Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(7/5/3)-(6/2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/2/5/1)-(3/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(3/4/5/2)-(2/10/5/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(2/10/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(2/10/5/1/4)-(5/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/10/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/1/4)-(2/10/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/1/4)-(2/10/5/1/4)-(2/10/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/5/1/4)-(5/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5/1/4)-(5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/8/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/7)-(1/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(7/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/7)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/6/5)-(7/3/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO GIRL Jan24 Jan07 Dec23 Dec08   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 4.00    
2  SEAFARER Jan14 Dec15       (machado an)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  CHILLING FACTOR Feb10 Dec30 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
4  JUICY JUSTICE Feb10 Oct28 Aug28 Aug16   (granitz )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
5  TRENDY (ARG) Feb04 Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 Oct25 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
6  QUEEN AIKO Feb04 Dec29 Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
7  MYA C Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Oct28   (hardesty lesl)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 16% 5.10    
8  PLATINUM DIVA Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Nov22 Sep15 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  THE GODDESS NIKE Jan31 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02   (bennett g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.00    
 
TAM-2   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFTHEDARK Feb02 Dec27 Dec08 Sep09 Aug10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
2  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Jan31 Jan03 Dec22     (smith g)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
3  MY NAME'S JEFF Jan07 Oct18       (wilson tony)BATISTA A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SA SA SA Jan19 Dec30 Dec13     (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
5  SIXTEEN CIGARETTES Jan25 Dec31 Nov24 Sep09 Aug25 (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  INDIO MARA Jan12 Dec20 Nov24     (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00    
7  ROCKET DRAGON Jan07 Dec13 Oct15     (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.20 70% 0.40    
 
TAM-3   02/23/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST RUN Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec17   (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOTSKARI Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  JOSH'S DRAMA Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 Sep09 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00    
4  BEAR HUNT Jan12 Dec08       (laurin roger)BATISTA A 120 1.80    
5  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Feb07 Dec29 Dec03 Oct27   (yanez rey)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00 6% 15.70    
6  SKYLANE Jan28 Jan12 Dec27 Dec01 Nov18 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
7  STRAY PRINCE Dec30         (santillana f)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   02/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCONS FURY Jan27 Jan19 Jan05 Jul06 Jun22 (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00    
2  GOLDEN TONE Feb04 Jan20 Jan07 Dec27 Dec15 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  HERCULES Jan06 Dec22 Nov19 Oct07 Sep08 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
4  GREAT FACES Jan26 Jan07 Dec27 Nov25 Oct20 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
5  WAR NOVEL Feb04 Jan20 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  DAZZLING TRUTHS Feb04 Jan26 Jan10 Dec30 Dec16 (russo victor)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00    
7  SOCIETY JOE Feb11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov05 Oct20 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONOVA Feb02 Jan17 Dec31 Nov24 Oct28 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.00 10% 9.00    
2  MONGOLIAN APPLE Dec31 Dec01 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  AXCEL Jul01 Jun24 Apr26 Mar29   (manning denni)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
4  THAT SUN OF A GUN Feb02 Jan17 Dec24 Oct19 Aug25 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE BIG CALICO Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  TIZ A BEAST Feb02 Jan06 Oct10 Sep12 Aug11 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 12.00    
7  SAM STORMY Feb02 Oct12 Oct02 Aug16 Jul20 (lopez ro)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME HONOR Feb14 Jan21 Dec13 Nov24 Aug13 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
9  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 Sep18 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
10  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Feb02 Oct15 Oct06 Aug16 Jul28 (maker j)CENTENO E 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER Feb02 Dec30 May20 May06 Feb08 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   02/23/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDNEY'S BID Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 3.00 9% 9.80    
2  TUCKER ROAD Jan26 Jan13 Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.50    
3  CALZONE Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 Dec27 Sep13 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Feb09 Jan21 Jan12 Dec20 Nov22 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00    
5  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Feb09 Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  DISTORTED TIMES Aug19 Jul15 Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 118 20.00    
7  SAN ANDRES Jan26 Jan13 Dec13 Oct23 Sep25 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  SUNYANI Feb10 Dec02 Nov04 Oct22 Oct12 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. EXTENSION Feb07 Jan12 Aug20 Aug12 May29 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 5.00 60% 0.70    
2  GOLDEN JUAN Feb11 Jan24 Dec27 Oct06 Sep09 (avila c)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
3  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 (smith cra)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.50 8% 11.10    
4  FORWARD MOTION Dec01 Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 Jul31 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROGER MCQUEEN Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00    
6  TAPSOLUTION Feb02 Jan07 Dec13 Oct18 Oct02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
7  KHOZANDO Jan26 Jan14 Dec24 Dec08 Oct30 (rice kevin)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFF HELLO Jan07 Dec27 Nov18 Oct24 Sep20 (delgado jose )IORIO MELISSA 111 1.40    
 
TAM-8   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN ARELLA Jan31 Dec30 Oct20 Oct03 Aug14 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  OUR FANTASY Feb04 Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 4.00 14% 6.10    
3  DEL REY DOLLY Feb07 Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 Sep20 (guciardo kath)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
4  TRUE ATKA Feb11 Dec27 Dec06 Nov29 Nov02 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
5  WIN OR CELLAR Feb11 Dec31 Nov24 Oct26 Oct12 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
6  LA RUNA Feb04 Jan18 Dec08 Oct28 Jul16 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00    
7  PLAYERA Feb11 Jan21 Jan06 Dec15 Nov04 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
8  LIKING IT TWISTED Dec27 Dec06 Oct14 Sep21 Sep08 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
TAM-9   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM STILL BRAVE Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 (torres r)FERRER C 122 4.50 10% 9.00    
2  ART HANDLER Jan12         (fisher david)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
3  DAKOTAS EVIL EYES         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
4  SPUNKY BOY Feb09 Dec24 Nov22 Oct20   (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
5  AMERICAN LAD Feb02 Dec23 Jun27 Sep03   (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
6  FINAL VERDICT Jan17 Dec29 Dec08 Oct10   (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 ★    
7  BACK TO REALITY Feb07 Oct21 Sep24 Aug18   (gutierrez faus)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
8  GRAND FESTIVAL Feb09 Jan13 Dec13 Oct28 Oct19 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 30.00    
9  ARTE DE GUERRA Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 Jul16   (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.