Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/2/6)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/5)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/1/5)-(1/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/7/3)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/3/4)-(4/8/10/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/10/3)-(4/8/10/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/10/3)-(4/8/10/3/5)-(4/8/10/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S PUNCH Jan27 Jan03 Nov29     (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
2  OUR BREW Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Dec09 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
3  BET YOUR BOOTS Jan03 Nov15       (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LESLIE'S LAYLA         (jones michae)MORALES KELVIN 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
5  MSSNAP Jan11 Dec07 Nov24     (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
6  PALACIO Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec07 Nov04 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
 
CT-2   02/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETTIN SPICY Feb02 Dec06 Nov30 Nov16 Nov08 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 8.00 ★    
2  GOOD BUZZ Jan26 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Sep22 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  HE'S CLEVER Mar18 Feb15 Jan06     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 0.40 54% 0.90    
4  SENZA STRIKE Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 Jun16 Jun01 (stehr joseph)MORALES KELVIN 124 30.00    
5  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Nov08 Oct19 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
6  JUBA'S MOCHA Jan26 Jan05 Dec13 Dec06 Nov11 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHINEY GHOST Jan26 Nov11 Oct20     (aylor william )REAP E 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY ONE Jan26 Jan04 May19 Apr27   (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 1.50 39% 1.50    
2  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan26 May19 Jan28 Oct20 Sep29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  CALYPSO JOHN Jan04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE Jan04 Nov29 Oct20 Sep29   (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
5  GREATANDGOOD Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22   (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
6  TREASURER Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Sep15 Aug11 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
 
CT-4   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN SMITTY Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 Dec01 Nov10 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
2  EAST TO BEAST Jan17 Dec08 Aug18 Nov05   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★    
3  OUTCAT Jan31 Nov07 Oct10 Jul15 Jul02 (greaves vernon)REAP E 118 15.00    
4  J G JETT Jan27 Jan10 Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 (comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 109 5.00    
5  RUSH TO CANDY Jan11 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 Sep09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  RUM CUP Jan27 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 0.80 69% 0.50    
 
CT-5   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBERS POINT Jan27 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep08 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.00 9% 9.90    
2  SAVE THE FLAG Dec28 Dec02 Nov15 Oct23 Sep15 (zook jeff )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
3  BRAVO ZULU Jan29 Dec18 Sep25 Sep06 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 ★    
4  THE SKY IS FALLING Jan10 Oct14 Aug25 Jul20 Jul01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 69% 0.50    
5  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPER COOL STORM Oct17 Sep12 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (littlefield)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
7  GINGER GIRL Dec03 Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR JACK FLYER Jan27         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 57% 0.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TERM PAPER by PRIVATE TERMS)
2  CASSIUS Jan04 Dec01 Nov07 May25   (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PROSPERITY by TAPIT)
3  RING FUND Dec03 Nov18 Oct27     (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of HARDCORE CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  STOP BEING GREEDY         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 ★    
  (by TAPWRIT out of STONERAGEOUS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
5  CAJUN JOE Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep14 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CONCERTED EFFORT by CONCERTO)
6  BESOTTED Feb01 Dec01       (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  TAPPEDWITHSUCCESS Feb01         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TAPIT out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-7   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WYSOQUIET Jan24 Dec30 Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
2  GIACOMO CASANOVA Jan11 Dec12       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 ★    
3  MR. DUMBLEDORE Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  CANDY FOR JUBA Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 Oct12 Sep16 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  AIM FOR THE CORK Jan26 Jan05 Dec16     (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 20.00    
6  PAPA LINGUINE Jan27 Jan05 Dec15     (johnson r)ACOSTA D 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
7  ROBBIELIKESHIM Jan05 Dec14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00    
 
CT-8   02/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANITOULIN ISLAND Jan31 Nov24 Nov02 Oct16 Oct10 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
2  WAVERLEY Jan27 Dec08 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
3  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May27 May18 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SKYLAR'S SISTER Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 (joy ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  PALMARY Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 Nov26   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  HERECOMES SCARLETT Jan27 Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 (davis russell)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50    
7  WICKED SAUCY Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Sep30 Sep16 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 30.00    
8  PUSH Feb07 Jan26 Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
9  CHANNEL SCENT Jan27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov11 Aug12 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 120 5.00    
10  LA CORONA Jan31 Dec15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.