Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/5/6)-(4/2/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8)-(4/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4)-(8/4/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/4)-(8/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/4)-(8/4/2/7)-(3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/7)-(3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8/4/10)-(3/2/8/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARY DOING BIZ Nov10 Sep29 Sep08 Jul07 May25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Jan12 Dec30 Nov25 Oct23 Sep09 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
MIDNIGHT REGRET Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (dillon l)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Jan12 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 (patterson)BOCACHICA J 113 4.00    
BESTLA Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Oct06 Sep15 (sandoval mich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 20.00    
CASTLE LIGHTS Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 16% 5.30    
 
CT-2   02/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIESTE Jan11 Jan05 Dec02 Nov24 Nov01 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Jan11 Dec06 Nov02     (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 3.50    
SCR  LESLIE'S LAYLA         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 6.00    
PARALLAX VIEW Oct06 Aug31       (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 2.50 57% 0.80    
COLD CASH Jan11 Dec07 Nov29     (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 3.00    
LIME STAR Jan11 Dec09 Nov24 Nov01 Aug04 (conn p)REAP E 124 3.00 12% 7.00    
FANTASY FROST Jan11 Nov30       (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   02/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Jan10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
GLOBAL EMPRESS Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 May19 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
PEARLY GHOST Nov09 Oct07 Aug26 Jul20 Jun16 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
STRONG WILLED Oct26 Sep09 Jul28 Jun30 May25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 66% 0.50    
PRINCESS HALO Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Oct13 (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
LADY SPARROW Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 Aug26 (conn p)REAP E 122 20.00    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jan10 Dec14 Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 2.50    
 
CT-4   02/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWIPED THE CASTLE Jan03 Dec02       (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 124 4.00    
BORN TO SIN Dec14 Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Nov29 Oct28 Aug05 Jun06 Apr29 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 15.00    
TIME TO ROCK Jan13 Dec16       (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 59% 0.70    
CECIL THE GREAT Jan04 Dec14 Nov10 Aug19 Aug05 (clement r)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 16% 5.40    
DORADO Jan05 Dec14 Sep29 Sep01   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
AREYOUGONNAKISSME Dec14 Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   02/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY IT LOUD Oct25 Aug27       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of W W AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
BAYTOWN ADMIRAL         (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of DBLSECRETPROBATION by PROUD CITIZEN)
CAJUN JOE Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CONCERTED EFFORT by CONCERTO)
TAPPEDWITHSUCCESS         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by TAPIT out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
HOT ROD LOVE Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep02   (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of KATIE'S CADDIE by LION HEARTED)
COOLKID Dec01 Nov10 Oct11 Sep27 Aug25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNTAINTED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BESOTTED Dec01         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
LUCKY ROYAL FLASH         (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 10% 9.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DR WINN KYI by FORT PRADO)
 
CT-6   02/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XANTHE Jan10 Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 Oct18 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
LONA LEE Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct12 Sep21 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  KAALA Jan04 Nov29 Nov02 Sep02   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCARLET REBEL Nov10 Nov01 Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
POLISH THE DIAMOND Jan10 Nov25 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Dec14 Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 Nov30 (lewis r)MAWING A 120 20.00    
LUCKY BOP Dec14 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
 
CT-7   02/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVERPOPTHECORK Jan11 Dec08 Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
I'M THE MONEY MAN Jan11 Dec08 Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jan11 Nov18 Oct27 Sep07 Aug17 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 4.00 23% 3.40    
SPUNMAN Dec16 Nov06 Oct06 Aug04 Jun23 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 10.00    
SCR  VAGABOND VIRGIN Dec09 Nov01 Oct18 Sep15 Sep01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
STOMPING MOON Jan12 Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 Sep22 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
PAYMENGOLD Dec08 Dec01 Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
BON BUENO Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Sep16 Sep09 (gillespie a)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   02/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEABROOK ISLAND Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
LOVE IS WICKED Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
JUDGEMENT DAY         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of BENCH RULING by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
UNDERBOSS Jan13         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EASTER FASHION by KELA)
SCR  YACHTSMEN Jan11 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16   (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
CANDY OUTLINE Jan13         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of BROAD OUTLINE by SMART STRIKE)
FAPPIANO HALO Jan13         (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of ABSOLUTELYGORGEOUS by BEST TURN)
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Jan11 Sep16 Aug19 Jul21 Jun04 (meyers)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BECKY'S RAINBOW by INDYGO SHINER)
GRANDPA JOE Jan11         (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of SECRET GARDEN by WEIGELIA)
10  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jan11 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.