Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/10/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/2/5)-(8/10/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/2/5)-(8/10/6/2/5)-(8/10/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (12/1/9/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/9/5/10)-(12/1/9/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/9/5/10)-(12/1/9/5/10)-(12/1/9/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/31/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Aug09 Jul06 Dec15 Nov12 Oct06 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of CAMILLE'S COMET by BUSTIN STONES)
2  WILD JAIME Aug09 Jun16 May19 Nov30 Oct06 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
3  FRANKIE G Jun16 Jun01 Jul23 Jul01   (cash russell )OLVER MADISON 119 12.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  RANUNCULUS Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 123 4.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
5  CHANGING THE KARMA Aug09 Jul25 Jul14 Jun09 Jun01 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  PEALING LAD Jul21 Jun16 May19 Mar01 Feb04 (perkins jr)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 7% 13.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BELLS IRISH FANCY by DUNKIRK)
SCR  KING DARIO         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SPLASH OF ROSES by KAFWAIN)
8  VESPARO Aug09 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 Oct06 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
9  LECANTO Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 Jun21 May19 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
10  PERROTTO Aug23 Jul21 Jun02 May19 Oct06 (sacco gregory )RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
MTH-2   08/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAS IST ALLES ALLY         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  PRINCESS MIA Jul31         (avila j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 8.00    
3  ROSIEONTHERIVER Aug17         (delgado jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  THAT THING YOU DO         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  BUGGED OUT Aug03 Jul04       (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
6  ALYVIA MAVIS Aug19         (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LADY COLLECTED Aug23 Jul27 Jun16     (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
 
MTH-3   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY STREET MONEY Jul24 Jul14 Jun06 May09 Jun17 (antonacci phil)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May01 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
3  SONIC SPEED Aug24 Jul28 Jun20 May03 Feb08 (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  MAJESTIC EAGLE Aug16 Jun23 Jun08 May26 May11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 ★    
5  NEW YORK PANTHER Aug01 Jul07 Jun28 Mar08 Feb16 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  HIGH TIDE Aug23 Jul24 Jul05 May26 Apr14 (atras rob)VARGAS A 121 3.50    
7  COLPO D'ORO Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May11 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Jul24 Jul05 May18 Mar23 Feb17 (potts wayne)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50    
9  MICROPHONE (IRE) Aug16 Jul05 Jun07 Mar08 Jan04 (sweezey kent)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
 
MTH-4   08/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FOR WATER Aug10 Jul05 Apr27 Mar22 Feb25 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  SINGALONG KAYLA Aug19 Apr07 Feb25 Jan31 Jan19 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
3  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Jul14 May01 Apr09 Mar13 Feb26 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
SCR  MADE BIRDIE Aug17 Jul12 Jun30 Jun15 May25 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Aug24 Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 Feb08 (mazza j)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
6  SADIE THE GOAT Jun15 May18 Apr24 Mar31 Mar14 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 ★    
7  SPUNFORFUN Jul26 May27 Apr05 Mar15 Jan26 (avila j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 4.00    
 
MTH-5   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Violet Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CLASSY ONE Jul06 Jun02 May11 Sep10 Aug19 (breen j)BRAVO J 118 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
2  BLOOD ORANGE Jul13 Jun29 May25 Apr27 Mar23 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
3  DAMASO Aug17 Jul04 Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  CANISY Jul13 Jun08 Apr21 Mar23 Aug11 (delacour )VARGAS A 124 3.50    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
5  MAMAN JOON (IRE) Jul20 Jun15 May11 Apr06 Dec26 (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DORCAS LANE by NORSE DANCER (IRE))
6  CECILE (IRE) Jul20 Jun28 May30 Aug13 Jul22 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 118 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GREAT LOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BEACH BOMB (SAF)         (motion graha)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by LANCASTER BOMBER out of BEACH BEAUTY by DYNASTY)
 
MTH-6   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sapling Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROXTON Jul09         (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 116 10.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of QUEEN OF RACES by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
2  TRULY LEGIT Jul02         (davis christop)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 ★    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of JORDAN'S HENNY by HENNY HUGHES)
3  GLOBAL LEGEND Aug10 Jun08       (casse mark)BRAVO J 116 3.00 6% 14.70    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of IM A DIXIE DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
4  JOEY MUSCLES Aug10 Jul07 Jun08     (antonucci jena)CAMACHO SAMY 116 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by KHOZAN out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  MAJORITY OPINION Jul29         (johnson b)JUAREZ NIK 116 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by HALF OURS out of MAGGIES RANSOM by THUNDER GULCH)
6  SWEET FANTASY Aug21 Jul14 Jun22 May09   (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  CRAZY FRAZY Aug03 Jul13 Jun02     (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00    
  (by BLAME out of D'ORO PARADISE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
MTH-7   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH NOBLE Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 Apr21 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
2  FAST PAYDAY Aug21 Aug10 Mar27 Mar15 Mar01 (gallegos jose )TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00    
3  LORD KNOWS Aug11 Jul20 Jul03 Jun11 Apr17 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50    
SCR  SHOGUN BE FAST Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 Apr24 Mar24 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120 6.00    
5  PANDO Jul27 Jun30 Jun02 May09 Apr13 (schultz lindsay)BRAVO J 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  NOT THISTIMERANDY Aug10 Jul24 Jun26 Jun17 May26 (paterno)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
7  FOOD BANK HELPER Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 Apr27 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
8  HARD SPUN FANTASY Aug11 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 May26 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00    
9  GOOD MEDICINE Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May27 May09 (pletcher )VARGAS A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 Apr10 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Aug18 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
12  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Jul12 Jun29 May11 Feb25 Jan21 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 59% 0.70    
 
MTH-8   08/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FESTINATE Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 (huston )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 5.00    
2  CANADIAN PHAROAH Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Jun22 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
3  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
4  CUPID'S DUDE Aug11 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 May21 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
5  IMPETUD Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr10 Mar20 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 8.00    
6  BOOK RUNNER Aug22 Jul19 Jun26 Jun04 May15 (salinas jose)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WANDERING WEST Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 Jun22 Jun01 (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
8  ENGLISH BOB Apr27 Apr07 Mar09 Jan28 Dec23 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
MTH-9   08/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  MO REWARDS Aug03 Jul10 Jun16 Jun07 May12 (ness jamie)ADORNO ABNER 121 10.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Aug11 Jul20 May25 Apr14 Mar16 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
4  UNCLE CURLY Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May02 Apr12 (walder r)BRAVO J 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GET BACK GOLDIE Aug11 Jul20 Jun15 May26 Apr13 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May11 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May01 Mar30 (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 122 3.00    
8  WINNING FACTOR Jul20 May11 Apr21 Aug19 Jul29 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 5.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  MORE THAN WORK Jul08 Jun17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May03 Apr12 (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.