Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(7/3/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5)-(7/3/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/5)-(7/3/8/9)-(6/2/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/9)-(7/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/9)-(7/3/8/9)-(7/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/9)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/9)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(6/1/4)-(7/9/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(7/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/9/8/6)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/8/6)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/6)-(3/6/5)-(3/5/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/5/7/6)-(7/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/6)-(7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-9   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD DART Jul27         (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00    
2  OLIVIERA         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CHICKIN LICKIN Jul11         (figgins olli)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 1.60    
4  TIERRA SANTA         (williams)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  THOUSAND AND WON         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  JULIA'S A FOX Jul21 Jun22       (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
 
CNL-2   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL GUAPO Aug13 Jul25 Feb10 Jan21 Dec27 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 15.00    
2  GROUP EIGHTEEN Jun30 Jun01 Apr14 Mar14 Feb08 (figgins ollie )ROSADO JOHAN 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  GOODLUCKCHUCK Jul19 Jun29 May15 Feb08 Dec27 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 125 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  ZOOMER Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 May28 May04 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 2.00    
5  BRUCE BANNER Jul26 Jun30 Jun01 Feb21 Feb07 (campbell)GALLARDO A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jul26 Jun28 May21 Apr30 Apr08 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.50    
7  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Aug01 Jun29 Jun10 May04 Apr13 (paterno robert)ALLEN D 125 8.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  MY WAY OR NO WAY Aug15 Jul11 May01 Apr19 Mar15 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 125 30.00    
9  HE IS BONAFIDE Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 Dec15 Nov24 (garza hector)FUENTES MARIO 125 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE ANDREW Aug01 Jul20 Jun30 Jun10 May21 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  JUPITER BLUES Apr06 Mar09 Feb04 Jan12 Sep22 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 12.00    
3  SLIPPIN JIMMY Aug01 Jul19 Nov04 Oct28 Sep01 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  REVERE NOTE Jul30 Jul07 May21 Mar27 Feb14 (davis christop)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00    
5  SPRITZER Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 Jun19 May18 (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
6  LOVE YOU MUCH Aug16 Sep01 Aug06 May28 Aug23 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00    
7  THE CONNECTOR Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 Apr28 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  MY BOY BLUE Jul11 May25 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
9  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Jul19 May04 Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
CNL-4   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIANT TONES         (milosevic m)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SERENA'S JOY by FORESTRY)
2  BUY TOM A BEER Aug13 Jul25       (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SARAMAR by LANGFUHR)
3  BULL RIDER Jul25         (figgins ollie )ROSADO JOHAN 122 30.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PASCUALA by NICANOR)
4  LUCKY CAT Jul25         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PRAYER CIRCLE by INCLUDE)
5  RUNNER EYES         (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of OCCASIONALLY by TIZNOW)
6  GANGSTER Aug02 May17       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
7  ARCTIC OUTBREAK Aug01         (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PICTURESQUE by SMART STRIKE)
 
CNL-5   08/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENNIE Jul26 Feb04 Dec29 Nov26 Nov02 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  GREEN BEANS Aug13 Jul25 Feb25 Jan07 Oct14 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
3  TIK TOK DADDY Jul07 Jun16 Jun07 Apr07 Feb24 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 114 20.00    
4  CECIL THE GREAT Jun01 Apr20 Mar08 Feb01 Jan04 (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAND LEADER Jul26 Aug19 Aug05 Sep07   (williams)GALLARDO A 124 2.00    
6  LOTHARIO Jul19 Jun09 Oct01 Aug19 Aug05 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
7  NANCY MADE MY DAY Jul20 Apr07 Mar22 Feb04 Jan14 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
 
CNL-6   08/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER FRONT Aug13 Jul27 May24 Sep09 Aug25 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
2  HAPPY JAUNT Jul27 Jul12 Jun15 May24 Oct01 (barr dona)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
3  JETAROS Jul27 Jul27 Jun10 May20 Apr23 (pompay terri)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00    
4  VINSANITY Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 Jun07 May26 (gardea abraham)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00    
SCR  THIS IS GOOD Jul12 Nov03 Oct15     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 20.00    
6  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Aug03 Jul12       (lingenfelter thomas)CORA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  COAST ALONG Jul21 Jun21 May19 Apr21 Aug11 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
8  GREAT IDEA Aug03 Jul14 Jun21 Nov17 Nov09 (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  ZARTOWNIS Jul11 Jun16 Mar28 Feb09 Dec29 (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
CNL-7   08/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASTER MUNNINGS Jul19 Mar27 Feb17     (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50    
2  KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE Jul27         (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 30.00    
3  UNION BULLDOG Jul20 Jun14 Mar04 Feb11 Dec31 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 1.20 64% 0.60    
4  NAVY ADMIRAL Jul21 Oct05       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
5  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Jul18 Jun16 May30 Aug05 Jun30 (kelly blake)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  REGGAE MAN Apr13 Mar27 Feb29 Feb11 Jan14 (mcgoey m)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 9% 10.30    
SCR  KAUAI BREEZE May08         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
8  GRAND KINGDOM Jul20 Nov11 Oct22 Sep30 Sep01 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOLOMIO Aug11 Aug03 Jun29 Mar03 Feb08 (desormeaux k)ASHTON GAVIN 123 2.00    
2  WRITEITONTHEICE Aug15 Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 May18 (zook w)LEON A 123 30.00    
3  SMART STRIKER Aug11 May22 Apr26 Apr04 Dec13 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Aug16 Jul19 Jul07 Jun19 Jun02 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 118 10.00    
5  QUOKKA Jul25 Jun13 Apr26 Mar09 Feb03 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
6  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 Jun10 (gotera jua)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00 10% 9.30    
7  SPLENDID SUMMER Jul26 Jun01 Aug16 Jun22 May14 (klesaris steve)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
8  NORTHERN TICK TOCK Jul20 Jun23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul14 (brion keri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug13 Jul18 Sep28 Aug23 Aug01 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 123 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCKPINS Jul26 Jun21 Jun02 May26 May10 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 5.00 14% 5.90    
2  GET THEM DIGITS Jul26 Oct05 Sep06 Aug26 Aug02 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  PINFIRE May30 Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 Sep14 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 123 1.80    
4  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Jul26 Feb18 Dec27 Sep16 Jul29 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
SCR  FREE DROP BACH Jun15 May23 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
6  RYE DIGGITYDOG Jul13 Jun04 Oct27 Sep29 Sep04 (mcmahon hugh )KARAMANOS A 118 4.00    
7  PAYNTED BLUE Jun06 May10 Feb16 Dec24 Dec10 (grainger)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 45% 1.20    
8  ZALFIERRO Sep16 Sep07 Aug25 Aug17 Jun30 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  DRUM AND DRUMMER Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May31 Apr28 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 30.00    
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC Aug13 Jun13 May26 Aug10 Jul23 (allen ferri)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.