Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/5/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/5/4/2)-(8/2/4/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/2)-(8/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/2)-(8/2/4/1)-(5/2/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/1)-(5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/1)-(5/2/6/4)-(14/2/8/10/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(14/2/8/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(14/2/8/10/12)-(7/9/6/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (14/2/8/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/2/8/10/12)-(14/2/8/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/2/8/10/12)-(14/2/8/10/12)-(14/2/8/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (14/2/8/10/12)-(7/9/6/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (14/2/8/10/12)-(7/9/6/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-6   WIN (7/9/6/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/10/5)-(7/9/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/10/5)-(7/9/6/10/5)-(7/9/6/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (1/6/8/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/10/2)-(1/6/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/10/2)-(1/6/8/10/2)-(1/6/8/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/8/10/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/10/2)-(4/7/5/8/2)-(2/4/7/5/11) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (4/7/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2)-(4/7/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/5/8/2)-(2/4/7/5/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/4/7/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET THE PACE Jan03 Dec11 Nov23 Sep23 Sep07 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 3.00    
2  CALENDULA Jan22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 5.00    
SCR  DRILL'S VALENTINE Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov15 Sep07 (sano antonio)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50    
4  GREY PRINCESS Jan17 Nov09 Sep28 Sep08 Jul28 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  WOODS HOLE Jan22 Jan03 Dec11 Sep19 Sep05 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 115 6.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  AUBURN Jan03 Dec21 Dec11 May01 Apr19 (lusk r)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
 
TAM-2   02/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JENN SWEET JENN Jan19 Jan03 Sep09 Aug14 Jul23 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 1.40    
2  SURPRISE COCO Dec28 Dec07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  BROOKLYN SPICE Jan04         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
4  CHICA CATHOLIC Jan12 Dec22 Oct26 Sep01   (ca)LUNA PAUL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GIRL DYNAMITE         (marrero )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 119 12.00 27% 2.70    
6  VENEZUELAN FLOWER Jan03         (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  DERBY EFFORT Jan03 Dec07 Oct12 Sep25 Aug17 (smith g)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
 
TAM-3   02/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN PRIME Jan12 Dec22 Nov10 Oct18 Sep07 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALLENHURST Jan01 Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Sep14 (sacco gregory)IORIO MELISSA 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  STEP LIGHTLY Jan11         (he)LUNA PAUL 120 8.00    
4  WINE SCHOLAR Nov20         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  QURBAAN D ORO Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Nov20 Sep26 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 5.00    
6  ENDLESS FASHION Jan24 Jan12 Dec07 Nov29 Oct25 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 12.00    
7  MY FINE AQUILINE Dec29 Dec11 Nov29 Sep26 Sep13 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
8  SHE STOPPED SHORT Jan03 Dec07 Nov20 Oct30 Sep08 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   02/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAYINYOURLANE Jan08 Dec14 Oct16 Sep24 Aug29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
2  MOHAY PLEASE Jan18 Dec14 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  DIVINING STONE Jan24 Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00    
4  POSEIDONS MYTH Jan17 Dec22 Nov20 Nov03 Sep14 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jan04 Dec18 Apr19 Mar16 Feb23 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
6  ZAINO Dec27 Oct26 Oct05 Aug16 Jul18 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  PICCATA PRINCE Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 Nov30 Oct25 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 111 10.00    
8  WHISKEY OR WINE Jan19 Jan03 Oct16 Sep24 Sep11 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00    
 
TAM-5   02/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE MYTH Jan17 Nov30 Oct19 Sep20 Aug16 (terranov)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
2  MISHKA Aug13 Jun25 May17 Nov25 Oct11 (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP Jan09 Oct24 Aug31     (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
4  JAMMER INSURANCE Jan03 Sep17 Jun18     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
5  THEFORCEBEWITHYOU Jan03 Apr04 Mar10 Feb14 Jan20 (dominguez huber)DIAZ S 122 30.00    
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN Jan25 Dec06 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 12.00    
7  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Jan19 Jan03 Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 (laurato )RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00    
8  VICTORY GIRL Jan19 Dec22 Sep15 Jul26 Jun07 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHE'S THAT GIRL Jan08 Dec22 Mar02 Feb14 Dec16 (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
10  PALACE LIGHTS Jan03 Dec11 Sep29     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  CEFALU (FR) Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 Mar03   (delacour arn)BATISTA A 122 4.50    
12  LIPOCHROME Dec21 Oct24 Aug24 Apr21 Mar28 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Jan22 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 May03 (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
14  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Dec20 Oct16 May31 May03 Mar04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 58% 0.70    
 
TAM-6   02/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADAR INDY Jan12 Feb02 Jan07 Dec23 Nov29 (cascallares nest)LEON SONNY 122 12.00    
2  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Nov08 Aug17       (torres pablo)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
3  COSMIC SYMPHONY Jun08 Apr14 Jan28 Dec17   (rivera francisco)FERRER C 117 30.00    
4  FLATTERS CHANCE Jan12 Dec22       (cudworth paul)HIRALDO JOHN 122 15.00    
5  KENRIC Jan12 Dec22 May04 Apr19 Apr07 (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAN'T JUMP Apr26 Mar01 Jan28     (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOWOKEGOBROKE Jan22 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  WESTDAKOTA Jan12 Jan03 Dec14 Sep28 Sep19 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
9  HE'S A BUTTE May02 Dec17 Nov18     (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 4.00 31% 2.30    
10  TWO STORMY OCEANS Jun29 Jun02 Apr13 Mar09   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  RED ABARRIO Jan22 Jan12 Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
12  TROPHY COLLECTOR Nov17 Oct13       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 12.00    
SCR  JOHNNY FROM BOSTON Jan12 Oct17 Sep18 Aug31 Aug14 (downing wi)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 10.00    
 
TAM-7   02/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART STRIKER Dec29 Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 May22 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 39% 1.50    
2  SPANISH NOBLE Dec04 Oct05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 (o'connell kath)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
SCR  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Jan08 Oct16 Sep09 Aug14 Jul30 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 119 30.00    
5  STREET VENDOR Jan19 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 30.00    
6  MONGOLIAN APPLE Mar20 Feb23 Dec31 Dec01 Oct21 (richards r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  COACHES MEETING Dec28 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep05 (silla)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
8  CLASS PHOTO Jan08 Sep14 Jul13 May28 Apr20 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 3.50 6% 16.40    
9  FOOD BANK HELPER Jan19 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 12.00    
10  ALASDAIR Dec29 Dec01 Oct26 Sep29 Sep01 (ramsey nolan)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  CHASENTHEONE Dec29 Dec04 Sep29 Aug17 Jul06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
12  MY GREAT ILLUSION Jan08 Dec04 Aug15 Jun08 Apr24 (crichton rohan)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN HAMMER Jan26 Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 Oct19 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
SCR  BIG TOBY Jan17 Dec20 Nov30 Nov03 Sep14 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULE IT Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep05 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 8.00    
2  BURN JAKEY BURN Jan18 Jan10 Dec11 Sep21 Aug04 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINO VELOCE Jan24 Jan05 Dec21 Dec06 Oct05 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 115 8.00    
4  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Jan19 Dec14 Nov20 Oct25 Sep25 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.00 43% 1.30    
5  INDULGE Jan18 Jan10 Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 12.00 10% 9.30    
6  CALZONE Jan04 Nov27 Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
7  GUN RIGHT Jan19 Jan04 Dec06 Nov20 Oct12 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  AMBULANTE Dec18 Nov05 Oct07 Oct01 Sep04 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 12.00 7% 14.20    
9  TIZ A BEAST Jan19 Jan04 Dec14 Jul14 Jul06 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Jan04 Dec07 Oct11     (hendriks richard)FERRER C 120 6.00    
2  CREVALLE ROYALE Oct19 Jul13       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  PRAYED FOR GIRL Dec11 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26   (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
4  SKIPWINEYESTERDAY Jan10 Dec13 Sep02     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  HIDDEN RECIPE Sep23 Aug07 Jul03     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIP RIDING AWAY Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Sep29 Aug30 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
7  ROCIO Jan10 Dec13 Oct27 Oct05 Aug24 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 118 3.50 6% 14.60    
8  DAS IST ALLES ALLY Dec22 Nov17 Oct20 Oct05 Aug31 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 12.00    
9  CLAIMED Jan05 Oct19 Sep21     (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
10  ARANCIATA Dec28 Nov15 Sep21 Aug04   (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00    
11  THEE NEW BEGINNING Dec08 Oct25 Sep29 Aug10 Jul12 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALTAMIRA SUR Jan09 Dec20 Jul12     (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.