Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - May 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/4/5)-(5/8/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/8/1)-(4/7/1/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(7/1/4/8/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-4   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(7/1/4/8/2)-(3/9/7/10) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (7/1/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2)-(7/1/4/8/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/8/2)-(3/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-6   WIN (3/9/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/10)-(3/9/7/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/10)-(3/9/7/10/4)-(3/9/7/10/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOLA Apr11 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Sep20 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  THE BOSS FACTOR Sep18 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 114 10.00    
3  BRONZE ONE Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 Oct30 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 124 2.50    
4  SHOOTIN MONEY Sep04 Aug22 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  SMART CALL May03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Feb25 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRAND PRADO Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 Feb22 Feb07 (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00    
 
ASD-2   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG NICK Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  JEFF FA FA Feb09 Jan06 Nov30 Oct27 Sep16 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.20    
3  EXPLOSIVE Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul19 Jun26 (pruitt lise)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 12.00    
4  MAGIC TIGER Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun28 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 22% 3.40    
5  PRAYFORPEACE Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 (gourneau jerry)CHOW CHAVION 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-3   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AU PAIR Apr10 Feb24       (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of LOVEMELIKEYOUDO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  GNAUGHTY KIMMY Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Mar01 Feb21 (gourneau jerry)CHOW CHAVION 119 6.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EYE CRAFT by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  TREE HUGGER Jan15 Dec26 Nov17 Oct29   (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FAITH IN ME by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  PAM'S AWESOME Aug21         (gaskin)PATTERSON R 119 25.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
5  YELLOW BIRDIE Jul25 Jul04       (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FLEET BERTIE by AFLEET ALEX)
6  BLUE TANGO (GB) Nov03 Oct19 Sep21 Aug27 Jul08 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 15.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of DANCE CHIC TO CHIC by FORESTRY)
7  GLENROSA Oct19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug12   (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 5.00 ★    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of MISS DANIELLE by OLD FORESTER)
8  HYPER HOLIDAY Nov10 Oct19       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by HYPER out of ENGLISH HOLIDAY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
ASD-4   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER K May03 Mar17 Feb11 Jan28 Dec15 (gourneau jerry)CHOW CHAVION 122 7.00 14% 6.30    
2  REPLETE Apr16 Mar21 Feb29 Feb06 Dec18 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00    
3  BRODY'S STREAK Oct15 Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 15.00    
4  STAY HAPPY Apr16 Mar13 Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  MOON CONNECTION Apr07 Mar29 Mar16 Jan06 Nov29 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00    
6  GALLANT OAK Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 (danelson gary)BALROOP SVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHICAGO'S GRAY Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
8  BLAZING BO Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00    
 
ASD-5   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT AFRAID Aug07 Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 Aug13 Jul10 (gourneau jerry)CHOW CHAVION 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAST RENEGADE Oct01 Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 30.00    
4  DROP A CARIBOU Sep06 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
5  NOTACATBUTACARD Apr06 Mar13 Mar06 Feb11 Jan28 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 15.00    
6  TOTALIZER Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jun09 May27 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00    
7  DELVECCHIO Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
8  MARK YE WELL Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 3.50 6% 16.60    
9  RUNTODAY Apr07 Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 8.00    
 
ASD-6   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 (hartmann )CHADEE JR 121 15.00    
2  CHIC SAMARAI Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Nov12 (brown jared)DAWKINS DANE 123 10.00    
3  KATE'S PRINCESS Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  LIKING IT TWISTED Feb23 Dec27 Dec06 Oct14 Sep21 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 6.00 ★    
5  LOAD ABROAD Sep30 Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (anderson we)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 25.00    
6  SHERLYN GO GO Jan28 Jan12 Nov02 Aug12 May06 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.00    
7  LADY COP Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (nault micha)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 20.00 17% 4.90    
8  REASONABLY LOVELY Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Sep18 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 121 20.00    
9  SOARING LADY Apr07 Mar10 Feb16 Feb03 Nov08 (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
10  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SPARKLING SILVER Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.