Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/5/4)-(7/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(7/4/1)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(4/6/2)-(8/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(8/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(8/2/4/5)-(4/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/5)-(4/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/5)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/1)-(8/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(8/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGLER Jan10 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct31 (collins tim)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
RIDICULOUS Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 Dec08 Nov17 (brown w)ACOSTA D 122 1.00 56% 0.80    
QUALIFLY Mar02 Feb08 Jun21 Apr27 Mar31 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
CHARLIE POTATOES Feb02 Sep14 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (sewell lenworth )MAWING A 120 15.00    
BACKATYA Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 13% 6.50    
 
CT-2   03/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE ADMISSION Feb10 Dec17 Nov26 Nov03 Oct12 (salzman e)ACOSTA D 124 0.60 60% 0.70    
ARTIE'S PROSPECT Dec04 Jul19 Jun24     (kelly blake)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
PURPLE CALLA Mar07 Feb15 Feb09 Dec15   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
ZIDORMI Feb23 Feb09 Dec15 Oct13 Sep01 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAP THE KEG Feb23 Feb02 Jan26 Dec15 Nov12 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SK'S HEART Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Feb22 Jan31 Dec22 Nov17   (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50    
 
CT-3   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYYESTOTHELADY Feb29 Feb15 Jan03 Feb01 Jan14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jan12 Dec02 Oct04 Sep10 Aug11 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Feb28 Jan26 Jan05 Nov18 Oct24 (cornwell james)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
DIAL HER Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 Nov15 Sep08 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
EMBERLY Mar08 Feb28 Feb21 Jan27 Jan12 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SECRET CASTLE Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 Dec07 Nov16 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
PLANET FROLIC Feb29 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
CT-4   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MARGARET Mar07 Feb10 Jan31 Jan11 Dec09 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60    
TUESDAY TOO Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PARALLAX VIEW Feb01 Oct06 Aug31     (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 3.50    
LIVANA Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 Jul07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
CURVE APPEAL Feb24 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 May28 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
MAKANI Feb22 Feb14 Jan04 Nov25 Nov04 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 113 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
CT-5   03/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAPPIANO HALO Mar07 Feb01 Jan13     (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 116 30.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
ALDARIGHTTRICKS Nov22 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (lewis r)MAWING A 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
FUNKLE Jan11 Dec02 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
JONAS HILL ROAD Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Nov30   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of EVERYWHERUWANTTOBE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GETTIN SPICY Mar06 Feb24 Feb17 Feb02 Dec06 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Feb24 Jan11 Nov10 Oct20 Oct13 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
GOLDEN ASSET Mar06 Dec02 Oct20 Sep29   (mcdonal)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
BAD LINEAGE Nov30 Oct28 Sep17 Sep01 Jul20 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
CT-6   03/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING THE DREAM Feb08 Jan10 Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU COWBOY Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 Oct22 Oct07 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
ARROGANT RIDER Feb02 Dec30 May20 May06 Feb08 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
STOMPING MOON Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 Dec09 Nov22 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
GOLDEN ADAGE Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 Nov15 Oct13 (caison l)MAWING A 120 15.00    
LEGENDAIRE Feb16 Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Jun14 (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 12% 7.50    
SISYPHUS Feb23 Jan27 Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 (rose j)ACOSTA D 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-7   03/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGTIME RICHES Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
STACKS OF SILVER Feb23 Jan06 Nov03 Oct20 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50    
ROAD SLEW Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov30 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb16 Feb07 Dec16 Dec08 Nov17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jun23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
I'M THE MONEY MAN Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec08 Dec01 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00    
FIELDSTONE Feb07 Jan15 Nov15 Oct05 Aug04 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PORCH SWING Mar09 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 Dec31 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 6.00    
 
CT-8   03/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY RIA Mar06 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13   (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 Nov15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
UNUSUALLY LUCKY Feb14 Nov04 Aug03 Jun23   (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
SCR  GREY FLAMINGO Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 Nov24 Oct05 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
AMELIA'S DREAM Feb29 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 May25 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
MISS ARGENTINA Mar06 Feb24 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 3.00    
ABUNDANT STORY Feb22 Dec07 Nov04 Oct23 Sep26 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
VAN HOOK Feb24 Jan24 Mar23 Jan26 Jan06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.