Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/1/4/3)-(3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(3/5/4/1)-(9/4/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-3   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(9/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(9/4/6/3)-(7/6/8/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-4   WIN (9/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/3)-(9/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/3)-(9/4/6/3)-(9/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/6/3)-(7/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/3)-(7/6/8/4)-(2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-5   WIN (7/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/4)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/4)-(2/4/3)-(3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3)-(1/7/6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
DEL-7   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(1/7/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET FACTOR Apr27 Apr11 Jan24 Jan13 Nov17 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 15.00    
NANA'S BOOPA Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb24 Nov28 (jones mic)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
KAYA'S HALO May05 Apr14 Mar30 Feb21 Dec09 (magee kiero)ROBLES O 114 2.00 21% 3.70    
CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Dec03 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 43% 1.30    
PROVIDING Oct12 Sep27 Sep03 Jul19 Aug13 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIN DIXIE RONNIE Apr28 Mar16 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00    
DIVINE PROMISE Apr22 Mar07 Feb09 Jan26 Dec14 (wagner karin)AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
 
DEL-2   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMELIORATE         (pessanha ney)AGUILAR JEAN 113 12.00 15% 5.50    
BYTHENUMBERS Mar23 Mar03       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.50 54% 0.90    
CHELLS GIRL May03 Mar27       (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRICKY RIVER Jul26         (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
NAY SLAYER Apr21 Mar29 Mar08     (ramirez jos)ROBLES O 113 1.80    
OSO Apr24 Apr10 Sep06 Aug31 Aug17 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 12.00    
A LOTTA MOXIE Nov08 Oct18 Sep22     (allard ed)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
 
DEL-3   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Apr26 Apr12 Oct20 Apr21 Mar23 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ETRETAT Apr26 Apr06 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 (iannotti th)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
WOW WISH Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Feb14 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
TAPORICAL May04 Feb21 Feb14 Jan19 Dec15 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 8% 11.40    
RUSSIAN HAMMER Apr26 Apr12 Apr03 Aug06 Jul16 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 3.00 13% 6.60    
JACK CLOUD Apr18 Mar30 Feb03 Dec20 Oct15 (allen ferris)MENA E 116 10.00    
PRINCE FRED Feb16 Feb02 Dec15 Nov11 Oct19 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 108 15.00    
BAD HENRY Apr26 Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 Mar01 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
 
DEL-4   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CHEDDAR Mar27 Mar13       (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
HURRICANE BON Apr08 Mar14 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 116 3.00    
LIME TREE Mar23 Feb17 Jan28 Jan20   (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEST WORST IDEA Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 Feb21 Dec31 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
WOKE UP A DIVA Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 Jan29 (santael)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
SIRDAR         (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
PRETTY COAST Apr12 Mar29 Sep10 Aug18   (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 108 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY IN LOVE May01 Apr21 Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 (simone mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
WICKED KITTEN Apr04 Mar13 Feb14 Dec27 Nov30 (allen ferris)MENA E 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
DEL-5   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OXIDE Apr12 Mar02 Jan13 Dec29 Dec10 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
CAVALRY COMMAND Apr07 Mar22 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 (nazario pedro)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Mar02 Feb04 Jan27 Dec16 Dec10 (na)LUNA PAUL 120 20.00    
ALVY Apr07 Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 Jan13 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
POLAR WIND May04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb22 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
GOODLUCKCHUCK Feb08 Dec27 Dec08 Oct20 Oct06 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY May03 Apr20 Apr13 Mar30 Mar08 (simone michael )CENTENO E 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
WALK AWAY JOE Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 Feb08 Dec22 (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
 
DEL-6   05/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTICE ME TOO Mar02         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAR SUPER by SUPER SAVER)
TIRUPATI Apr26         (thomas jona)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.50 38% 1.60    
  (by MITOLE out of NORA'S JOY by STREET SENSE)
FIRST TO ARRIVE Nov23 Oct01 Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
ITHINKILOVEYOU         (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 27% 2.60    
  (by SKY MESA out of FINEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SPENCER TIARA Nov12         (merryman elizabe)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ROYAL RENEGE by BROKEN VOW)
FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GRIS GRIS by SPRING AT LAST)
 
DEL-7   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INSTANT COFFEE Apr20 Feb17 Mar25 Jan21 Nov26 (d'angelo jose )CEDENO CAROL 120 1.60    
HAY CHIEF Apr13 Mar09 Feb18 Feb02 Dec31 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
MR. HUSTLE Apr07 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan10 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE Apr20 Mar15 Feb19 Feb02 Oct14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00    
LOOSE ENDS Jan31 Oct14 Aug05 Jul21 Jun13 (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
SCR  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Mar24 Feb23 Jan28 Nov24 Nov12 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 120 20.00    
APRIL FOOLS ANDY Mar01 Feb03 Dec23 Dec09 Oct12 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
 
DEL-8   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT RIDENESS Apr13         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 0.60 43% 1.30    
PAYNTED THUNDER Apr05 Oct05 Aug31     (de)LUNA PAUL 124 10.00    
RUBIDOR Apr08         (merryman el)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 117 10.00    
INFINITE SERIES Apr05 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 124 5.00    
SCR  ALABAMA SHAKE         (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
AURORA KUMA Apr15 Feb07 Jan25 Nov10 Aug25 (houghton thomas)CENTENO E 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
AGENT KELLY         (boniface kev)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00 25% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.