Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/6/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/2/1)-(6/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/2/3/7)-(4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/7)-(4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/7)-(4/2/7)-(5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(5/7/6)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-8   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-9   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALSELY ACCUSED Apr04 Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 (homer jason)CRUZ M 122 3.00 27% 2.60    
2  PRIMO TOUCH Apr04 Jul24 Jun28 Nov13 Oct13 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
3  MAN FRIDAY Apr05 Feb05 Dec27     (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50    
4  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Mar27 Sep04 Apr17 Mar07 Dec01 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  MEDIMPACT Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 Jan25 Jan11 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
6  BIGFOOT CITY Mar18 Feb01 Oct21 Oct11 Sep04 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-4   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Apr09 Mar12 Aug19 Jul09 Mar09 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
2  POP CHART Apr02 Mar14 Feb26 Feb06 Dec10 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
3  WOK DON'T RUN Feb13 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  CHRISTINA'S CANDY Apr04 Jan01 Nov25 Nov19 Oct20 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
5  WHATWASTHENISNOW Apr09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  AMARETTO DI AMORE Apr09 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 Jan07 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-5   04/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST TRUST ME         (williams )IRONEYES R 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  RED HOT SERMON Apr11         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by ROUSING SERMON out of FURIOUS FIRE by GRINDSTONE)
3  STREET GUN Apr11         (schnell don)RADKE K 121 6.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of FANTASTIC COUSIN by COZZENE)
4  DYIN A THIRST         (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 118 4.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EDAMAME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
5  DANCING PORKY Apr11         (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
6  SHESAYSHELLO Apr11         (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 118 8.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of MORETHANJUSTHELLO by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  HOLLYWOOD IMPACT Apr11         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of CIELO DULCE by CAHILL ROAD)
 
TUP-6   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVE TRAIN Oct11         (evans justin)CORBETT W 118 3.00    
2  SON OF THUNDER Jul30 Jun04 May17 Apr27 Mar25 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  DELTA DELTA Apr08 Mar14 Mar04 Feb19 Dec07 (toye joe)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
4  BAY BOSS         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
5  MY CAIRO KID Apr15 Sep09 Jul31     (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
6  KING ZOG Mar14 Jan21 Dec30 Dec15 Dec08 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  KNOCKOUT GUY Apr15 Mar27 Mar14 Feb26 Dec11 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN MASTER Apr16 Mar21 Feb24 Jan13 Nov25 (simpson sha)MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 Jan30 Dec04 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  LORD OF LIGHT Apr16 Mar23 Mar10 Oct09 Sep24 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50    
4  BRANNIGAN Apr16 Apr03 Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  TIGER HUNTER Mar13 Feb21 Nov14 Oct06 Aug26 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
6  EL CAPRICHO Apr16 Mar28 Mar05 Feb21 Feb13 (dennis g)MAWING A 122 6.00    
7  HOT MEMORIES Apr16 Mar27 Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-8   04/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL Jan14 Dec02 Oct06 Jul28 May21 (rivera sally)HARVEY B 122 5.00    
2  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Apr08 Jul23 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (ferguson laurie)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  TROUBLE N PARADISE Apr22 Mar08 Feb11 Nov11 Aug10 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 Jan29 Jan19 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 4.00    
5  WHERE'S FRANKIE Apr08 Mar21 Mar11 Sep10 Aug13 (fales matt)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 54% 0.80    
6  ELDORADO DREAM Apr08 Mar11 Feb29 Feb19 Jan30 (valerio raymo)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Apr08 Mar05 Feb19 May06 Apr24 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-9   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE'S A TIGER Mar18 Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 (martinez a)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00    
2  GO GO SADIE Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 Feb01 Feb07 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
3  DADS ESTRELLA Mar28 Feb29 Feb13 Dec04 Nov13 (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWELVE STARS Apr09 Mar20 Mar05 Feb01 Dec19 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 9% 9.90    
5  CHESTERETTE Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 Sep03 Apr02 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
6  MISS UNION Mar26 Feb27 Jan21 Dec10 Nov05 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
7  ASENA Feb27 Feb01 Oct07 Sep24 Apr21 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.