Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - July 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/1)-(5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(5/2/6)-(1/7/6/5/4) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/7/6/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/7/6/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5/4)-(1/7/6/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5/4)-(1/7/6/5/4)-(1/7/6/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5/4)-(1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/4/6/1)-(3/6/1/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(3/6/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/24/2024 5490ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XHILARATINGPURPOSE Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May19 (fiesman robert )VEGA L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COMODA Jun26 May16 Apr25 Nov01 Sep10 (ewell sr)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
GET BY Jul16 Jun19 Jun01 Apr23 Apr13 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
HEBRIDES Jul18 Jun22 Jun12 May25 Mar01 (murillo ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
DONT CROSS BOUDICA Jun09 Apr26 Mar27 Jan01 Nov17 (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
ARTUME May20 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 (brinsfield brook)AVILES YAN 120 30.00    
NEVER TELL PATTI May05 May18 Apr01 Mar02   (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 May14 Apr28 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
MNR-2   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICKEL NICKEL Jun27 Jun14 May22 May04 Apr19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50    
CITY HUMOR Jul10 Jun01 May18 Mar24 Feb07 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.00    
CHIEF HOWCOME Jun24 May29 May05 Apr15 Mar16 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  FOREMAN Jul14 Jun03 Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Jul03 Jun03 May13 Dec11 Nov06 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.50 51% 1.00    
WHEN IN ROME Jun25 May15 Apr24 Apr08 Mar27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.50    
TAPAWAY Jun29 Jun20 Jun08 May24 May17 (vickers)BRAVO MISAEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LINDYSUE Jul09 Jun25 May27 May05 Apr22 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
WHISPER ME A SONG Jul03 Jun16 May20 Apr28 Apr21 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
NOGRATZ Jul15 Jun26 May19 May05 Apr22 (fiesman robert )VEGA L 120 20.00    
TAMBARELLA Jun24 Jun16 Jun06 Mar21 Feb24 (murillo r)HERNANDEZ H 116 3.00    
SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH Nov27 May02 Dec12 Nov28 Nov06 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
SANTIVA DIVA Jun13 May29 May20 Apr30 Dec10 (spiess m)DIAZ I 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-4   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO Jun30 Jun19 Jun03 May07 Apr28 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
DON'T CROSS JACK Jun18 May27 Apr25 Apr11 Mar08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00    
RED GUN Jul01 Jun18 May27 May20 May07 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
SMOOTH RICO Jun18 May09 Apr06 Mar08 Feb24 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Jun23 Jun04 May20 May07 Apr23 (hetrick krista )NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
CASH CUSTOMER Jul14 Jul01 Jun19 Jun11 May26 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 13% 6.50    
REMYS SHOWTIME Mar30 Feb29 Feb07 Jan25 Jan12 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Jul01 Jun18 Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 (spiess m)DIAZ I 120 12.00    
SMART COVERAGE Jun11 May07 Jan30 Dec01 Nov17 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
10  JUBA BOUND Jul04 Jun15 May17 May04 Apr18 (knoblauch-p)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
MNR-5   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRATCHOFF Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May22 Apr03 (poole c)BRACHO A 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 May26 May07 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEXCOCO Jul03 Jun03 May14 Apr28 Feb08 (godsey marshal)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
LITTLE VAQUERO Jun19 Jun04 Nov09 Sep17 Aug21 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
SHAMELESS RISK Jun14 May04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug25 (brown ronney)TAPARA BRANDON 120 1.80    
ADIOS COOL ARROWS Jun04 May14 May04 Mar21 Feb28 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 3.50    
 
MNR-6   07/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLION Jul07 Sep13 Aug20 Aug13 Jul25 (carrillo rams)TOLEDO S 120 12.00    
SCORSESE Jul10 Jun17 May28 May07 Dec10 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
MR HOOVER Jul05 Jun13 May23 May02 Apr12 (brown ronney)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
CONGRATS THIS Jul14 Jun23 Jan01 Dec06 Oct18 (van d)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00    
TRIGZ TOO Jul14 Jun11 Jun02 Apr22 Apr11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
RY'S REVENGE Jun30 Jun17 May12 Nov15 Oct11 (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALTHAEL Jun26 May30 Apr25 Mar30 Mar16 (west m)BRACHO A 120 2.00    
 
MNR-7   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Y'ZIN UP Jul14 Jun18 Jun11 Apr28 Apr22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHY WINCHILL WHY Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 Apr28 Dec13 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
SUGAR LIPS Jul14 Jun28 Jun13 May23 May02 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
PEACEFUL WARRIOR Jul09         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Jul14 Jun24 Jun16 Apr28 Nov07 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 2.50 28% 2.50    
DEVIL'S CANYON Jul14 Jun27 Feb08 Jan18 Nov07 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
GIACOMO CASANOVA Jul03 Jun18 May11 Mar30 Mar14 (baird mic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 2.00    
 
MNR-8   07/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A GOOD ONE         (dalton miche)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by TONALIST out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Jul14 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 Oct24 (sipp k)LEON A 123 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
FLAT OUT DIAMONDS Jul14 Jun16 Nov09 Oct18   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRY FOR DIAMONDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  TALKING DOLL Jun16         (welsh gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 15.00    
  (by BACKTALK out of BROWNOUT by BIG BROWN)
MONEYSLOT Jun30 Jun15 Apr21 Mar16 Feb28 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 116 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
GETS ON BASE Jul03 Jun23 May19 May07 Apr17 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by BUCCHERO out of TIES THAT BIND by BROKEN VOW)
TEXAS WENDY Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 Apr17 Mar14 (denny travis)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of TRENDY WENDY by SMARTY JONES)
AMERICA'S JAZZ Jun30 Jun18 Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
  (by MARLIN PASS out of SMILING PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
SUMMER DANCE Oct03 Sep21 Aug12     (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.