Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (4/10/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (6/7/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-7   Win (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-8   Win (3/7/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   01/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVONA (IRE) Dec17 Nov12 Sep26 Aug29 Aug18 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
CURLIN'S LIL GAL Dec17 Nov12 Aug24 Jul27 Jun15 (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
BANGIE GO Jan07 Dec16 Nov30 Aug24 Jul21 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY BURGLAR Dec19         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ARIZONA REINA Jan01 Nov16 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
UNRIVALED QUEEN Dec17 Nov30 Nov13 Sep09 Aug10 (evans justin)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
SHARP ATTITUDE Dec28 May02 Apr10 Mar14 Feb23 (owens kory)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-4   01/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PACIFIC THEATER Jan07 Nov06 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 12.00    
UNCHARTED Dec17 Nov29 Nov11 Oct13 Jul04 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  RUN BRYCE RUN Jan07 Dec26 Nov29 Nov11 Sep14 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
MAXIMUM CAPACITY Dec18 Nov29 Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
KNIGHTLINE Jan09 Aug25 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 (gibson f)ALVARADO T 122 15.00    
LIMITED HEATWAVE May31 May10 Apr16 Apr03 Mar12 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLINT STROLL Jan07 Dec23 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 (morfin lian)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
BERT'S PROSPECT Nov09 Oct11 Aug22 Aug03 May19 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 3.00    
RHODESIA Jan13 Dec26 Dec05 Sep06 Aug11 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
10  SANGER Nov21 Oct20 Aug30 Aug08 Apr28 (peery debbie)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-5   01/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA STEEL Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Nov13 Oct13 (kemper kasey)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
DANCING NURSE Dec28 Dec12 Nov15 Oct20 Oct05 (crowe shelly)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Jan06 Dec28 Dec12 Nov13 Sep14 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
OOPS (GB) Dec28 Dec12 Oct19 Oct12 Sep28 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
LUPITA Dec28 Dec18 Mar04 Feb13 Feb06 (silva pablo)ALVARADO T 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
NEW WEST Dec12 Oct25 Oct10 Sep07 Jun30 (thompson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAME LORRAINE Dec12 Dec03 Oct27     (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
LOOKOUT PASS Dec28 Dec18 Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
ULTRA GAME Dec28 Oct13       (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
 
TUP-6   01/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW N LATER GATOR Jan09 Dec04 Nov15 Jun07 May25 (hodgson bar)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 8% 11.70    
PEDAL TO THE METAL Nov26 Sep13 Aug10 Jul28 Jun16 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
A LOT OF VERVE Jan13 Dec17 Dec05 Nov21 Sep08 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DON JUAN BUBBA Jan07 Dec16 Dec02 Sep21 Sep02 (velasquez ri)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
MARICOPA COUNTY May02 Apr16 Apr03 Mar12 Apr22 (grissom w)MAWING A 122 10.00    
PAT'S PADDOCK PICK Dec31 Nov26 Nov14 Sep14 Aug31 (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
RESPECT THE UNION Dec30 Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 Mar14 (ferguson curt)REYES R 122 4.00 9% 10.30    
EL OCHO Dec11 May12 Apr20 Mar28 Mar15 (dominguez)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
PASSION OF JOE'S Nov06 Oct12 Sep21 Aug17 Aug01 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
 
TUP-7   01/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MERINO WOOL Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 Jul28 Jul14 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  QUINN ELLA Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 (hodgson bar)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
SCR  ALWAYS GALLANT Dec27 Dec12 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 (belvoir vann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
PRANCE Jan08 Nov30 Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 (brown r)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  ALOHA KITTEN Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 Sep15 Aug26 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 2.50    
MEAN SHARON Jan09 Dec27 Nov02 Oct12 Oct04 (garcia serji)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SHE'S SO SHINY Dec28 Dec09 Aug30 Jun28 Jun07 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
TEAM CONCEPT Dec11 Nov30 Oct06 Sep08 Apr09 (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  BEE A BALI Jan08 Nov25 Nov11 Oct18 Sep28 (kenney ryan)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
SCR  BADGER KITTEN Jan08 Dec27 Nov30 Sep25 Sep01 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50    
SCR  OCTANE (BRZ) Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
SCR  BEA MISCHIEF Dec27 Dec19 May12 Apr10 Mar20 (bean a)ALVARADO T 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   01/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIME EXAMPLE Dec31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun21 Apr09 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 7% 13.70    
SHARP WARNING Dec26 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun29 (warren kayl)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
AWESOME STORM Dec26 Nov25 Nov12 Oct12 Sep29 (story chad)ALVARADO T 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Oct20 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 Aug17 (kenney ryan)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
GO LAKER GO Dec26 Nov25 Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 (barraza s)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
SHARK HARBOR Jan19 Jul24 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 (barrio serg)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
SKY CLOUD Jan01 Dec12 Nov26 Oct04 Sep22 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
FABSTRACTION Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Oct18 Sep29 (macvittie r)LULL E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL HALO Dec30 Dec09 Aug25 Aug04 Apr16 (lucarelli)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
10  DAZZLING TRUTHS Jan02 Dec18 Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.