Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (5/6/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2/9)-(5/6/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2/9)-(5/6/4/2/9)-(5/6/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/4/2/9)-(5/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/2/9)-(5/1/4/3)-(3/1/2/7/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/3)-(3/1/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/3)-(3/1/2/7/6)-(8/9/2/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-3   WIN (3/1/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7/6)-(8/9/2/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7/6)-(8/9/2/1/3)-(1/7/8/9/4) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-4   WIN (8/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/2/1/3)-(1/7/8/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/1/3)-(1/7/8/9/4)-(2/1/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (1/7/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/9/4)-(1/7/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/9/4)-(1/7/8/9/4)-(1/7/8/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/8/9/4)-(2/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/9/4)-(2/1/5/3)-(5/10/8/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(5/10/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(5/10/8/1/4)-(5/2/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/10/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/1/4)-(5/10/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/1/4)-(5/10/8/1/4)-(5/10/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/8/1/4)-(5/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/1/4)-(5/2/4/6)-(8/3/2/10/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(8/3/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/3/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/10/4)-(8/3/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/10/4)-(8/3/2/10/4)-(8/3/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE WARRIOR Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 Aug06 Jun18 (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 121 2.50    
BOBBY MERLOT Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAP TO CONNECT Dec07 Sep04 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 (nixon w)THORNTON G 124 15.00    
KLIMTOMANIAC Dec04 Nov21 Oct25 Jun23 Jun14 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00 6% 15.70    
MR. FAVERSHAM Jan05 Dec04 Aug12 Jul28 Jul04 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
ROULETTE Dec18 Nov06 Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 (bruno j)ROSIER R 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
COWBOY CAUSE Jan05 Dec04 Nov21 Sep25 Sep12 (litfin vero)MELANCON JANSEN 124 5.00    
WICKED TOUGH Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Jul26 (cormier card)BARRERA J 124 12.00    
ADMIRAL AFLEET Aug14 Jul27 Jul11 Jun15 May24 (journet albert)FLORIAN JOSE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-2   01/17/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED LOVE Dec21 Nov01 Jun08 May22 May04 (sauceda jes)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
SNOW FLURRY Dec19 Nov09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 124 6.00    
LITTLE Z Dec21 Dec04 Oct19 Sep18 Aug28 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 6% 15.80    
TOOTOO TOURIST Nov07 Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 Jul03 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  HAUNTRESS Nov28 Oct30 Aug24 Jul27 Jun28 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
LITTLE E Dec21 Aug14 Aug05 Jun11 May13 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ V 117 15.00    
CRAFTROOM Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep09 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 4.50    
 
DED-3   01/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMEO SPIKES Dec07 Nov08 Oct18     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 2.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
EL DAN         (perron gera)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00 6% 16.50    
  (by EL DEAL out of MIND BLOWING by FRIENDS LAKE)
HOLD MY HAT Dec07 Nov09 Oct10 Aug10 Jul13 (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
ONEMOTIME Dec19 Nov16 Oct18     (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 116 12.00    
  (by MO TOM out of UNBRIDLED LASSIE by UNBRIDLED)
NATIVE RED Dec13         (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of CAJUN YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
HES THE BOMB TOO         (roberts roy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of VENATRIX by THEATRICAL (IRE))
CHIEF SLEW         (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MEWS by KANTHAROS)
SCR  C F SPUNIE STYLE Oct10         (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 15.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
BELLA'S BOSS Dec13 Nov15 Oct10 Aug24 Aug10 (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 116 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARABELLA BELLA by SKIPSHOT)
 
DED-4   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERECOMESTROY Dec18 Dec04 Oct11 Sep28 Sep19 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOON TRIP Dec18 Nov21 Nov06 Oct16 Aug22 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 10.00 5% 18.80    
BUD WON Apr11 Feb24 Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 (journet albert)FLORIAN JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALL SAINTS Dec18 Dec04 Nov23 Nov07 Oct26 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 4.50    
OUT MAKING TREBLE Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Mar15 (mason sha)PEREZ CARLOS 119 20.00    
IRON MOON Nov30 Nov05 Sep23 Aug24 Aug10 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 121 6.00    
NEPHI Aug14 Jul05 Jun20 May29 May09 (west henry)ROSIER R 124 12.00    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Jan05 Jan02 Dec15 Dec04 Nov23 (delacruz me)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
TALK OF THE TOWN Dec04 Nov23 Oct16 Aug22 Aug02 (landry r)THORNTON G 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
DED-5   01/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY'S SECRET Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
FOUR DICE Dec14 Nov16 Oct18 Sep02 Aug23 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
TOWN BRANCH Jan04 Dec06 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50    
HOMELAND MESSA Dec21 Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 Nov15 (jackson dwayne)DEONAUTH P 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
A'DEBRIS Dec21 Nov20 Oct25 Sep18 Aug23 (journet albert)HERNANDEZ V 117 15.00    
KIT KAT KIDD Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Aug03 May24 (knudsen kent)FLORIAN JOSE 112 20.00    
RUMPUSINTHESKY May24 Apr20 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
KINFOLK Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Aug26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Dec27 Nov13 Oct23 Jun21 Jun08 (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   01/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKALL Jan02 Dec14 Oct29 Sep26 Aug28 (lara jorge)PEREZ CARLOS 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
MOKINGS Jan03 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00 33% 2.00    
THUNDER ROAD Jan02 Nov27 Jun10 May27 May14 (dodson cliffo)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAIL THE CAT Jan02 Aug20 Jun05 Mar06 Feb16 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 117 12.00    
QUARTER RAT Dec19 Nov13 Oct25 Sep11 Aug15 (reeves jeffe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 14% 6.00    
INSPECTOR ED Jul26 Jul04 May18 Mar07 Feb01 (knudsen kent)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
SCR  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Dec28 Dec11 Nov09 Oct29 Aug09 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 4.00    
SHANKINSTINE Dec19 Oct25 Oct12 May07 Mar07 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 112 15.00    
 
DED-7   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R T'S GEM Jan04 Nov26 Nov01 Oct18 Jun29 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
GIRL THIRSTY Jan02 Dec06 Nov21 Oct18 Aug22 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Jan04 Nov09 Oct18 Aug10 Jun22 (toups brent)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
IRONIT Oct18 Sep24 Aug22 Jun17 May27 (turner patti)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
WONDERRAND Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Jun14 Jun01 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
FORT POLK Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Jun17 May21 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00    
SCR  TENSAS CANDY Dec14 Nov26 Nov08 Aug31 Jul16 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 Aug22 May25 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
ALLIACEOUS Dec27 Dec06 Nov21 Oct18 Sep24 (bryant geor)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
10  NODAH Dec27 Nov26 Oct19 Aug17 Aug01 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
DED-8   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) Nov24 Oct31 Sep08 Aug10 Jun16 (wong jonatha)BARRERA J 120 2.00    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jan05 Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 Jul12 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
BARON OF THE NILE Dec28 Dec06 Oct25 Jun13 Mar06 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
SOUTH SIDE Dec14 Nov24 Oct29 Aug02 Jun20 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
DRIP D'ORO Nov27 Oct30 Oct01 Sep11 Aug18 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SAM'S PROMISE Jan04 Dec04 Nov06 Oct16 Sep16 (reeves jeffe)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAZING MARK Dec14 Oct12 Apr21 Mar15 Feb25 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
 
DED-9   01/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G E H GIANTS WAY Oct25 Aug23 Jul11 Jun21 May04 (cribeiro lazar)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00    
NORTHWIND Jan04 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep28 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 8% 11.20    
COASTAL DEFENSE Dec29 Dec05 Sep30 Sep20 Aug06 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
G'S STORM Nov13 Oct18 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Dec27 Dec11 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (bruno donal)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 20.00    
COOL RIDE Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00    
J'S LITTLE MAN Nov30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Dec28 Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 Jun24 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 2.50 44% 1.30    
CASTILLE Dec28 Oct31 Oct11 Jun16 May19 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 6.00    
10  FAMILY CREED Dec11 Nov16 Nov01 Jul30 Jul11 (gomez a)ROSIER R 117 10.00 6% 15.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.