Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/6)-(5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/8/1)-(5/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/1)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(5/1/2)-(3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/6)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/3/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/3/7/1)-(6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(6/1/4)-(8/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (8/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTASPELLA Aug15         (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
SCR  R SERENITY         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
3  FIREDINI Dec07         (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 124 8.00    
4  FREE CASH FLOW Nov15         (murillo ric)INIRIO J 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  JUST START DANCIN Dec13 Nov20 Jun06 May02   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEVER MORE VALOR Dec07 Nov17 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-2   12/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HORNBEAM Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Sep27 Sep14 (perri gin)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50    
2  MEMORY BOUQUET Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 Aug23 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 3.50    
3  ALVY Dec04 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (kreiser c)CORA D 125 2.50    
4  TIMELY PROSPECT Sep01 Feb16 Jan31 Dec13 Nov04 (russell b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  COUPERIN Dec13 Nov21 Oct24 Sep26 Aug03 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 120 8.00    
6  LOOKIN AT ROSES Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 Jun15 Jun01 (preciado guada)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HONORABLE AVENUE Dec18 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 (o'callahan )INIRIO J 121 30.00    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING AT IT Nov13 Oct24 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SYNONYM Dec04 Nov09 Sep20 Aug29 Jul31 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
3  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Nov20 Oct09 Sep18 Jul29 Jun29 (synnefias p)RAMOS O 121 6.00    
4  JUMP FOR THE WIN Nov13 Nov01 Sep26 Aug16 Jun23 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
5  GOOSE HUNTER Oct14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug26 Aug07 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 61% 0.70    
6  CURLINGTON Nov06 Sep27 Aug30 Aug01 Jul05 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Dec20 Dec12 Nov08 Oct23 Oct16 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00    
8  WISH FOR PEACE Dec06 Nov27 Nov06 Sep24 Aug16 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.50 9% 10.30    
 
PEN-4   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRACCESCA Dec04 Oct31 Oct03 Jul11 Jun12 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  STYLE TO FOLLOW Dec04 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 Oct11 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Dec04 Oct23 Jul11 Jun19 May31 (stowers michelle)FLORES E 120 6.00    
4  CELTIC TIGER Nov13 Apr22 Mar04 Feb12 Dec12 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 5.00    
5  CLOUD IN THE WIND Dec04 Nov13 Oct17 Sep24 Sep03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.00 64% 0.60    
6  WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Dec13 Nov02 Oct04 Sep11 Aug18 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO MONEY MO MONEY Oct09 Sep13       (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
2  TWENTY ONE KID Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 Sep28 Sep03 (wyner ha)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 6.00    
3  MISSION FIRST Nov26 Oct21 Jul06 Jun02   (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  QUILLING Nov22 Oct24       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
5  PUNCH IT MARGARET Oct24 Aug15       (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
6  HAWKSTONE Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 Sep13   (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  COLONEL BOB Nov26 Nov01 Oct05 Aug20   (reid e)BEATO INOEL 118 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Nov17 Oct13 Sep08 Aug24 Aug07 (synnefias p)RAMOS O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Dec01 Sep29 Sep10 Aug03 Jul21 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  MITROPANOS Dec06 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  ROLLY Dec13 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 (kravets m)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00    
5  SYLVIA I AM Dec12 Nov13 Jul31 Jul03 Jun26 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Dec15 Nov08 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00    
7  ANNA'S GOT STYLE Dec06 Nov15 Sep12 Aug30 May18 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN CACHE Dec13 Nov21 Nov02 Sep10 Aug20 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  PERIDOT PENDANT Dec13 Nov20 Nov01 May02   (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  FAYTASTIC Oct24 Sep09 Jul04 Jun12 May01 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
4  GIRVINIZED Oct24 Oct09 Jul04 May15 Apr25 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  SUNDRIA Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 Sep24 Sep11 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.50    
6  WARRIOR'S MISS Dec04 May15 Mar01 Jan11 Nov16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
7  AFRICAN ANGEL Nov15 Oct24 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50    
 
PEN-8   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSTREET Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 Jun19 May30 (rodriguez jose )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
2  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Dec11 Nov15 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50    
3  GREY STREAK Nov22 Nov13 Oct05 Sep15 Jun29 (kreiser c)CORA D 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  LIVING WATER Dec11 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 4.00    
5  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Dec11 Nov15 Oct31 Sep25 Aug15 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00    
6  POSITIVELY AWESOME Nov21 Sep25 Sep01 Aug01 Jul11 (kelly bla)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct05 Aug29 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Dec12 Aug16 Jun12 Oct10 Sep25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.