Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - June 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(2/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(2/1/7/5)-(6/2/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(6/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(6/2/1/4)-(4/1/8/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/4)-(4/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4)-(4/1/8/2)-(1/3/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/2)-(1/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/2)-(1/3/6/7)-(8/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7)-(8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/7)-(8/3/6)-(2/11/4/8/5) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(2/11/4/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6)-(2/11/4/8/5)-(7/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (2/11/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/4/8/5)-(2/11/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/4/8/5)-(2/11/4/8/5)-(2/11/4/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/4/8/5)-(7/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/1/8)-(7/5/2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR CAV Apr26 Mar02 Jan27 Oct07 Aug30 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Mar28 Feb23 Dec20 Oct29 Aug13 (hancock j)CORREA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOW'S UR ATTITUDE May29 May04 Apr13 Feb23 Jan26 (ennis john)ROMAN A 118 1.80 35% 1.80    
OTIS ON THE CAPE Jun01 May14 May04 Oct05 Sep18 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 122 8.00    
FIRST CROWNED May18 May07 Apr23 Nov14 Nov02 (sanchez)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
PORT ROYAL May30 Apr30 Apr12 Mar22 Jun09 (sanchez emma)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00    
WE WILL CONQUER May27 May14 Apr24 Mar14 Mar02 (medina tomas)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
JEREMY'S JET May27 Apr22 Aug21 Jul12 Jun17 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 115 20.00    
 
IND-2   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIPCAPTAINNCREW May30 May20 May07 Apr24 Nov15 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.80 28% 2.50    
OFF TO THE RACES May30 May13 Apr24 Feb19 Jan29 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
STICKER May06 Apr23 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00    
BIG ANCHOR May16 May07 Nov16 Nov10 Oct31 (medina tomas)PARKER L 122 10.00    
ELUSIVE WARRIOR Jun10 May22 Apr23 Mar08 Aug16 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 119 6.00 6% 14.60    
FANCY STREAK Jun05 May27 May08 Apr25   (davis jos)CORREA L 120 15.00    
COG May13 Apr25 Mar08 Feb17 Jan18 (short j)ROMAN A 122 3.00 9% 9.70    
 
IND-3   06/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY'S HOME May16 May08 Apr25 Mar21 Mar06 (elliott mic)ROMERO M 112 5.00 11% 8.00    
STUPENDOUS May08 Mar29 Feb28 Feb03 Jan17 (riley donna)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 2.00 11% 7.90    
TRIP CHARGE May20 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 Sep21 (green darlen)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
BICARB BETTY May20 May01 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TICKET TO FLY May07 Mar20 Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
PERFECTLY WICKED May22 Apr11 Mar22 Feb24 Jan12 (fletcher )CORREA L 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
MISSY BEE Apr30 Apr11 Mar15 Feb29 Jan24 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 6.00    
 
IND-4   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIECO Jun05         (kinmon ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SHE'S ALOTTA WOMAN by BIG BROWN)
CHRISCINCOCENTS May29 May04 Apr17 Jul20   (egbert james)ROMAN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of EXCELL WITH ELLE by SLEW THE SURGEON)
WHAT ABOUT NOW May23 Nov09 Oct16 Sep08 Aug19 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 123 4.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of DANCINGONTHEEDGE by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
SPOONER May01 Apr16       (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
MOLLY'S AUSSIE May16 Apr16       (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 123 5.00    
  (by ASTERN out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
PONTMETOTHEBOURBON May30 Aug19       (herrell ron)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of ALITTLEBOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
SAY YES ANNI May28         (caramor)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SEAMSTRESS SUSIE by SHACKLEFORD)
DRESSED IN PURPLE         (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of COLD DISH by ICE BOX)
 
IND-5   06/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING VICTORY Jun10 May23 May07 Nov16 Nov09 (holden j)MOJICA O 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of CHARMED FER SURE by ECKELSON)
SCR  GHOST OF DANZIG Jun08 May28       (medina tomas)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of JUDITH BASIN by DANZIG)
MOLLY'S LITTLE LUE Jun08 May13       (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MOLECULES by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
PRETTYONTHEPRARIE May06 Apr08       (holden j)PEREZ E 115 5.00    
  (by DOWSING out of A BEUTIFUL BLURR by COLONIAL COLONY)
HOLIDAY CITY Jun08 May21 May13 Oct18 Sep19 (gonzalez )CORREA L 120 4.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
U R NOT THE FATHER Jun04 May13 Apr24     (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of LEAD TIME by GILDED TIME)
PUNK (ARG) Jun08 May21 Nov10 Nov01   (short r)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of I GOT IT by MORE THAN READY)
ZACH Jun08 May21 May01 Apr16 Nov14 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of MISS ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  MAGIC IN MOTION Jun08 May23 May07 Apr30 Apr17 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 0.80    
  (by NOTIONAL out of CANDY POP by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
IND-6   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE CHANGE Jun05 Nov16 Oct28 Oct04 Sep06 (livers charlie)SANJUR SANTO 117 15.00    
TIZ EDDIE Jun05 May22 Nov14 Oct28 Oct18 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 117 4.50    
SOLAR POWER Oct26 Sep12 Aug19 Aug02 Jul08 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 121 10.00 29% 2.40    
CADILLAC JUSTICE May21 May06 Jan05 Dec13 Nov16 (rechy chaz)MORALES JOSHUA 121 8.00    
SCR  RIGOBERTO May22 Apr08       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 2.50    
DOSSIER Jun08 Nov10 Oct17 Oct09 Aug23 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOREVER LASTING May06 Apr23 Nov08 Oct03 Sep19 (garcia ge)CORREA L 121 5.00    
COMMANDER STORM Jun05 May22 Apr24 Apr08 Mar23 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 4.00 44% 1.30    
OIL MAN Jun06 May22 Apr30 Apr17   (klopp randy)ROMAN A 117 20.00    
 
IND-7   06/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA CRUELLA May10 Apr12 Mar13 Feb09 Jan20 (williamson brian)MOJICA O 118 30.00    
HABUIAH Aug23 Aug08 Jul07 Jun08 May10 (langemeie)CORREA L 119 8.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  STAR WISHER Oct26 Oct11 Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 (granitz anthon)ROMAN A 119 4.50    
CRICKENBERGER May22 Feb15 Jan03 Nov17 Oct18 (foster eric)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
WILDCATJUSTICE Oct28 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug19 (granitz anth)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MS QUALITY CONTROL May01 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Dec31 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00    
SQUASH BLOSSOM Apr07 Mar09 Feb07 Jan10 Dec22 (ward dean)PARKER L 122 8.00    
CANT KEEP ME DOWN May09 Apr07 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 (salas felipe)PEREZ E 122 20.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  SWEET MISS MAGGIE May16 Apr17 Dec31     (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
10  ALWAYS WANTING May27 May09 Apr18 Mar23   (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
11  YAY HOORAY May04 Apr07 Feb11     (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  AMERICANA ANNA May14 Mar16 Feb03 Dec23 Nov10 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
SCR  EVIL INTENTIONS Jun05 May07 Nov15 Oct28 Sep13 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
14  VINO ROSATO May28 Mar06 Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00    
15  UMEBOSHI May28 Nov10 Oct15 Sep14 Jul22 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
 
IND-8   06/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULTITASK         (harty e)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DIVIDED ATTENTION by A.P. INDY)
SCR  PROSPERO (IRE) Sep22         (devaux cherie)ROMAN A 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
ACE THE RACE Dec20 Nov02 Aug19 Jul22   (pittman bon)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of NEW TWIST MISS by TALE OF THE CAT)
STEEL LINK May29 Apr19 Mar01 Dec22 Jun17 (west w)PARKER L 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  HERO WORSHIP May30 Apr24 Mar13 Feb08 Dec30 (west w)MOJICA O 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ADORE YOU by TACTICAL CAT)
XANDER Apr15 Feb20 Jan21     (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CASEYS IRISH PRIDE by SALT LAKE)
MR. MELO May04 Apr16 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by BAL A BALI out of DE MELO by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SMACKDOWN Apr16         (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROAD OF HONOR by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  COVET Mar03         (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  RUFFLED WATERS May13 Nov02 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 (mcmichael)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of RUFFLED FEATHERS by INCLUDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.