Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/5/7)-(3/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(3/1/7)-(5/11/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(5/11/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(5/11/6)-(10/7/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/11/6)-(5/11/6/12/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/6)-(5/11/6/12/8)-(5/11/6/12/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/11/6)-(10/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/11/6)-(10/7/8/4)-(1/6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/8/4)-(1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/4)-(1/6/2/3)-(7/3/9/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(7/3/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3)-(7/3/9/4/8)-(2/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/3/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/4/8)-(7/3/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/4/8)-(7/3/9/4/8)-(7/3/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/9/4/8)-(2/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9/4/8)-(2/1/4)-(1/5/4/10/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/5/4/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/5/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/10/9)-(1/5/4/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/10/9)-(1/5/4/10/9)-(1/5/4/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL GHOST Feb17 Jan24 Jan06 Dec27 Dec09 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 5.00 12% 7.70    
2  MADDY'S DREAM Jan31 Jan21 Dec01 Apr08 Jun17 (vazquez edua)MORELOS E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL DE CHIREL Feb21 Jan17 Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 (potts wayne)FERRER C 122 3.00    
4  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Feb10 Jan13 Nov25 Oct13 Sep04 (campbell joe)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
5  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Feb04 Jan14 May26 Apr26 Mar15 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.50    
6  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Feb04 Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-2   03/08/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Feb14 Dec24 Sep22 Jul30 Jun23 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
2  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Feb18 Jan27 Jan03 Dec22 Nov25 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  CHILD PROOF Jan27 Jan07 Dec29 Dec06 Nov22 (crichton roh)BATISTA A 121 2.00    
4  FOXGLOVE Feb18 Mar10 Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 ★    
5  SING SCAT Feb07 Jan28 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  WOODS HOLE Feb14 Jan19 Jan03 Dec27 Oct07 (sepulveda carlos)FERRER C 119 6.00    
7  UNWHIRLED Feb21 Feb04 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   03/08/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANDERING WEST Feb14 Jan26 Oct14 Sep09 Aug26 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  HIGH BROW Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 Dec24 Dec16 (simone micha)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
3  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Feb14 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov04 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  GOLDEN JUAN Feb23 Feb11 Jan24 Dec27 Oct06 (avila c)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
5  GREAT FACES Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 Dec27 Nov25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
6  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Feb16 Jan27 Dec15 Nov08 Jun06 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 ★    
7  BEAR CREEK Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Sep27 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   03/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID EMERALD Feb17 Jan17 Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 (d'angelo)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00    
2  IM STILL BRAVE Feb23 Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec29 (torres r)FERRER C 122 12.00    
3  INSIDE Feb09         (hayford jenni)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
4  ESCAPE KEY Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Oct28   (aguayo ramon)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
5  OVER THE SURFACE Feb24 Feb04 Dec23     (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.00 72% 0.40    
6  PERFECT MOON Feb16 Feb02 Dec31 Dec20 Dec13 (cascallares )BATISTA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEAX Feb16 Feb07 Jan27 Jan13 Dec20 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 15.00    
8  ROMPING RUNNER Feb17 Feb07 Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 ★    
9  INSTIGATING Feb09 Jan13 Dec20 Nov22 Oct25 (spanabel ke)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 30.00    
SCR  POP SOCKS Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 (martin w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 20.00    
11  ALCAZABA (IRE) Feb21 Jan27 Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  FIRST PLACE G Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Nov25 Apr21 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODY WIN Oct27 Aug25 Jul27     (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 30.00    
SCR  VENEZUELAN FEELING Feb28 Feb04 Aug06     (yanez rey)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
SCR  MAGNUS EFFECT Mar01 Jan28       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
4  LEGENDARY BEAST Feb16 Jan28 Dec08     (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIGGEROO Jan19 Dec10 Nov04     (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 120 2.50    
SCR  DRINKIN N DREAMING Feb17 Dec29 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
7  TOURIST STYLE Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 115 4.50 16% 5.40    
8  STRAIGHTOUTTAOCALA         (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 120 15.00 12% 7.00    
9  SMOOTH AN EASY Nov22 Oct27 Oct15     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
10  JOSH'S DRAMA Feb23 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-6   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALYTIC Oct07         (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  GOTTS GOT IT Feb09 Dec20 Dec02 Oct15 Sep26 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  CLASSIC JOKE Sep15 Aug25 Aug12     (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Dec31 Dec08 Oct07 Sep09 Jul23 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
5  SIR MI TOLEE Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec02   (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
6  ROCKET DRAGON Feb23 Jan07 Dec13 Oct15   (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
7  TUSCAN RULER Feb16 Jan14 Dec20 Sep22 Aug26 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
 
TAM-7   03/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICER DERICK Feb03 Jan14 Nov03 Sep21 Aug23 (albertrani t)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
2  ICONIC ROCK Feb18 Jan28 Dec30     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
3  CLASS PHOTO         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
4  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Feb07 Dec27 Dec01     (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZHU DADDY Jan24 Dec22 Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00    
6  ATTRAYANT Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Sep22 Sep03 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
7  LONG ASTRIDE Feb18         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  NIMMO Feb10 Jan12       (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CITY LEADER Dec02 Nov11 Oct22     (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 6.00 5% 18.50    
10  SPECTACULAR LUCK Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 Jul15   (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
 
TAM-8   03/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLDS ON HIGH Feb14 Feb04 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  VARATTI Jul01 May19 Jun03 Apr13   (smith craig)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  ALABAMA SLAMMER Jan31 Jan03 Dec09 Oct23 Sep12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
4  SKIPPERINI Feb14 Dec27 Dec16 Oct22 Sep23 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG BUCKSALOT Feb02 Dec27 Nov29 Oct27 Sep29 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 4.50 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Sep09 Aug27 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00    
7  SILVER STYLE Feb21 Jan17 Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
 
TAM-9   03/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLES CHROME Feb07 Dec24 Nov25 May14 Apr23 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Aug03 Jun09 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
3  GROUP HUG Feb18 Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 Sep02 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00    
4  CATATUMBO Jan27 Jan13 Dec01 Oct10 Aug06 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  MEGACITY Feb10 Jan03 Dec09 Sep04 Jul28 (rodriguez darie)CENTENO E 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Feb10 Dec22 Nov29 Oct13 Aug19 (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
7  TOMMY BEE Jan04 Oct22 Aug25 Jul27 May11 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 6.00    
SCR  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Aug20 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 Apr16 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 119 12.00    
9  IRISH RIVIERA Feb10 Jan05 Nov23 Nov02 Aug13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  JOE BRAINS Jan24 Dec24 Nov25 Nov03 Oct05 (downing william)SPIETH S 121 5.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  EXACTING Feb14 Feb02 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 2.50    
SCR  CUPID'S DUDE Feb14 Jan26 Nov04 Oct07 Aug19 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 119 2.00    
SCR  KING RAMOS Feb14 Jan27 Dec30 Jun10 Apr29 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 8.00    
14  NEW YORK PANTHER Feb16 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.