Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(8/1/3/7)-(1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(1/6/4)-(4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/6/8/1)-(6/4/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1)-(4/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/1)-(6/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/1)-(6/4/5/9)-(2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/10/9)-(6/4/5/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/9)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/9)-(2/1/4)-(3/1/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/1/9/6)-(7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/6)-(3/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/6)-(3/1/9/6)-(3/1/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/9/6)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS KELLY Nov04 Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 Jan22 (gorham michael )MENA E 124 15.00    
SCR  HOME PORT Oct19 Sep15 Jun18 May04   (thommen phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.40    
3  BONDIVA Nov11 Oct19 Sep29 Aug17   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  TRITONE GAL Oct29 Oct15 Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
5  DIVINE ROMANCE Oct15 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 8.00    
6  GRACEFUL ROSE Oct11 Jul30 Jul13 Jun22 May27 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  FREE TO ROAM Nov05 Oct12 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 117 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-2   11/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY IN HEELS Nov02 Sep27 Aug12 Jul21 Jun13 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50 ★    
1A  BREEZY CONNECTION Nov15 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 Sep04 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  SPEAK YOUR MIND Oct25 Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 Apr30 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
3  COACH RUBE Oct14 Oct02 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 8.00 19% 4.20    
4  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Nov02 Sep15 Aug13 Jul16 Jun30 (rodriguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00    
5  ALAS AND ALACK Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 Oct13 Aug12 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 30.00    
6  GOLDEN CAN Nov17 Oct29 Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
7  MY LOVELY GIRL Oct25 Sep11 Jul16 May22 May06 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00 6% 15.70    
8  SPICY MARGARITA Nov17 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 May12 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 1.40 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-3   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY MUNNI Oct14 Sep30 Sep03 Aug19 Jul21 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  FORTUNE'S FOOL Oct22 Jun30 Jun14 May24 Oct13 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
SCR  BOB MARCO Nov04 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Jul01 (magee kie)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 1.80    
4  LOOSE GOOSE Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 9% 9.90    
5  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Sep22 Aug04 Jul01 May20 Apr29 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
6  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Oct04 Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  BIG ROWDY DAN Nov04 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Aug02 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 123 30.00    
8  MOSE PERFECT Oct19 Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
 
LRL-4   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POGGIBONSI Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 Aug26 Aug19 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50    
2  BOURBON WILDCAT Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 May13 Mar12 (magana j)ROJAS MARTINA 118 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TABBY Sep27 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 May08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
4  MAVILUS Oct14 Sep04 Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  CONTINENTALCONGRES Oct15 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Jul15 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  MONEY'S WORTH Oct06 Sep09 Jul01 Jun10 May12 (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 5.00 23% 3.30    
7  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Oct28 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00    
8  MAMA G'S WISH Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00    
 
LRL-5   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATER WITCH Nov04 Oct19 Sep30 Sep01 Jul23 (casey james)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00 8% 11.80    
2  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Nov09 Oct19 Sep01 Aug09 Jul23 (corrales jose)MENA E 123 30.00    
SCR  PLEASE MARRY ME Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 8.00    
4  COCKTAIL DREAMING Nov09 Oct21 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 115 1.20 34% 1.90    
5  MISQUILLO Nov04 Sep30 Aug21 Aug09 Jun27 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
6  JOYA DEL SUR Oct21 Sep17 Aug18 Aug02 Jul15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  EARLEY ROSE Nov04 Oct19 Sep07 Aug18 Aug02 (frock cha)HERNANDEZ F 119 30.00    
8  JACKSON'S DIXIE Nov04 Oct27 Oct01 Aug26 Aug19 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
9  SHE SO COOL Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00    
 
LRL-6   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DIVINO NINO Nov03 Oct22 Oct05     (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
2  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Oct01 Sep04       (mohan r)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 50.00    
3  IMAGINIZED Oct29 Oct13       (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN         (beattie m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
5  MEDAGOOCH Nov03         (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 6% 16.60    
6  ENZO Oct27 Oct05       (merryman el)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  RESERVE JUDGEMENT         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
8  MANTUA MAN         (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
9  GET LIKE MIKE         (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Nov03         (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 ★    
11  HAD TO HAVE HIM         (duarte jo)CARRASCO R 122 10.00    
12  BRUDER         (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
SCR  DALINAR Oct28 Sep01       (ashby lynn)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 10.00    
SCR  DAVYJONZ         (graham ro)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
SCR  GREAT OPPORTUNITY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00    
 
LRL-7   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Politely Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPONSE TIME Nov03 Oct14 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MOSLER out of DOMINUS EFFECT by DOMINUS)
2  INTREPID DAYDREAM Oct14 Sep28 Sep16 Sep01 Jul15 (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.60 48% 1.10    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
3  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Oct14 Sep13 Jul22 Jun10 May11 (mancilla a)NO RIDER 120 15.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of UTTER PLEASURE by CROWD PLEASER)
4  MALIBU BEAUTY Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Aug26 Jul08 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
  (by BUFFUM out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
5  CANOODLE Nov04 Sep04 Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 12.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SOME KINDA LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  MOONBOOTS Oct18 Sep19 Jun10 May25 Apr10 (morgan carla)ALVELO C 120 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SIEGE by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-8   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Howard Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Sep08 Mar25 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BANDBOX out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
2  DOUBLE CROWN Oct28 Oct14 Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
3  JOE Jun17 May06 May21 Apr16 Mar19 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of BATTLE BRIDGE by ARCH)
4  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 May20 Apr15 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 May29 (cox kenneth)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 20.00    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
6  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Oct28 Sep04 Aug13 Jul08 Sep10 (morley thomas)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADDALENA by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  TENAX Nov09 Oct28 Oct14 Sep22 Sep10 (garibay)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ROSE'S LAST by TOCCET)
8  HELLO HOT ROD Oct14 Sep09 Jul02 Jun11 May20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 12.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HELLO NOW by TIZNOW)
9  SUPER ACCELERATE Oct28 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 Jun16 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 6% 16.30    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BAWLMER HON by SILVER TRAIN)
10  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 Aug25 Aug13 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 20.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KUNG FU PEGGY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
LRL-9   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Oct26 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 (troxell kristin)MENA E 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROPER STORM Nov04 Oct14 Sep17 Aug11 Jul16 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.50    
3  HAPPY UNION Oct26 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug18 (machado a)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
4  COAL MINE Nov04 Oct27 Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  ANATH Jun16 May28 May06 Apr06 Mar19 (shankle joann)CHAVEZ ANDRES 110 30.00    
6  MYSISTERNANCY Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 Aug25 Aug05 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00    
7  ONE LAS OLAS Nov04 Oct21 Sep01 Aug12 Jun17 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  QUANTICO CREEK Oct21 Sep04 Aug05 Nov02 Oct19 (shuman mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.