Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/7)-(3/5/6)-(9/7/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(9/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(9/7/3/6)-(5/8/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/6)-(9/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/6)-(9/7/3/6)-(9/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/3/6)-(5/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/6)-(5/8/1/3)-(9/1/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/3)-(5/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/3)-(5/8/1/3)-(5/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/3)-(9/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/3)-(9/1/2/8)-(4/7/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8)-(9/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/2/8)-(4/7/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/8)-(4/7/1/8)-(8/6/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/8)-(8/6/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/8)-(8/6/7/1/3)-(6/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/1/3)-(8/6/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/1/3)-(8/6/7/1/3)-(8/6/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/7/1/3)-(6/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/1/3)-(6/8/1/2)-(6/4/5/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (6/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/2)-(6/4/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/4/5/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITWASTHISBIG Oct26 Sep20 Aug26 Aug18 Aug04 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct14 Oct08 Sep26 Sep11 Aug19 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  ACAMAR Nov27 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
4  LITIGANT Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 Jun27 Apr05 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 120 2.50 10% 9.50    
5  CAMPTOWN RACES Dec22 Aug30 Jun22 May30 Apr28 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
6  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Dec20 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 Aug02 (dominguez r)HESS SARA 113 15.00    
7  MEAN TWEETS Dec18 Nov27 Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
8  AWESOME PRINCE Dec11 Oct11 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 (aguayo ramon)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
 
TAM-2   01/01/2025 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIMENSIONALITY Nov21 Nov02       (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
2  WHIRLAWAR Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09   (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 112 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
3  FORCE OF LAW Nov23 Sep21 Aug23     (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POWER GAL by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SECURITYLIGHTNING Dec11 Sep21 Aug23     (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of ROSESANDLIGHTNING by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
5  QUEEN IN THE DECK Dec13 Oct27 Oct13 Sep05 Aug16 (munoz carlos)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CLARA BARTON by UNION RAGS)
6  ALLENHURST Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Sep14 Aug25 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of SPLASH OF ROSES by KAFWAIN)
 
TAM-3   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUDY BAY Dec13 Nov27 Oct23 Sep27 Sep15 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
2  MIGHTY MADI Dec13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug22 Aug08 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
3  SPECIAL AFFAIR Dec13 Nov27 Oct11 Sep27 Sep21 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Dec19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 Jul07 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  SHINING SKYE Oct06 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun01 (plesa j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
6  READY SHE IS Oct24 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 (cheeks katy)CASTANON L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  VERIFIABLE Dec11 Nov03 Mar22 Feb11 Jun30 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 4.50 10% 8.70    
8  HEARTBURN Oct18 Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 Jun15 (simone michae)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00    
9  ROTONDO Sep28 Aug30 Aug03 Jul06 Apr25 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
TAM-4   01/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYCOMB Sep26 Sep07 May31 Jun11 Mar30 (alessi jam)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 20.00 7% 12.90    
2  TABOR TIME Dec24 Oct18 Sep20 Jul13 Jun15 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
3  AIN'T NONCENTS Dec13 Nov20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug13 (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SYLLABUS Dec13 Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 Aug23 (dominguez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
5  OOPS HAHA Dec18 Nov27 Sep21 Aug11 Jul10 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  HEAVENS EXPRESS Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun23 May03 (guciardo kathy)HESS SARA 111 6.00    
7  CHANGE ORDER Dec13 Nov27 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.00    
8  KEEP ON ROCKIN Dec13 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-5   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMENSET Dec13 Nov10 Sep18 Jul28 Jun25 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  SHE'S A KEEPER Dec13 Nov27 Oct04 Sep04 Aug23 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  LUCKY GIRL COCO Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 May03 Apr10 (morales guille)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
SCR  YOOOU KNOW May25 May03 Mar13 Feb14 Nov19 (cibelli jane)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 (delgado h)CASTANON L 119 4.50    
6  MYLASTREDCENT Dec13 Dec04 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 119 20.00    
7  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Dec04 Sep08 Aug10 Jun23 May31 (rivera francisco)FERRER C 119 6.00    
8  MY JANNET Dec13 Nov27 Oct24 Oct17 Oct01 (kleine berna)BATISTA A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  ALCOHOL Nov24 Oct27 Sep20 Aug16 Jul13 (sanchez amador)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec13 Nov27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 (yanez r)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/01/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIKING QUEEN Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 Oct05 Aug28 (simone v)FERRER C 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  SPUNFORFUN Dec22 Dec04 Oct10 Aug31 Jul26 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00    
3  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Dec21 Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Oct04 (richards rena)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00    
4  SHABAM Dec13 Nov23 Oct10 Sep14 Sep05 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  SWEET NOLA Dec13 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
6  CUPIDS DREAM Dec13 Nov30 Oct31 Oct18 Sep20 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
7  MURUMBI Dec18 Nov27 Sep12 Aug07 Jul08 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  BOURBON BLAST Oct09 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (cheeks katy)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   01/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Dec06 Nov01 Oct25 Oct05 Sep01 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PUJOL Dec20 Oct17 Sep14 Aug07 Jul12 (cordero an)BATISTA X 123 6.00    
3  WARD LEADER Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug18   (ryan s)LEON SONNY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT LEGEND Dec11 Oct27 Sep26 Aug15   (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
5  DABOOM Dec11 Sep26 Aug22     (dimmett james)HESS SARA 116 15.00    
6  OCALA ROCKET Dec01 Aug02 Jul06 Apr27 Mar16 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
7  IN THE WEEDS Dec11         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
8  BEAUTY BOLT Dec05 Oct26 May21     (cowan natalie)BRACHO A 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
9  SON OF A SLEW Nov10 Oct05 Jul06 May18   (deaton wil)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 10.00    
10  RAGMAN Dec06 Nov01 Sep28 Jul13 Jun09 (collins john)FERRER C 123 6.00    
SCR  COACH PETRO Oct29 Sep26 Sep12 Aug01 Jun06 (granitz antho)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 4.00    
 
TAM-8   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAIT A SEC Dec20 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 May26 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GO GO STAR Dec13 Oct05 Sep07 Aug07 Jul06 (ashmore co)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Dec20 Dec04 Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 111 3.00    
4  IDEAL BREEZE Dec20 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (guciardo kathy)BAYS BROOKE 111 6.00    
5  MORETASTIC Dec18 Nov04 Oct20 Oct04 Sep20 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
6  SAVE THE BEES Dec04 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE Oct31 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jun25 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
8  TOP LOOK Dec18 Nov27 Oct31 Oct19 Sep08 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-9   01/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCENIC JUSTICE Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Dec24 Dec06 Sep11 Aug07 Jul22 (rice kevin)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00    
3  IT'S A FACT Oct27 Sep21 Aug24 Jul05 May31 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
4  DEAR SANTA Nov23 Oct16 Aug02 Jul03 Oct28 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
5  POLICY OPTION Dec24 Nov30 Oct19 Oct10 Sep08 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Dec14 Nov30 Oct11 Sep21 Jul20 (delgado h)FERRER C 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
7  UNCAPTURED BOY Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 May09 (rigattieri john)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
8  DARK AND FITZY Nov23 Oct06 Sep15 Dec24 Dec06 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SKIPPERINI Nov29 Sep21 Aug29 Jul27 Jun22 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
10  SWING LOW Dec22 Dec04 Aug08 Jul27 Jul10 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 119 15.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
SCR  FEUILLETON Dec04 Oct03 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 (dimmett james)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 15.00    
SCR  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Dec13 Nov15 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (kutt donn)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE Dec14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (simone mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.