Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/3)-(4/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/3)-(4/5/9/3)-(4/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/7/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2/8)-(5/7/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2/8)-(5/7/1/2/8)-(5/7/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/9/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/7/3)-(2/9/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/7/3)-(2/9/5/7/3)-(2/9/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (10/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/8)-(10/5/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/8)-(10/5/1/2/8)-(10/5/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-9   WIN (12/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/11/7)-(12/11/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/11/7)-(12/11/7/3/1)-(12/11/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/7)-(6/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/7)-(6/2/1/7)-(6/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   09/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALI RAI Aug25         (cole-davis tin)CAMACHO SAMY 119 30.00    
  (by ALI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Aug17 Jul27 Jun08 Aug27 Jul23 (breen kell)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CAT MISTRESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
J WILLARD Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 Jun16 Jun08 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
ONE FINE WINE Aug25 Jul26 Jul06 Jun08 May18 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
AIR MASQUE Aug25 Jul06 Jun08 May18 Mar09 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
BINGO'S ESPRESSO Aug25 Aug09       (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
WHISKEY AND RAIN Aug25 Aug17 Aug09 Jul06 Oct13 (simon linda)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
FANCY'S ROSEBUD Jul14 Jul06 Jun08     (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of WALKING PRIMROSE by RAVEN'S PASS)
ALLISON PARK Aug25 Jul21 Jul06     (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 123 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
SCR  MOLLY'S A BULLET Aug25 Jul26 Jul06 Aug27 Jul21 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 5.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  GOLDEN RING Aug25         (huston k)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN ABOUT LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
MTH-2   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUSTIN FROM BOSTON Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
SCR  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Aug30 Aug16 Jul21 Jun01 Apr18 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 114 8.00    
ERNIE BANKER Aug16 Jun02 May12 Apr07 Mar16 (hurley re)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
FITTS Jun23 May26 Aug20 Jul02 Jun16 (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
WHIZWIT Jun29 Jun02 May05 Mar26 Feb24 (perkins jr)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY MAMBA Sep01 Jul28 Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.50    
CAPTURE THE TIME May18 May01 Apr14 Apr06 Feb21 (yanez )ROJAS EDUARDO 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
MTH-3   09/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M DUE         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of CANDELABRA by PURGE)
AUDA BE LUCKY         (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LATTE DA by TIZNOW)
S J B EXPRESS Aug03         (o'conne)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FULLY AUTHORIZED Aug24         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of STREAK OF LUCK by OLD FASHIONED)
FOLLOW THE TREND (GB)         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALMIRANTA by GALILEO (ARG))
WILD CAPTAIN Aug25         (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAYBE WILD by ESKENDEREYA)
ASTERN COMMAND         (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00 10% 9.20    
  (by ASTERN out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
VICTOR'S DREAM Aug25         (gomez )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of OVATION by DUNKIRK)
VINO VIDI VICI Aug24         (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of IT'SCHEMISTRYBABY by MEADOWLAKE)
10  PLEASANT FANTASY Aug04         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of STARSHIP FANTASY by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  BOARDWALK JACK Aug25 Jul26       (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of EBONY BALL by PARK AVENUE BALL)
 
MTH-4   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNEAKINESS Aug16 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan26 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 5.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 (gomez )ROJAS EDUARDO 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
EMPIRE'S SCORE Jun23 Jun12 May27 May07 Apr22 (brown howard )RIVERA D 124 20.00 6% 15.50    
MAJESTIC TIGER Sep23 Sep11 Aug12 Jul29 May26 (grullon rique)KAY R 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
RASCALLY REBEL Jul28 Jul12 Jun30 Jun23 Jun02 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jun23 May27 Nov02 Oct25 Aug12 (grullon ri)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00    
SPOTTED BULL Aug16 Jul07 Jun01 May12 Apr22 (serey juan)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
BARGAINING POWER Sep01 Aug10 Aug04 Jul07 Jun22 (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50    
 
MTH-5   09/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A NEW PEACE Aug22 Aug14 Jul07 Jun27 Jun08 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00    
GO BIG GREEN Jul31 Jun28 Jun09 Apr19 Mar23 (breen kell)RIVERA R 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
ANADOR (FR) Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 Apr13 (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
CINDY'S SONG Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May04 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
MOSLER'S IMAGE Apr06 Mar03 Jan28 Nov04 Oct19 (o'connell kat)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 12% 7.30    
PANOTTI Nov19 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
RED WIND Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 7% 13.10    
GIRLY THE BUTCHER Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 8.00    
BIZYMALINE Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May10 (david a)BRAVO J 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  ROSE E HOLIDAY Aug24 Aug04 Jul12 Jun15 Feb11 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
 
MTH-6   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY CHARM Sep02 Aug09 Jul12 Jun13 May25 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 2.50    
SCR  VIOLETS SMILE Aug25 Jul05 Jun01 May11 Oct08 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
SCR  SKY BABY Aug19         (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00    
I'M A CUTIE PIE Aug09 Apr06 Mar22 Feb25 Feb09 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 32% 2.10    
PATTY VAN TWINKLE Aug11 Jul21 Jun19 May31 Jan01 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00    
PLEASANT EMBRACE Aug09 Jun02 May04 Apr10 Mar13 (breen kell)RIVERA R 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
MY HONEYBUNCH Aug16 Aug09 Jul14 Jun21 May11 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 108 12.00    
FOOLISH CHALLENGE Aug16 Jul12 Jun01 May11   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   09/07/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC EAGLE Aug31 Aug16 Jun23 Jun08 May26 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 6% 15.30    
EDDIE THE GREAT Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 (gonzalez claudio)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50    
CABINET PIK Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 Aug26 Aug19 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
SCR  ANY SUGAR HONEY Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun06 Sep14 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 122 20.00    
GET BACK GOLDIE Aug11 Jul20 Jun15 May26 Apr13 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 7% 13.50    
BABY BOOMER Jul21 Jul06 Feb23 Feb09 Nov24 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
MARATHONER Aug11 Jul03 Jun13 May19 Aug11 (montoya marya)BRAVO J 119 6.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Aug24 Aug17 Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
FADETHENOISE Aug02 Jun13 Feb09 Dec29 Dec08 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
10  VOLKERT May09 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 3.50 66% 0.50    
11  ONE FAST DREAM Jun22 Apr06 Mar22 Jan17 Dec14 (hernand)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 May19 May04 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGH HEAT Sep02 Jul19 Jun23 May19 May02 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
SCR  HONORARY DEGREE Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00    
 
MTH-8   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Smoke Glacken Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J ZO ZO Aug25 Jul26 Jul04     (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
RESILIENT HERO May27         (jimenez j)VARGAS A 116 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
GIANLUCA BE LUCKY Aug03         (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 116 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of STARSHIP DIVA by ELTISH)
ROYAL PERFORMANCE Jul26         (breen j)BRAVO J 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BORN TO ROYALTY by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
DOMINICAN THUNDER Jul25 Jun06       (jimenez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
MY MILITARY HERO Aug03 Jul13       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 116 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DINN RIGH by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
SCR  NOBLE FORCE Aug24 Jun21       (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 118 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GUESS WHAT by PROUD CITIZEN)
SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT Jul28         (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
ANTISOCIAL         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 116 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOCIABLE by BOLD BIDDING)
 
MTH-9   09/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAL Aug25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun21 May26 (frangella jame)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
PICCOLO DIAVOLO Aug23 Aug03 Jun22 Apr21 Mar10 (weaver georg)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
SPECTACULAR LUCK Aug23 Jul26 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50    
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Jun10 Mar29 Feb28 Feb16 Dec29 (babcock rebe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 30.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul03 Feb26 Feb05 Oct25 Sep26 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
MAMA BANNED ME Aug23 Jul26 Jun26 Jan14 Dec28 (hernandez)VARGAS A 119 6.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Aug18 Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 Jun30 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
TITANIUM RECKAGE Aug19 May01 Apr24 Mar25 Mar06 (truehart jennif)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
IMPULSIVE SPENDING Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun01 May25 (arenas marcel)JARA FERNANDO 124 10.00    
10  SOCIAL JOE Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
11  GUN RIGHT Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 May18 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 15.00 35% 1.80    
12  ADIOS BUCCANEER Aug17 Jul04 Apr14 Dec21 Dec03 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
MTH-10   09/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP TICKET Aug23 Aug17 Jul14 Jul05 Jun09 (ramirez silvi)OLVER MADISON 117 10.00 10% 9.10    
JERSEY PERFECTION Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 May26 Apr14 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
THREETHIRTYTHREE Aug18 Jul13 Jul06 Jun02 Apr13 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Aug18 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
HARD SPUN FANTASY Aug31 Aug11 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 (serey jr)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
SHOGUN BE FAST Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 Apr24 Mar24 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.00 36% 1.80    
STRONG LIGHT Jun29 May18 Apr20 Apr07 Mar30 (samsundar rosh)MOYA F 119 12.00 7% 13.00    
LONELY RIDE Aug13 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 Jan21 (ryan s)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.