Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1)-(1/3/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(1/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1)-(1/3/7/5)-(7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5)-(7/3/6)-(4/6/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(4/6/5/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(4/6/5/3/1)-(8/7/6/3/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-7   WIN (4/6/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3/1)-(4/6/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3/1)-(4/6/5/3/1)-(4/6/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3/1)-(8/7/6/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3/1)-(8/7/6/3/9)-(10/5/4/3/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (8/7/6/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3/9)-(8/7/6/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3/9)-(8/7/6/3/9)-(8/7/6/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3/9)-(10/5/4/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (10/5/4/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/3/2)-(10/5/4/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/3/2)-(10/5/4/3/2)-(10/5/4/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD SEA Jan16 Dec09 Sep15 Aug31 Aug11 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 8.00    
BROOKYS GAL Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Oct12 Sep14 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
LUSMA Dec13 Nov09 Oct05 Sep15 Aug18 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
MS FLASHY HARBOR Dec28 Dec03 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAVEN'S QUEST Dec30 Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Dec01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
AVENTAPP Dec28 Dec09 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Dec02 Nov05 Sep28 Aug04 May04 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-4   01/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANCING MATILDA Jan02 Dec18 Dec03 Sep14 Aug31 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PURR TIGER Dec28 Dec12 Nov21 Nov13 Sep26 (silva gabriel )REYES R 124 15.00    
GIGI'S THIRSTY Dec18 Apr30       (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
AWESOME WILDCAT Jan06 Dec19       (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 10% 9.40    
SOCIAL STATUS Mar24 Feb16       (bourdie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
FORGOT THE ROSES Aug06 Jul09 Jun26     (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
SENT BY ANGELS Jan02 Dec03 Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
WILD RULER Sep22 Mar13 Feb06 Jan14 Dec01 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEBECK (ARG) Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct01 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  YANKEE HUMOR Nov21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
COASTAL FOG Dec26 Dec10 Jun06 Apr22 Mar26 (silva jr)GARCIA F 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
BUBBA BAY Jan01 Apr16 Sep19 Aug27 Apr18 (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
MIDNIGHT KID Nov11 Aug24 Aug16 Jul21 Jul13 (cas)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 20.00 8% 11.50    
REGAL REDWOOD Jan07 Dec27 Dec01 Nov03 Oct11 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00    
PRINCE OTTO Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 Oct20 (esquibel mark)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  YEAH TAKE THAT Jan13 Dec26 Sep25 Aug19 Jul31 (denny tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
 
TUP-6   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Nov18 Aug31 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
FOREST ACCLAMATION Jan14 Dec23 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 122 15.00    
ANNIE FOX Jan07 Dec19 Nov19 Oct12 Oct04 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 9% 10.40    
GLORY N THEHIGHEST Jan02 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 Oct04 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  ONE ARROW Oct18 Aug30 Aug01 Mar04 Mar27 (drysdal)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
LOTSA LACE Dec26 Dec04 Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY LASS Jan07 Dec16 Nov29     (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  WILLOWMYGIRL Dec26 Aug04 Jun22 Jun02 Feb15 (woolley l)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
 
TUP-7   01/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADA CANDY Dec27 Dec08 Dec01 Nov19 Nov07 (silva pablo)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Dec08 Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 Sep15 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
HAYNESPUN Dec19 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun23 (warren ka)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 Nov27 Oct14 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
ADIOS MUCHACHAS Jan09 Dec02 Oct24 Oct05 Jun30 (silva pab)REYES R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Dec27 Dec09 Nov27 Nov12 Sep19 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
MISS ACCELERATE Jan13 Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 Sep29 (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 20.00    
SCR  SECRET MISTRESS Jan09 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May28 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00    
A DIME FOR ME Jan16 Nov03 Oct12 Sep15 Aug10 (tamayo isidro)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
10  DRILL BABY DRILL Dec09 Sep14 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
11  GETAWAY DAY Dec27 Dec09 Aug03 Jul13 Jun14 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
TUP-8   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R D STIMULUS Dec28 Dec19 Sep23 Sep06   (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Jan07 Dec23 Nov21 Nov11 Sep24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
DRIVE FOR SHOW Jan07 Nov14 Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
TOO WILD TO TAME Dec23 Nov18 Oct16 Oct02 Sep06 (den)VALENZUELA RAUL 124 20.00    
SON O' SANPETE Jan15 Dec23 Nov21 Nov02 Sep01 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 5.00 10% 9.30    
JULLIAN IN PARIS Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29   (rarick wad)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
NOW AND ZEN         (thomas jamey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
MENDONSA Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Feb02 Dec29 (baze earl )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Dec28 Apr23 Mar28 Feb29 Apr05 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
11  CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Dec23 Dec12 Sep23 Feb11 Jan13 (homer jas)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
12  AUTISM MIND Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Nov09 Oct04 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-9   01/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS GALLANT Dec27 Dec12 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
WEDDING CHAPEL Jan01 Feb19 Jan29 Dec03 Nov22 (wolf ashlee)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEA MISCHIEF Dec27 Dec19 May12 Apr10 Mar20 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Dec27 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
FOR FUN Jan07 Dec18 Nov30 Nov11 Sep26 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
ATHENA THE GODDESS Nov20 May02 Apr08     (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
CARLA'S HONOR Jan01 Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 (krasner cin)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 10.00    
ALOHA KITTEN Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 Sep15 Aug26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.00    
PURRFECT MOON Jan02 Nov12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 (silva a)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
10  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 (perez serg)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
11  LUCKY STEPPER Jan08 Dec18 Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
12  CAPITAL HEAT Dec27 Nov27 Sep08 Aug25 May04 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.