Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/6/5)-(3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/5/2)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/3/5)-(1/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(1/4/6)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/5)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/3/4)-(2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   11/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHELONIAN Sep04 Jul19 Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.50    
MR JACK Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 Jun02 Mar03 (barboza )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  MORNING THOUGHTS Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
THE COLORA KID Sep28 Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 (smith coll)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00    
HUSBAND MATERIAL Sep27 Aug30 Jul22 Jun30 May29 (toner j)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
GRAND PICK Sep15 Aug19 Jul25 Jun30 Mar22 (barboza vict)ARROYO S 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
DEL-2   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PEPPER GRILL Oct14 Sep09 Jul22 Jun27 May24 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 8.00    
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 Aug18 Jul22 (simone michael )CENTENO E 121 8.00    
LET'S BE HONEST Oct14 Aug16 Jul22 Jul13 Jun14 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
SHESASUPERFREAK Sep25 Aug30 Aug18 Jun18 May22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50    
LADY JEAN Oct20 Oct09 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 (simone micha)ARROYO S 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
WATERWORKS Oct06 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Jul15 (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 123 1.80 15% 5.80    
 
DEL-3   11/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
CARROLL GIRL Sep28 Aug24 Jul15 Jun28 May11 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 122 1.80 14% 6.20    
AFERDITA Oct06 Sep06 Aug23 Jul22 Jun30 (rigattieri john)MENA E 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
IZZYBELLA Oct13 Sep14 Aug17 Jul12 Jun10 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50    
UNADULTERATED Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Aug23 Aug11 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
PARTY MONSTER Oct21 Oct06 Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 (smith coll)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
 
DEL-4   11/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY BOUND Sep10 Aug04 Jul08 Nov24 Oct27 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
LIFESPAN Oct25 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
MAKABIM Feb01 Nov18 Oct27 Oct02 Sep19 (troxell kristin)MENA E 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
CONSPIRACY FACT Sep20 Sep07 Jul19 Jun28 May31 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Oct20 Oct11 Sep30 Aug26 Aug17 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GUILLAUME Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Aug19 (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00    
STACKS OF SILVER Oct20 Sep16 Aug16 Jul19 Oct01 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
 
DEL-5   11/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL EXPRESS Oct14         (contessa c)CENTENO E 119 1.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE ANGEL EXPRESS by MARCIANO)
GWEN STACY Oct16         (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of GIRLFRIEND by TOM ROLFE)
MAXS PICK Oct18         (correa maxine)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BIG BOLT Oct26 Oct07 Sep21     (compton greg)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BIG MOVE by MR. BIG)
SCREAM MACHINE Oct26         (robertson mc)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of SILVER AGAVE by SILVER DEPUTY)
LADY PROSPECT Oct07 Aug13       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of INVESTED PROSPECT by ABRAAJ)
 
DEL-6   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN JUAN Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 Jul01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 1.80    
CLAW Oct21 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Jun28 (bailon nesvil )CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
STRIKING SPEED Oct22 Sep28 Aug04 Jul14 May26 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50    
SENATE CHAMBER Oct11 Sep22 Aug28 Jul23 Jun10 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 3.50    
SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Oct21 Oct04 Sep08 Sep01 Aug19 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
KITCHEN FIRE Oct04 Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jun09 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 121 8.00 47% 1.10    
 
DEL-7   11/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($26K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYCOON (GB) Oct17 Sep27 Sep03 Aug19 Jun06 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
FUNKENSTEIN Oct12 Jan23 Oct16 Sep16 Aug12 (jacobson david)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00    
SMITHWICK'S SPICE Sep04 Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 Jun09 (nunn douglas)CENTENO E 122 8.00 33% 2.00    
ALVY Oct20 Aug19 Jun30 Jun21 May31 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS LOGIC Oct05 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 Jun23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.50 45% 1.20    
LOOKIN AT ROSES Oct09 Sep21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun25 (preciado guada)PENNINGTON F 124 1.80    
 
DEL-8   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMINSKI Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Dec10 Oct08 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL BOWMAN Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.50 38% 1.60    
GOLDEN CANDY Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 (neilson wallace)CENTENO E 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
HEADS OR TAILS Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Jul08 May29 (mancilla car)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
OCTOPUS Oct05 Sep28 Jul03 Apr21 Mar05 (jacobson david)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00    
BABY BOOMER Oct18 Aug20 Apr01 Jan06 Nov27 (ward dan)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.