 (chapman jam)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
LINO AND ME Dec02 Nov07 Oct02 Jul31 Jul13 (pecoraro an)DEL SARA 106 10.00    
SIR CHANCE A LOT Jan26 Dec22 Dec01 Oct24 Oct11 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 124 2.50    
UP IN FLAMES Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 Nov15 Oct24 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
DOCSGOTALLTHECANDY Oct16 Aug21 Jul03     (pecoraro anthon)VEGA L 121 10.00    
SIR MICK Dec27 Dec01 Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 (salzman jo)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
BAD BOY BLAZE Oct24 Oct03 Aug24     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
LRL-3   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Dec22 May05 Jan13 Nov11 Aug31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 17% 4.70    
FROSTY THE GIANT Jan08 Nov29 Oct17 Sep27 Aug25 (feliciano b)BURNHAM MATILDA 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADMIT NOTHING Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct05 Sep21 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
SCR  TAP YOUR HEART Feb07 Jan10 Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 (chapman james )CONNER TYLER 126 20.00    
FORMAL AFFAIR Feb02 Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 Sep29 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
STATELY ORDER Jan31 Dec22 Dec11 Nov29 Nov10 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOTSKARI Feb04 Dec14 Dec08 Nov26 Nov12 (gonzalez cl)HAMILTON WESTON 126 4.50    
SECRET TREASURE Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Oct21 Oct08 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
LRL-4   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Nellie Morse Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA DANCER Dec21 Oct27 Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.40    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
HEADLINE NUMBERS Jan05 Oct26 Aug22 Jul04   (brown c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
BAILINTIN Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 Nov17 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MANDOLIN by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TACITA by TAPIT)
SCR  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Jan18 Dec21 Oct27 Sep07 Aug04 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 124 4.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAST AS PRELUDE by BERNARDINI)
SWEET HEIDELBERG Feb08 Jan26 Jan03 Sep01 Aug08 (corrales )BETANCOURT R 120 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ROO'S VALENTINE by VRONSKY)
 
LRL-5   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLASSIC JOKE Dec27 Jun30 May18 Apr20 Apr06 (sillaman ri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
FULL IRISH Jan18 Dec15 Nov15 Oct05 Feb23 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.50 53% 0.90    
HEAVEN'S GOT FIRE Jan26 Dec14 Mar09 Feb23 Jun30 (rodriguez jos)LUGO JR 123 30.00    
RADICAL RIGHT Jan26 Aug08 Jun22 May16 Apr21 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50    
ASSUME NOTHING Sep28 Jul20 Jun08 May18 Apr13 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BERGEN Apr27 Mar02 Jan27 Nov25 Oct07 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
CAPTAIN QUINT Jan18 Jul31 Jul08 Jun07 Apr21 (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN CANDY Jan07 Aug24 Jul25 Jun28 May17 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
MAGIC MULE Dec15 Nov30 Nov03 Mar24 Jan13 (hohlbein kerry)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
10  FREEZE THE FIRE Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov03 Oct12 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
11  TENEBRIS Jan31 Nov30 Nov02 Sep07 Apr27 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Barbara Fritchie Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) Dec01 Oct17 Aug31     (walden willia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of RAVISSANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
I'M A CUTIE PIE Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 Oct17 Sep29 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADORABLE by SMART STRIKE)
ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jan25 Jan18 Jan02 Nov22 Nov03 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
MARY Q Jan29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct02 Sep10 (moore mich)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of MUSKET MARY by MUSKET MAN)
IRISH MAXIMA Dec31 Nov25 Oct19 Sep22 Aug22 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 1.00 41% 1.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PALACE PIER by OUT OF PLACE)
ROYAL SPA Jan25 Dec21 Nov23 Oct13 Jun22 (brisset rod)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
 
LRL-7   02/15/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY John Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT ICE Jan18 Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Aug11 (eubanks ann)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 14% 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LITTLE ICE PATCH by HOUSEBUSTER)
HITTHEROADJAK Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Aug31 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 3.50    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR JAKS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SPEEDYNESS Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 May18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
DEPOSITION Jan29 Jan13 Dec16 Jun05 May18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
CATALEYA STRIKE Jan26 Dec21 Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
WILD VINE Jan26 Dec21 Nov27 Nov01 Aug26 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by RED VINE out of PRASLIN by EVEN THE SCORE)
OFFALY COOL Dec31 Jan30 Dec23 Dec02 Oct17 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.60 21% 3.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ASSURED by SIGNAL TAP)
 
LRL-8   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY General George Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION FLEET Jan26 Dec27 Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of PICCOLO FLATS by A. P. WARRIOR)
QUINT'S BREW Jan18 Jun29 Apr05 Mar02   (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 122 1.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MOSLER out of GANSETT by JUMP START)
CELTIC CONTENDER Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 3.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CELTIC KATIE by POSSE)
MR. ANTONELLI Jan31 Nov30 Nov04 Sep16 Apr21 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INFLICTION by STORMY ATLANTIC)
PRINCE OF JERICHO Jan18 Dec06 Nov01 Sep20 Jul28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 28% 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN REVIEW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CIRCLE P Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Oct17 Sep27 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
LRL-9   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN PERMISO Feb02 Dec20 Nov10 Oct06 Sep15 (salazar marco)MENA E 126 15.00    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR Feb02 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 (sanchez-salom)CHAVEZ ANDRES 121 1.60    
EARL OF DASSEL Jan25 Jan01 Nov25 Oct13 Jul31 (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
BERMUDA RUN Jan24 Dec20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 126 5.00    
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Jan24 Dec28 Dec06 Nov17 Apr27 (magee kiero)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Jan31 Dec22 Dec08 Dec01 Nov16 (mckenzie danie)TORREALBA JG 122 4.50    
WHISKEYINTHEJARO Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 Dec01 Oct26 (shankle joanne)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.