Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (2/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/1)-(1/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/1)-(1/8/5/4)-(6/8/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-3   WIN (1/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/4)-(6/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/4)-(6/8/7/5)-(2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5)-(6/8/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5)-(6/8/1/7/5)-(6/8/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/5)-(2/6/3)-(5/1/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/1/9/4)-(7/5/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/9/4)-(7/5/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/9/4)-(7/5/2/9)-(2/7/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/9)-(2/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/9)-(2/7/4/3)-(4/7/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3)-(4/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-9   WIN (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIUS Jan23 Dec20 Nov04 Oct03 Oct21 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRACK ROBBER Apr24 Mar28 Mar18     (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 124 3.50 69% 0.40    
3  JIM BOB Sep19         (vitali)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00    
4  BRAINIAC Jan23 Jun13 May18     (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 8% 10.90    
5  DORADUS Dec28 Nov30 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
6  ROYAL CURLIN Jan29 Jan14 Jan02 Dec14 Nov30 (silva l)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
7  RACER REX Jan23 Nov29 Oct02 Oct22 Sep16 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
8  GRAZED BY LOVE Jan29 Jan14 Dec12 Aug31 Aug02 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-3   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOBE W Jan27 Jan03 Dec08 Nov29 Oct19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  UNUSUAL WIN Feb04 Jan01 Dec23 Dec09 Oct27 (martinez o )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
3  CLASSIC RUNNER Jan27 Jan02 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00    
4  CASSANO Jan02 Nov26 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 (hedge rick)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT KID Jan24 Nov11 Aug24 Aug16 Jul21 (castillo r)REYES R 122 20.00 16% 5.30    
6  BIG STICK Jan30 Jan13 Jan02 Nov26 Nov09 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
7  DIXON TUFF Jan23 Jan01 Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00    
8  YANKEE HUMOR Nov21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-4   02/12/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGA HEART Dec23 Nov18 Sep25 Sep02 Aug11 (brinson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 ★    
2  CHARLEY PAINTS Jan30 Jan07 Dec16 Dec04 Nov19 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
3  ILA VEIW TOO Jan22 Jan06 Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
4  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Jan28 Jan06 Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
5  PRANCING MATILDA Jan24 Jan02 Dec18 Dec03 Sep14 (toye joe)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAGENS BAY Jan07 Dec19 Nov29 Nov02 Oct09 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
7  MARK OF VICTORY Jan25 Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 Sep25 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GLORY N THEHIGHEST Jan24 Jan02 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
9  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Jan07 Nov03 Oct20 Aug16 Jul11 (mckinney )JENSEN P 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK ACE Jun13 May10 Sep02 Aug10 Apr22 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
2  BROOKYS GAL Jan24 Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Oct12 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  FLYIN BY Jan01 Dec19 Nov27 Sep08 Jun30 (johnston kimber)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S RESILIENT Dec30 Dec19 Nov10 Sep22 Jun30 (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
5  BOURBON TIGER Jun09 May11 Mar28 Feb26 Feb13 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
6  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Jan24 Dec02 Nov05 Sep28 Aug04 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
7  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jan25 Jan07 Dec19 Nov21 Sep08 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
8  EMERALD SEA Jan24 Jan16 Dec09 Sep15 Aug31 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   02/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEGRASS FAITH Sep26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CAPITAL EXPENSE Jan13 Dec02 Jun07 Feb01 Oct08 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
3  COASTAL KID Jan25 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct06 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
4  COMPANY'S DREAM Jan30 Jan13 Jul14 Jun23 May18 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov26 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  LITE RANCHIN KID Jan09 Dec26 Nov23 Oct20 Aug24 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
7  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan13 Jan03 Dec02 Nov19 May19 (valerio raymon)REYES R 124 3.00    
8  HEY BATMAN Dec13 Nov24 Nov16 Nov01 Oct20 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00    
9  WELTON Jan25 Dec23 Nov19 Sep08 Aug09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
TUP-7   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Jan22 Dec23 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 (christian)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
2  UNCHARTED Jan21 Dec17 Nov29 Nov11 Oct13 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 124 6.00 6% 15.00    
3  ARROWTHEGREAT Nov17 Oct26 Aug24 Jul28 May27 (blacker da)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
4  YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Dec31 Dec05 Nov13 Sep15 Sep02 (schnell don)KRIGGER K 122 10.00    
5  SENSICAL Jan22 Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 Sep07 (ke)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ELEGANT BOY Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
7  JIN TONG Jan22 Jan09 Dec30 Dec11 Dec02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
8  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Jan27 Jan15 Dec31 Dec17 Apr22 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
9  TEXTHELEGEND Jan09 Dec05 Nov19 Aug23 Jul22 (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   02/12/2025 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM Walter Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY CODE Jan07 Dec17 Nov27 Sep06 Aug25 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
2  SALINE RIVER Jan16 Dec18 Oct23 Aug04 Jun23 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
3  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Sep07 Aug17 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of CALL INTERSEPTED by EAVESDROPPER)
4  WHAT A DUDE Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 Nov18 Nov11 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of OFF THE BOAT by MORE THAN READY)
5  CORNISHMAN Jan25 Dec31 Dec16 Nov10 Sep14 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
6  FEARLESS SOLDIER Feb02 Jan04 Nov29 Oct19 Aug22 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  KENNEBEC Jan16 Dec18 Nov19 Aug08 Jul10 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 17% 5.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of THISDANSEISTAKEN by GATORS N BEARS)
SCR  AMERICAN BLAZE Jan16 Nov19 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 120 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
TUP-9   02/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTREMELY WICKED Jan29 Jan09 Dec27 Oct28 Oct13 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
SCR  WAR ON THE WEST Jan27 Jan09 Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 (barrio sergio)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
SCR  FARENHEIT O C Nov16 Sep20 Aug23     (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
4  THE SCENT Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 Aug25 Aug08 (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  CHIRAG Jan27 Jan08 Dec03 Nov14 Sep15 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 10.00 5% 18.30    
6  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM Feb04 Dec03 Nov18     (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
7  LASMUIGH (GB) Jan15 Jan08 Nov24 Oct26 Oct05 (van debbie)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
8  REMI OR NOT Jan28 Nov09 Sep13 Aug08 Jul05 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
SCR  ARTETA Jan28 Jan02 Dec17 Oct18 Sep18 (silva l)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
SCR  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Jan27 Jan09 Dec28 Dec19 Nov29 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 20.00    
11  BIG BAD BERT Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct14 Aug17 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.