Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (10/6/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/5/8)-(10/6/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/5/8)-(10/6/4/5/8)-(10/6/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/7/5/1)-(9/7/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOVERNOR DUTTON Jul06 Jun02       (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  TIME TESTED Jun24 Jun04 Aug21     (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00    
SCR  SIR PALACE PRINCE Jul03 Jun17 Jun07 May07 Feb14 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 117 5.00    
SCR  INBOUND Jun14 Oct24 Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 (hendriks )VARGAS A 123 4.00    
5  HOLD OUT Jun30 Jun21 May19 Mar08 Feb09 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
6  CURLIN'S HUSTLE Jul04 May18 Oct05     (hills ti)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAXIMATCH Jun21 Aug12       (pompay terr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
8  PORTIS Jun21 May19 Aug06     (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
MTH-2   07/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 2 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKER MURRAY         (davis edmun)MCCARTHY TREVOR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of IRISH BANKER by CENTRAL BANKER)
SCR  SANDI SUE         (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 110 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HANNA DUE by E DUBAI)
3  ACHERON         (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of MARINA VIEW by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  ALLENHURST         (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50    
  (by JOEVIA out of SPLASH OF ROSES by KAFWAIN)
5  EAZY WHIRLED         (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
6  A COZY THING Jul04         (einhorn kim)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of ONETHINGORANOTHER by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
7  CORRIB QUEEN Jul13         (ryan dere)CAMACHO JR 117 5.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOUISIANA LADY by CITY ZIP)
 
MTH-3   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEALING LAD Jun16 May19 Mar01 Feb04   (perkins jr)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BELLS IRISH FANCY by DUNKIRK)
SCR  FRANKIE G Jun16 Jun01 Jul23 Jul01   (cash russ)BOCACHICA J 114 8.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  RANUNCULUS Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 Oct06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
4  PERROTTO Jun02 May19 Oct06 Aug20   (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  ISLAND SPIRIT Jul07 May19 Nov01 Jul08 Jun25 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00 9% 9.90    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
6  SPIRITINTHENIGHT Jun16 May19 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
7  ALLISON PARK Jul06         (mcburney pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
8  T V MAN Jul06 Jun21 Jun01 May19 Oct06 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
SCR  WILD JAIME Jun16 May19 Nov30 Oct06   (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
10  J J VALENTIN Jul14 Jun01 May19 Mar16 Feb10 (sanchez jose )RIVERA D 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
11  QUICKER THAN QUICK Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May19 Nov20 (milne joan)IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of NEVER QUICKER by NEVER TABLED)
 
MTH-4   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT RIDE May26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar09 Jan20 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50    
2  ICE COLD FROSTY Jun30 Feb24 Feb03 Dec15 Nov23 (ward dan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
SCR  BARGAINING POWER Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May27 May12 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 119 4.00    
SCR  BIG SAVE Jun16 May26 May12 Apr28 Mar07 (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Jun01 Apr18 Apr11 Feb14 Dec15 (yanez reynaldo)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00    
6  INDULGE Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr14 Mar14 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  EDDIEMUSH Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 May20 May08 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WUDHOOH Jun15 Mar29       (pletcher )VARGAS A 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RAASIKHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  LADY MEIS (IRE) Jun15 May18       (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAMELOT out of ASAWER by NYQUIST)
3  COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE) Sep16         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DARK ANGEL out of SHELBYSMILE by SMART STRIKE)
4  GILDED EDGE (GB) Jun15 May05       (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  TUCK CHECK         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  SISSINGHURST Jun16         (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) Oct13         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DREAMING TIME by GREEN DANCER)
8  FOR ARROGATE Jun28         (thomas jonathan)BRAVO J 119 4.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of FOREVER TOGETHER by BELONG TO ME)
 
MTH-6   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAY NO MORE Jan01 Dec13 Nov21 Nov14 Oct06 (captan bassam)RIVERA D 121 20.00    
2  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Jun30 Jun15 May19 May03 Apr20 (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Jun29 Jan14 Dec13 Oct23 Sep30 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.00    
4  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul07 Jun20 Apr20 Mar14 Feb18 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 116 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  LA SIERVA C Jul03 Jun23 May18 Apr05 Mar18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOFSTER Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 May26 Apr19 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.80 32% 2.10    
7  MISS NEO Jul13 Jun09 Jul08 May27 May05 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
 
MTH-7   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMOND CIDER Jul01 May29 May13 Apr17 Mar20 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jun29 Feb25 Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 4.00    
3  MAHOMES MONEY Mar23 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan09 (captan bassam)RIVERA D 119 15.00    
4  GINS AND TINS Jun24 May29 May20 Feb04 Oct24 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
5  EDDIE THE GREAT Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 May11 Feb24 (gonzalez claudio)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 ★    
6  SIX WHIPS Jun30 Jun15 Jun09 Apr03 Mar09 (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00    
7  BABY BOOMER Jul06 Feb23 Feb09 Nov24 Nov03 (ward dan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  POWER AGENDA Jul17 Apr10 Mar06 Feb27 Jan31 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 121 20.00    
9  FAST FIXER Jul06 May22 Mar23 Feb10 Jan13 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 121 3.00 72% 0.40    
 
MTH-8   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN AND WON May09 Apr04 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 (dutrow rich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50    
SCR  LIFE CHANGER Jun08 May10 Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
3  NO CENTS Jun09 May19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb17 (lynch cathal)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
4  RECRUITER Jun16 Nov20 Aug05 Jul01 Jun02 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  CONGRESSMAN Jun09 Feb18 Jan06 May07 Jan29 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00    
6  HURRICANE J Jul05 May27 Feb24 Dec23 Nov19 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CEES GET DEGREES May09 Mar29 Feb09 Aug18 Jul14 (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
MTH-9   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VAX A NATION Jun22 Jun09 Apr27 Dec08 Nov16 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00    
2  NO SALT Jul04 Jan04 Dec03 Nov02 Oct17 (volk scott)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00    
3  MAILMAN MONEY Jun30 Jun08 May25 Apr14 Feb08 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENAHM May04 Jan14 Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH Jul13 May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb22 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
6  IT CAN BE DONE May25 Mar17 Feb25 Jan19 Sep30 (sacco d)BRAVO J 122 3.50 72% 0.40    
7  NAPOLEON'S WAR Jun22 May30 Apr27 Apr03 Feb24 (moysey chels)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
SCR  TATANKA Jul06 May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb08 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
 
MTH-10   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HEIGHTS Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Apr13 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 36% 1.70    
SCR  EL TEKILERO Jun08 May27 Apr07 Mar10 Feb16 (hernande)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
3  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Jun22 Mar30 Nov24 Oct22 Sep28 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  CAJUN VIBES Jul04 Jun02       (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  CHOCHOCHO Jul05 Jun23 May19 Mar16 Feb25 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOEL'S BOY Jul05 Jun23 Jun16 May27 Apr12 (ramirez s)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 20.00    
7  NEW JERSEY HEIST Jun22 Jun07 May19 Dec06 Nov02 (simoff andrew)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00    
8  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 Apr21 Apr05 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 114 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.