Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (9/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/1)-(9/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/5/1)-(1/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(1/4/5)-(6/5/2/1/9) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/5/2/1/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/5/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1/9)-(6/5/2/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1/9)-(6/5/2/1/9)-(6/5/2/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1/9)-(1/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/1/7/3)-(9/4/2/3/6) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(9/4/2/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/4/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/3/6)-(9/4/2/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/3/6)-(9/4/2/3/6)-(9/4/2/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  COURT CONTENDER Sep20 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (simone)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40    
KHOZANDO Oct22 Sep18 Sep03 Aug28 Aug19 (fletcher j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00    
SCR  MACHO SMOKE Oct06 Sep22 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (montano wilf)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 50.00    
YEUDIEL Sep22 Sep16 Sep04 Aug05 Jul23 (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
MORE THAN GOOD Oct28 Oct02 Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50    
SCR  ESCAPE VELOCITY Oct20 Sep23 Sep08 Aug06 Jul21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
TONALTALITARIAN Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 120 10.00    
SECRET PATH Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
MNR-2   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN NIGHT Oct30 Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 (inirio o)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  UP IN ARMS Oct13 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 Aug27 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00    
MARKET OF STOCKS Oct23 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 Aug16 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
ORBITING THE SKY Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Oct13 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 (inman l)WHITACRE B 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
LA BRODY Oct29 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 (lawrence d)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MORE SAVVY Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
 
MNR-3   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAMBY BOOM Oct02 Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (cambray andre)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by KLIMT out of SACRED MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  DANCING KING (IRE)         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 118 6.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of DANCING DESTROYER by JIMMY CREED)
VESTAL'S GAP Oct30         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 118 8.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PROBALE TEN Sep08 Aug22 Jul25 Apr17   (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.20 33% 2.10    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Oct02 Aug29 Jul18 Jul05   (vaughn terry)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DARK CORNER by INTO MISCHIEF)
NATIONAL PUNCHLINE Oct28         (jensen justi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
 
MNR-4   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOPPED Oct14 Oct01 Aug20 Aug13 Jul10 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug15 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 7% 12.50    
CANDY KINGDOM Oct27 Oct10 Sep18 Sep08 Aug13 (mcfall robert)WHITACRE B 120 12.00    
BIG FALCON ROCKET Oct14 Oct06 Sep11 Aug18 Aug05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
DEVIL VISION Oct10 Oct03 Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
OWN THE TOWN Oct22 Sep30 Jul08 Jun17 May14 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
AMICUS BRIEF Oct29 Oct07 Sep22 Sep01 Aug13 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00    
INNUENDO (IRE) Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Aug26 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
POLITICAL Sep02 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May07 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   11/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC KING Aug08 Jun13 May01 Apr21 Mar10 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
KNOWN Oct22 Sep29 Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00 8% 11.50    
KING SOCIAL Oct27 Oct03 Aug13 Apr08 Mar14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Oct27 Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Sep08 (simone)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
VISUAL ARTIST Sep27 Sep04 Jul22 Jun12 May25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
TAPAWAY Oct13 Sep08 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 (vickers richard)NEGRON LUIS 123 50.00    
SKYCRAFT Oct27 Sep22 Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
EVENT PARTY Oct27 Oct13 Oct01 Sep18 Sep08 (clouston edward)TAPARA LUIS 123 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
MNR-6   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELANEY'S GRACE Oct22 Oct05 Sep13 Aug28 Aug14 (quezada in)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50    
SMOKEN CHLOE Oct22 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Sep10 (robillard jo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Oct16 Sep22 Sep15 Aug23 Aug01 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  MORNING HOLIDAY Oct26 Oct04 Sep01     (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
QADIRA Sep12 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 118 3.50    
FIVEMINUTSOFPASION Oct06 Sep10       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-7   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BETTY Oct01 Aug21 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
LARIMAR Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
GIRL BYE Oct20 Sep29 Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
COMIDA COMIDA Oct01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun17 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 120 5.00    
Q BOND Sep20 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 (cambray andr)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
QUARTERFLASH Mar13 Feb21 Jan11 Nov15 Oct24 (fletcher k)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 10.00    
THUNDER BUGGY Oct29 Oct20 Sep29 May12 Mar08 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAILING ALONG Aug25 Aug04 Jun25 Jun17 Mar26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 15.00    
 
MNR-8   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT CHAOS Oct27 Oct14 Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 (fletcher kevin)YARANGA Y 123 3.00    
YOUVESAIDITALL Oct16 Oct01 Sep22 Sep04 Aug21 (clouston edward)TAPARA LUIS 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
MAS CHIKILIN Oct23 Oct06 Sep22 Sep10 Aug18 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
IT'S FATE Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug21 Jul09 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
BOURBON DELIGHT Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 Aug01 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
TAKE CHARGE GENT Sep09 May19 Mar08 Feb23 Dec22 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 12.00 6% 16.50    
ALMASHRIQ Oct16 Sep30 Sep23 Aug18 Jul27 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
DUEL FUEL Oct16 Sep30 Sep18 Sep08 Aug20 (lopez-olm)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
ALTMEISTER Oct13 Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Jul29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TEMBO Oct27 Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Jun01 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.