Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(2/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/5)-(2/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(1/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (1/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/8/9)-(1/7/5/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL COMMAND Jul29 Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 Apr07 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  BAILS HIM OUT Jul29 Jul22 Jun24 May28 May07 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
3  RELOAD BULLET Jul22 Jun04 May28 May12 Dec17 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00    
4  CLASSY BOY Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Sep01 Jun18 (ceccato sharon)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.00    
5  SENSING HOLIDAY Jul15 Oct27 Oct16 Sep04 Aug21 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   08/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SQUARE Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 Apr30 Apr22 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  RED MAPLE Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Oct10 Sep04 (wieczorek kendr)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00    
3  SHAKOO MAKOO Oct21 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Jul10 (alder)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 1.80    
4  ACE DESTROYER Jul29 Nov27 Oct30 Oct10 Sep18 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  LION OF THE SEA Jul01 Jun02 Apr28 Mar06 Feb14 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 120 5.00    
6  MOBILIZER Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun07 May28 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 May03 Apr21 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROAD MAP Jul30 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  SO BREANNA Jul22 Jul08 Nov04 Oct16 Oct03 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 5.00    
4  MS SUEDOO Jul16 Jun25 Dec10 Nov12 Oct24 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50    
5  SWEET FINALE Jul30 Jul21 Jun04 May11 Apr27 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  LOUEMMA Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Oct09 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 6.00    
7  ORBITING THE SKY Jul07 May21 Feb05 Jan04 Dec06 (robil)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
FE-4   08/13/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INITTOWINIT Jul25 Nov18 Oct08 Sep21 Sep01 (dixon patrick)AEBLY FRASER 115 2.00 7% 13.70    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of GAME by MONTJEU)
2  AMI'S GIRL Jul29 Jul11 Jun16 May28 May12 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  IMPECCABLE TIMING Jul25 Jun20 Jun06 Apr28 Nov24 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SKYE SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  P T BEAUCETTE Jul15 Jun25       (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of BEAUCETTE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
5  LUCKY LOUISE Jul02         (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
6  ROHESE Jul25 Jul07 Jun25 May28 May11 (wil)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 12.00    
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
7  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Jul22 Jul02 Dec07 Nov17   (newland georg)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of KRISMAS PROSPECT by ARCH)
 
FE-5   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Jul22 Jun21       (robillard ju)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
2  BEST AND FINAL Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 Nov14 Nov01 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  YOU SEE ME Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 Jun11 (pow)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 10.00 17% 4.80    
4  BEER MOSA Jul25 Jun06 May24 Dec02   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DELIRIO Jul30 Jul07 Jun11 Dec01 Nov03 (wieczorek kendra)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
SCR  ABOUT A BOY         (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 113 10.00    
7  OPEECHEE Jul22 Jul07 Jun25 May28 Apr28 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  FRAC CITY Jul22 Jun28 Jun02 Apr27 Dec10 (robillard josh)MUNOZ LARRY 120 2.50    
 
FE-6   08/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GINGER Jul15 Jul02 Jun13 May30 May11 (adamo anthony)MORAN PIETRO 117 2.00    
2  IMA BEAST Apr27 Dec16 Nov04 Sep16 Sep07 (borsk davi)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 Oct17 (robillard julie)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  J M R GEMMA Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Oct17 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
5  FOREST B Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May18 Jan08 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  SILVER CANDICE Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May07 Apr22 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
 
FE-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER BANJOMAN Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 Apr28 Apr13 (powell dale )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 12.00 33% 2.00    
2  FEELTHEBEAT Jul11 Jun21 May19 Dec17 Dec03 (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 10.00    
SCR  PAPERBACK HERO Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALACRITOUS Jul15 Sep12 Jul18 Jun18 May30 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  SUNYANI Jul21 Jul15 Jun16 Jun04 May05 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
6  HALF TO RELOAD Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 Nov05 Oct16 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50    
7  GRAINGER COUNTY Jul29 Jul07 Jun24 May05 Mar17 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50    
8  CORE Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 Sep19 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
FE-8   08/13/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER OF BABYLON Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 May31 Dec16 (adamo anthony)HOYTE JASON 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  SAME AGAIN DOC Jul01 Jun04 Dec09 Nov24 Oct20 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00    
3  THY KINGDOM Jul29 Jul02 Nov10 Oct20 Oct10 (shirley luthi)PINTO MELANIE 122 15.00    
4  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Jul29 Jul22 Sep29 Sep11 Aug13 (robillard josh)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00    
5  STREET SERENADE Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Dec02 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jul21 Jul07 Oct27 Sep25 Aug22 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00    
7  JUSTIN'S WAY Jul15 Jun16 Oct16 Sep25 Sep14 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
8  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul29 Jul02 May28 Oct27 Sep14 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 ★    
9  HARDWARE GAP Jul22 Jul02 Jun21 May25 May05 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jul02 Jun24 May28 Oct16 Oct10 (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.