Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/3/8/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7/2)-(5/3/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7/2)-(5/3/8/7/2)-(5/3/8/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/7/5)-(9/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(9/2/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-8   WIN (9/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/6)-(9/2/1/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/6)-(9/2/1/10/6)-(9/2/1/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETSHIP RUN Feb18         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
2  MISSION IS A GO Oct29 Sep23 Aug28     (hines hans)MARTINEZ R 122 2.50    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of SCAT QUEEN by SCAT DADDY)
3  ONE LUCKY BOY Feb18 Nov30 Nov04     (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50    
  (by ONE GO ALL GO out of LEMONSRGOODONGRASS by LEMON DROP KID)
4  PROOF OF PURCHASE Feb18         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
5  DUTTON'S REVENGE Feb18         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of MANGO'S MUSE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  LITTLEJACKRABBIT         (hines hanse)RAMOS B 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of HANNAHSLITTLEANGEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
FON-2   03/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOIN OWEN Feb18         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SPARKY TIME         (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
  (by OUTWORK out of SMOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  LEGEND OF GOLD Feb18 Dec08 Nov13     (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
4  INSPIRING INDEED         (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
5  SHOTCRETE Feb18         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  BIG IRON AUCTION         (thomsen paula)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 15.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of CHABLACK by BLACK MOONSHINE)
7  ROPE BURN         (musquiz j)DELORME L 122 8.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
 
FON-3   03/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT HOT Oct28 Oct21 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 (rhodes lester)RAMOS B 125 12.00 11% 7.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BETAR B SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  DIXIE SHARPIE Oct28 Sep15 Aug28     (dieter dalton)BACON W 120 15.00    
  (by DIXIE BANNER out of BELLA BANANA by BANANAS)
3  LAKE SENSE Mar29 Jan13 Jan01     (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TEN LEGENDS by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  KARATS KOUNT Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (smith george)BETHKE A 125 4.50    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of ENCHANTING IMPACT by WAR CHANT)
5  WOKE JOKE Feb03 Dec16 Nov21 Nov03 Oct05 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ZETA ZODY by OMEGA CODE)
6  JILL'S LEMON DROP Dec07 Nov10 Aug04 Jul16 Jun24 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 29% 2.50    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  DANZONBY Aug10 Jul14       (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
  (by DANZA out of SHOWING HOME by SHOWING UP)
 
FON-4   03/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3 F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER JANE Sep04 Aug19       (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  KONA KINLEY Dec14 Nov17 Oct28 Sep22 Aug13 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 122 10.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
3  OLIVIA'S HOPE Sep01 Aug04 Jul08     (hines han)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  MARY WHO Feb08 Jan18 Dec13 Aug14   (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 122 12.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
5  TIFFANY'S FERRARI Feb23 Feb07 Jan11 Nov22 Oct14 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LAWYER TIFFANY by PURE PRIZE)
6  GOOD GRACIOUS         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of AMBUSH WOMAN by DIVINE PARK)
7  RUN FOR JOY Feb25 Feb08 Nov10 Oct21 Sep30 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MOON CONFIDENTIAL by MALIBU MOON)
 
FON-5   03/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Oct22 Oct01 Jul22 Jul08 Jul01 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 15.00    
2  WUMPMUG Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep02 (condon schuyl)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PIECE OF ME Feb16 Jan04 Dec18 Nov16 Aug06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Feb17 May20 May13 Apr02 Mar18 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
5  CHARACTER COUNTS Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 Aug12 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
6  SPOILED BRAT Sep13 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul15 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 8.00    
7  JANIS Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 Jun18   (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  FABULOSITY Feb18 Jun11 May26 Apr23 Mar25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 12% 7.20    
9  I CAME TO SHAME Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 Jul04   (smith r)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POKER PLAY Oct29 Oct08 Oct01 Sep10 Aug30 (arceo salvador)JUDE JOHN 125 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  ROCK CITY ROCKET Oct27 Oct22 Sep24 Sep15 Sep02 (martinez kelli)DELORME L 125 4.50 ★    
3  OREGON COUNTY Feb21 Oct29 Oct22 Aug20 Aug12 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
4  CELERITY Feb18 Dec14 Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
5  BIG MONEY MACHINE Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec07 Nov18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80    
6  KATRAKA Aug21 Jul22 Dec19 Dec01 Oct17 (ibanez alberto)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
SCR  SABER STORM Feb24 Feb18 Dec27 Dec01 Nov09 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 20.00    
 
FON-7   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN LIAISON Feb17 Nov10 Oct18 Oct05 Sep15 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 ★    
2  REASONABLY LOVELY Sep18 Aug26 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Feb18 Oct22 Sep25 Aug05 May05 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
4  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Feb18 Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00    
5  IRISH TAP Feb18 Dec09 Nov13 Oct31 Sep26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FOOLISH INTENT May13 Apr23 Apr02 Mar17   (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
7  GRAMERCY PARK Feb18 Feb04 Jan13 May28 Apr30 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  MISS CANEY Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Nov30 Nov04 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
 
FON-8   03/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHSTANDTHESTORM Aug17 Jul27 Jun17 May28 Apr01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  EL ARE EM Oct29         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov04 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
4  MOJITO Aug05 Jul09 May29 Apr28 Apr21 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  SPRY CHARLIE Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 Jun23 Jun09 (arceo salvador)JUDE JOHN 125 15.00    
6  CONSTITUTION DAY Oct27 Oct07 Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUGAR SHANE Feb17 Sep10 Aug26 Jul29 Jul22 (bunn shawn)BACON W 120 15.00    
8  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep30 Sep24 (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
9  NIGHT TERROR Jun16 May29 May14     (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 35% 1.90    
10  SHARP AZ NAILS Oct08 Sep16 Aug30 Jul30 Jul16 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.