Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - December 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (8/9/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3/2)-(8/9/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3/2)-(8/9/1/3/2)-(8/9/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3/2)-(3/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/3/2)-(3/5/1/4)-(1/7/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4)-(1/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4)-(1/7/8/6)-(2/1/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(2/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(2/1/6/8)-(7/3/6/4/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/8)-(7/3/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/8)-(7/3/6/4/10)-(8/10/12/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (7/3/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/4/10)-(7/3/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/4/10)-(7/3/6/4/10)-(7/3/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/6/4/10)-(8/10/12/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/4/10)-(8/10/12/9/1)-(9/8/4/5/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-6   WIN (8/10/12/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/12/9/1)-(8/10/12/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/12/9/1)-(8/10/12/9/1)-(8/10/12/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/12/9/1)-(9/8/4/5/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/10/12/9/1)-(9/8/4/5/2)-(5/8/7/4/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (9/8/4/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/5/2)-(9/8/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/5/2)-(9/8/4/5/2)-(9/8/4/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/4/5/2)-(5/8/7/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/5/2)-(5/8/7/4/9)-(9/10/5/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (5/8/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4/9)-(5/8/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4/9)-(5/8/7/4/9)-(5/8/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/7/4/9)-(9/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/2)-(9/10/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/2)-(9/10/5/2/7)-(9/10/5/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEN         (ward dennis)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00 16% 5.20    
STARSHIP SKYWALKER Nov13 Sep24 Aug20     (ferraro anthon)LEON SONNY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
RUSTY PISTOL Feb24 Jan22 Dec30 Sep23   (jones douglas)BAYS BROOKE 117 10.00 7% 12.80    
KENRIC May04 Apr19 Apr07 Feb24 Dec24 (davis ric)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 15.00    
MITHRIDATES Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Sep28 Sep21 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00    
LIVING BY RULES Sep11 Aug10       (ashmore co)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 20.00    
ETERNAL GLORY May25 Jun04 Apr29 Mar31 Mar11 (contessa c)FERRER C 124 6.00    
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Oct26 Sep27 Jul06 May30 May02 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
FLATTERS CHANCE         (cudworth paul)HIRALDO JOHN 122 15.00 24% 3.20    
10  LITTLE LUKEY Apr14 Mar22       (ellebracht gar)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
11  LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Nov30 Sep06 Aug30     (paramo martin)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
 
TAM-2   12/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON ROSE Dec04 Aug30 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
POLA OF TROUBLE Dec04 Nov20 Sep29 Aug30 Jul26 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
NAA DUDETTE Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (waltke e)HESS SARA 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
BACHELORETTE Dec06 Nov20 Oct25 Oct11 Sep26 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPUNFORFUN Dec04 Oct10 Aug31 Jul26 May27 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
SUSIE'S SAVER Nov20 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Aug13 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 30.00    
LOVE UNLIMITED Dec06 Aug29 Aug17 Jul27 May03 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 8.00    
NINETYNINECARATS Dec04 Oct23 Sep27 Sep01 Jul04 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 118 5.00    
 
TAM-3   12/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRD CITY Dec06 Nov20 Oct23 Oct09 Sep24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
DIAL HIM UP May22 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Mar03 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 114 15.00    
POSEIDONS MYTH Nov20 Nov03 Sep14 May26 Apr27 (ubide max)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 15.00    
HURRICANE DUDE Dec06 Oct22 Oct09 Sep11 Aug05 (hamm timothy)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
GRAND DANIEL Nov17 Oct25 Nov25     (orantes r)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00    
VENEZUELAN FAITH Nov30 Jun08 May17 Apr26 Feb07 (nunez maurici)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
LE MISTRAL Nov20 Nov03 Sep27 Sep06 Jul20 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Nov29 Sep25 Sep07 Jul27 Jun29 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-4   12/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE Nov30 Oct23 Oct02 Aug13 Aug05 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
AFERDITA Nov12 Oct20 Sep20 Aug27 Jun03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
CALISUE Nov30 Oct26 Sep22 Aug18 Jul11 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00    
FOR THE BISCUIT Nov05 Oct04 Sep25 Aug24 Aug09 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
SPRING SPINNING Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 Jun13 May30 (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
VOGELSANG Sep28 Aug29 Jun13 May22 May02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Dec11 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Nov30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug09 Jul20 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   12/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA JENELLE Nov08 Oct18 Jun24     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
GOONIE Nov15 Oct09 Sep14 Aug25   (clark a)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
CAJUN PRIME Nov10 Oct18 Sep07 Aug10 Jul12 (yates michael)FERRER C 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
YLANA         (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 10.00 6% 16.70    
O K TO DANCE Nov09 Oct10       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.50    
STELLA BROWN Nov18 Nov06       (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 12.00 21% 3.90    
DAS IST ALLES ALLY Nov17 Oct20 Oct05 Aug31   (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
WHEN IN ROMA Dec07 Oct04       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 119 5.00    
HER LUCKY DIAMOND Oct10 Sep23 Aug26     (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00    
10  CHICA CATHOLIC Oct26 Sep01       (cascallare)URDANETA J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Dec07 Nov08 Sep08 Jul19   (kutt donna)URDANETA J 119 8.00    
SCR  QURBAAN D ORO Dec07 Nov20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00    
SCR  SURPRISE COCO Dec07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07   (morales guille)COTTO L 119 30.00    
SCR  SUNNY MONDAY         (parra )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'MONEY HONEY Dec13 Sep25 Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 (cahill f)HESS SARA 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
RAGTIME BLUES Nov20 Nov02 Sep20 Aug30 Jul19 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
FORT ATTITUDE Dec13 Nov16 Nov01 Sep13 Aug30 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Aug30 Jun22 May30 Apr28 Apr03 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 122 15.00    
SNEAKINESS Aug16 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan26 (avila car)SUAREZ JESUS 122 5.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNEONME Dec11 Nov06 Oct05 Sep25 Aug29 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Dec13 Oct14 Sep19 Aug24 Aug12 (dimmett james)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
TRUTH AND HONESTY Dec01 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Nov20 Sep15 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  RICHY Dec06 Nov15 Oct20 Aug23 Jun07 (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
11  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Dec14 Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 Sep08 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00    
12  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 Jul06 Jun22 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 12.00 20% 4.00    
13  NINTH OF APRIL Nov15 Oct16 Sep21 Aug30 Aug13 (simone michael)SUAREZ JESUS 122 30.00    
 
TAM-7   12/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLOFT Nov30 Oct24 Oct04     (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 4.50    
NO TELLING Nov30 Sep15       (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BABY ANTONIO Dec07 Sep14 Aug17 Jul18   (lopez mario)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 30.00    
FLASH FROZEN         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
GRAND LIAM Nov27 Oct19 Oct06 Sep07 Aug24 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CITY TIME Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 Jun21 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
GAP TO GAP Nov30 Oct11 Sep07     (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
LODATO         (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
THINGAMABOB Nov30         (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
10  GREY SHADOW Oct12 Sep07 Aug30 Aug12 Jul25 (rodri)DOMINGUEZ G 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   12/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNE ROAD Dec11 Nov27 Oct15 Oct03 Sep16 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00    
OVERHAUL Dec05 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (alessi james)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
MUGATU Dec15 Nov15 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 (engler jeff)CASTANON L 118 2.50    
SLIM SLOW SLIDER Nov09 Sep21 Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 20.00 5% 18.80    
HAVILDAR Nov15 Oct18 May27 Apr19 Mar16 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 1.60 29% 2.40    
PRAIRIE HAWK Nov22 Aug09 Jun23 Apr20 Apr15 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
SWINGING SOLO Nov16 Oct12       (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 16% 5.30    
PANDO Dec04 Oct16 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
SWING LOW Dec04 Aug08 Jul27 Jul10 Jun24 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   12/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL'S DAUGHTER Nov03 Oct18 Sep04 Aug04 Apr26 (amaya gustav)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Aug19 Jun18 May20 Jun14   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY LYNX Dec04 Oct24 Oct02     (downing william)CENTENO E 121 15.00    
CHICA MUSIC Oct25 Oct05 Sep22 Sep04 Aug01 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 121 20.00    
IPSE DIXIT Nov30         (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAR ABOVE Dec04 Oct13 Sep27 Aug11 Jul14 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
SHE'S THAT GIRL Mar02 Feb14 Dec16     (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 12.00    
DREAMING OF CARLI Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep26 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 124 20.00    
VICTORY GIRL Sep15 Jul26 Jun07 May05 Sep01 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 121 1.00 66% 0.50    
10  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 Aug19   (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  GAMBI Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 Sep13 Aug24 (alessi james)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
SCR  HARMONY ABARRIO Sep01 Aug04 Jun20     (romero rafa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00    
SCR  TINS Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 Aug24 Aug15 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.