Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(5/8/2/1)-(3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/1)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/1)-(3/6/5)-(1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(1/6/2)-(5/7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(1/8/4)-(2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(2/7/1)-(9/4/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(9/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(9/4/8)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/8)-(9/4/8)-(9/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/4/8)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8)-(3/5/1)-(1/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARMONIZING Feb03 Oct21 Sep22 Aug26   (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 124 1.60    
THREE'S A CROWD Jan27         (testerman val)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
REZOOM Feb03 Jan11       (rodriguez r)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
MARTHA'S HEART Jan31 Jan05 Dec03 Nov17 Oct22 (bourne willia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.50    
CONFLUENCE LASSIE Feb03 Jan14 Oct21 Sep22 Aug26 (keefe timot)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 6.00    
TROUBLED DREAMS Feb10 Jan27 Sep01 Aug05 Jul13 (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
FROSTY MAYA         (perri g)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00 39% 1.60    
 
LRL-2   03/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERMONDSEY Feb10 Feb03 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Feb04 Jan27 Dec16 Dec10 Nov19 (nazario pedro)AGUILAR JEAN 116 15.00 10% 9.50    
TINY TIN Feb17 Feb04 Jan05 Dec13 Nov26 (ramirez j)HERNANDEZ F 123 6.00    
HAPPY UNION Dec30 Dec16 Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 (machado a)CARRASCO R 118 3.50    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Feb16 Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 (mohan r)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  SOUTHERN LAD Jan08 Nov18 Oct28 Aug03 Jul07 (leaf j)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
VIKING QUEEN Jan13 Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 (garibay andres)MENA E 118 4.50    
DREAM OF BLESSINGS Feb10 Jan27 Dec15 Nov23 Nov11 (haughto)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.00 13% 7.00    
 
LRL-3   03/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 45 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMSTILLHERE Feb09 Jan05 Nov25 Oct20   (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
TOAST TO COAST Jul30 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May18 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 126 5.00    
COMMON PROSPERITY Feb09 Dec30 Apr08     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.00 49% 1.10    
HERE COMES RUSTY Feb09 Dec09 Oct27 Oct01 Sep09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
GENERAL J R Feb16 Dec29 Dec09 Nov18 May11 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
ROCK BULLET Dec16 Nov26 Nov10 Oct19 Jul30 (ladauceur ha)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-4   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Feb01 Jan09 Dec03 Oct28 Oct13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60 54% 0.80    
SCR  DERBYNESS Feb10 Dec09 Nov16 Oct28 Oct01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.60    
EYES ELEVEN Feb16 Jan14 Dec30 Oct28 Oct15 (bourne )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASCENDANCE Feb24 Feb09 Feb02 Dec30 Nov27 (serey jr)MENA E 117 8.00    
OMAR COMIN Feb10 Jan28 Jan06 Oct26   (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 6.00    
SCR  KINGDOM FORCE Feb24 Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 116 12.00    
EL DE LARRY Feb10 Feb02 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  FULL PROOF Feb09 Jan14 Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Feb10 Feb02 Jan14 Dec23 Nov16 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 116 6.00    
WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Dec15 Nov24 (mckenzie dani)CHAVEZ ANDRES 110 30.00    
10  GET LIKE MIKE Feb04 Jan07 Dec16 Nov24   (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 121 20.00    
 
LRL-5   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 45 M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANEM Feb17 Feb10 May03 Apr08 Mar29 (machado antoni)TORREALBA JG 121 6.00    
HAPPYINITIATIVE Dec15 Nov02 Sep30 Aug20   (meister willia)AGUILAR JEAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEST WORST IDEA Feb21 Dec31 Nov29 Nov18 Nov03 (ramirez j)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
COAL'S MAGNOLIA Feb10         (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 126 4.50    
ARROGATES DREAM Mar05 Feb18 Jan16 Nov18 Nov03 (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
RAZORETTE Feb10 Dec31       (ambrogi j)ROJAS MARTINA 121 2.50    
JOB'S NOT FINISHED Feb23 Feb10 Dec31 Dec17 Nov26 (mohan r)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
LRL-6   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTTOWAY Feb02 Jan05 Nov25 Nov16 Oct20 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
OXIDE Jan13 Dec29 Dec10 Nov03 Oct21 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 6.00    
CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Feb23 Feb03 Jan14 Dec29 Dec17 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
CAPTAIN CARDO Feb24 Feb09 Jan12 Dec09 Nov12 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL HEART Feb16 Feb03 Oct25 Aug02 Jul19 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 121 4.50    
BEE BY THE SEA Feb16 Oct27 Oct04 Sep23 Aug26 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 30.00    
SCR  UP AGAINST IT Feb16 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec31 (mohan r)ALVELO C 126 3.00    
CHARGE TO VICTORY Feb09 Dec09 Oct21 Oct06 Aug24 (howard da)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CLAW Feb16 Feb09 Jan05 Dec03 Nov17 (maldonado joel)AGUILAR JEAN 116 20.00    
10  SAVOY Feb09 Jan05 Dec08 Oct20 Oct01 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 8.00    
 
LRL-7   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVEHAPPY Feb11 Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Oct01 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00 8% 10.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
PETINGAS TWIN Feb11 Jan28 Nov26     (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SUMMER PUNCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
QUINT'S BREW         (gorham michael )MENA E 124 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of GANSETT by JUMP START)
SCR  NORTHERN CARDINAL         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of K C'S SONGOFPRAYER by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  MR. MCMAHON Jan28         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
VILALUZ Feb11 Feb04 Jan13 Dec30   (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 124 30.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DATING GAME by GHOSTZAPPER)
INTREPID'S LEGACY         (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by IMAGINING out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
LADDIE DANCE Oct08 Aug16 Aug06 Jul16   (leaf jr)DELGADO A 124 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ENTERPRISE VALUE by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
LRL-8   03/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMPERSAND Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 Oct28 Oct13 (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00    
SCR  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Feb08 Dec27 Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00    
SCR  KRUG Feb10 Dec08 Nov04 Oct27 Sep30 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S FOOL Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Oct22 Jun30 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
BOBBY G Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Nov12 Oct18 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  ACE NINE NINE Feb04 Jan13 Dec22 Dec03 Nov19 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.00    
MIDNIGHT CAT Feb20 Jan24 Dec06 Nov28 Nov20 (flores-coba fe)AGUILAR JEAN 116 12.00    
STRONG FINISH Jan27 Jan12 Dec29 Dec01 Nov12 (klesaris robe)ALVELO C 126 15.00    
FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Feb16 Dec31 Dec15 Nov23 Nov03 (garibay andres)MENA E 123 6.00 8% 11.10    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jan27 Jan05 Dec08 Oct13 Sep17 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-9   03/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR ABBIE Feb18 Jan31 Dec20 Nov22 Oct31 (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 126 10.00 9% 10.00    
CATS INTHE TIMBER Jul01 May19 Apr15 Mar18 Jan28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
INTREPID DREAM Nov13 Oct26       (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
MAVILUS Feb18 Jan28 Dec17 Nov24 Oct14 (bourne wi)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
WARRIOR'S RANSOM Jan31 Dec23 Nov25 Oct31 Oct10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
LADY BREW Feb10 Dec23 Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80    
 
LRL-10   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDESTER         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 32% 2.20    
GRACE IN EXCESS Feb10 Jan14       (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00    
LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 Nov15 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 120 20.00    
VALLEY STAR Feb10 Jan07 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
G'S FIREBALL Feb10 Nov23 Oct21 Oct08 Aug25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
BUCKIN' LUCKY Feb23 Feb04 Sep01 Aug26 Aug11 (serey jr)TORREALBA JG 115 2.50 19% 4.20    
DAZZLING DEMELZA Jan27 Dec20 Nov09 Oct08   (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.