Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/5)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/5)-(4/3/2)-(5/2/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(5/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(5/2/6/8)-(6/8/7/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/8)-(6/8/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/8)-(6/8/7/9/5)-(5/3/12/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/8/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/7/9/5)-(5/3/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/9/5)-(5/3/12/4)-(5/6/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/3/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/12/4)-(5/3/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/12/4)-(5/3/12/4)-(5/3/12/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/12/4)-(5/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/12/4)-(5/6/2/1)-(6/5/4/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(6/5/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(6/5/4/8/3)-(3/7/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/5/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/8/3)-(6/5/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/8/3)-(6/5/4/8/3)-(6/5/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/4/8/3)-(3/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/8/3)-(3/7/1/9)-(9/10/4/5/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (3/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/9)-(9/10/4/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/10/4/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/5/11)-(9/10/4/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/5/11)-(9/10/4/5/11)-(9/10/4/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP RELIANT Jan10 Nov27       (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 30.00    
2  PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Dec22 Aug19 Jun18 May20 Jun14 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
3  THE GODDESS FACTOR Jan03 Dec11       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  STARVIEW TWINKLE Jan10 Oct11 Jul06     (mazza w)FERRER C 122 12.00    
5  FORTUNE DREAMS Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 Sep08 (cazares lau)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  VICTORY GIRL Dec22 Sep15 Jul26 Jun07 May05 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50 59% 0.70    
7  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Jan03 Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 Sep04 (laurato )RODRIGUEZ O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CEFALU (FR) Dec21 Nov30 Oct10 Mar03   (delacour arn)BATISTA A 122 2.00    
9  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Dec29 Aug28 Aug09 Jun19 May16 (gardea abraham)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
SCR  PALACE LIGHTS Jan03 Dec11 Sep29     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50    
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Dec20 Oct16 May31 May03 Mar04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00    
 
TAM-2   01/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Dec20 Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.50    
2  TOP LOOK Jan01 Dec18 Nov27 Oct31 Oct19 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GET THE LEAD OUT Oct31 Sep26 Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
4  ZIP CODE ENVY Dec04 Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 Aug05 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
SCR  AZURE LADY Dec27 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
6  SHE'S A JOY Jan08 Nov30 Nov22 Aug18 Jul20 (ag)LUNA PAUL 118 10.00    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Dec20 Sep28 Aug14 Jun19 May03 (cudworth pau)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00    
 
TAM-3   01/19/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF HEARTS Dec29 Dec14 Oct23 Sep28   (canegata )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00    
2  ASAASY Dec06 Nov29 Nov17 Oct18 Sep27 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
3  ETERNAL GLORY Dec29 Dec22 May25 Jun04 Apr29 (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
4  CLASS OF SIXTY TWO Jan03 Nov29 Nov30     (lusk r)FERRER C 122 20.00    
5  WHISKEY OR WINE Jan03 Oct16 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
6  BIVOL Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 Nov09 Sep27 (kutt donna)GONZALEZ E 112 10.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  RIGHT ON TARGET Jan12 Jun19 Apr20     (granitz anth)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
8  ICONIC ROCK Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Oct06 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRANKIE R. Nov27 Nov13 Oct17 Apr19 Mar09 (ferraro anthon)LEON SONNY 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERHAUL Dec22 Dec05 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (alessi james)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
2  GRAND DANIEL Jan10 Dec22 Nov17 Oct25 Nov25 (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
3  TIZ A BEAST Jan04 Dec14 Jul14 Jul06 Jun08 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
4  LEOPARDI Dec22 Nov29 Nov01 Oct04 Sep01 (harvey dan)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
5  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Dec21 Sep19 Sep02 Aug10 Jul13 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GUN RIGHT Jan04 Dec06 Nov20 Oct12 Sep20 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  DUNE ROAD Jan04 Dec22 Dec11 Nov27 Oct15 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
8  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Dec14 Nov20 Oct25 Sep25 Aug17 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
9  HAY MOON Dec29 Dec05 Nov16 Oct10 Sep12 (d'angelo jose)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMART STRIKER Dec29 Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 May22 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
SCR  CAROOM Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 Apr17 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
3  MOTIVO Dec29 Nov08 Sep22 Aug24 Jul13 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  STREET VENDOR Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul17 (smith ro)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LE GRIFFON Dec29 Oct05 Sep14 Jul25 Jul03 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 4.50 56% 0.80    
6  WORD FOR WORD Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 Aug25 Jul27 (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  COACHES MEETING Dec28 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep05 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
8  FOOD BANK HELPER Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00    
SCR  TORO FORWARD Jan05 Dec18 Apr19 Apr07 Mar16 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Dec04 Oct05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 10.00    
11  ALL THE RAGE Dec14 Nov23 Oct23 Oct10 Sep25 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00    
12  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Dec21 Aug14 Jul18 Jun23 May27 (granitz an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY GREAT ILLUSION Jan08 Dec04 Aug15 Jun08 Apr24 (crichton rohan)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.00    
SCR  FOXTROT HARRY Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 Aug22 Aug10 (galle)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
 
TAM-6   01/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINCO DE MO Jan04 Dec14 Oct10 Sep23 Sep09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00 6% 15.00    
2  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Jan03 Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 Sep29 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 4.50 10% 9.00    
3  SILVER STYLE Jan05 Dec11 Oct24 Sep26 Sep04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 30.00    
4  GRAN YACO Jun30 Jun02 Apr14 Mar10 Feb17 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
5  GOOD MONEY Apr06 Mar09 Jan26     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 0.60 39% 1.60    
6  PROTEGE Nov27 Oct31 Sep18 Aug10 Jul15 (wilensky sam)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  OSPREY Dec11 Nov20 Oct12 Sep02 Jul26 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   01/19/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKIZAN Dec20 Nov16 Jul13 May26 Apr12 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
2  VILLAGE PREACHER Dec20 Nov29 Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
3  CRAFTY KING Dec24 Nov23 Sep21 Jul27 Jul03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING RAMOS Jan03 Dec20 Jul27 Jul12 May25 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
5  GHOST STALKER Dec20 Sep20 Sep07 Aug14 Aug01 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  OFF THE MEDS Dec06 Nov04 Sep26 Aug17 Jul09 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
7  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Jan12 Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 Jun01 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
8  BURNING MAN Dec20 Dec06 Dec01 Nov10 Nov02 (quiroz angel)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jan03 Dec20 Dec13 Nov20 Oct27 (simone mic)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 12.00    
10  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jan01 Dec20 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 (dominguez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
SCR  BRYCE CANYON Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  HENRYTHETHIRD Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMATA Dec11 Oct12       (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50 9% 10.70    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of YOU'RE BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
2  ZELIHA Dec24         (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TORRE DI PISA by TIZNOW)
3  PRINCESS BRITNI Dec29 Jan26 Dec23 Oct23   (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of BLUESVILLE by BRING THE HEAT)
4  BLUE SPIRIT Dec01 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (mcpherson ale)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SPIRITUALIST by UNION RAGS)
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN Dec06 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep15 (contessa gary )CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
6  MIT MONKEY Dec21 Nov17 Jul30 Jun16   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
7  CHARLIE'S CHARADE Dec18         (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 8.00 32% 2.20    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ALL NIGHT LABOR by DOUBLE HONOR)
8  ALWAYS ADRIANA Dec21         (baxter georgi)IORIO MELISSA 122 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GREAT LOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  LETMENOWHENURREADY Oct16         (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 6% 15.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
 
TAM-9   01/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZ DREAMIN Nov23 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jul11 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
2  BAJA DE ORO Jan05 Dec29 Dec13 Aug16   (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
3  GO JOCELYN GO Dec13         (amaya gust)URDANETA J 120 20.00    
4  STELLA BROWN Dec22 Nov18 Nov06     (ferraro anthony)HESS SARA 113 6.00 10% 8.80    
5  PRINCESS MIA Jan03 Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 Jul31 (avila ca)MORALES PABLO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAN THE RED Jan03 Nov29 Sep21     (rodriguez )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50    
7  LA JENELLE Dec22 Nov08 Oct18 Jun24   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 30.00    
8  INFINITELY Dec13         (delgado gustav)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
9  MISS EMILY Dec21 Dec07       (romero rafael)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
10  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Dec20 Nov29 Oct11 Sep19 Aug31 (smith g)LEON SONNY 120 2.00 16% 5.40    
11  PRINCESA STARLET Jan05 Dec07 Nov29 Oct19 Sep14 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  JENN SWEET JENN Jan03 Sep09 Aug14 Jul23   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.