Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/1/3)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/2/4)-(2/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/7/5)-(8/2/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(8/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(8/2/6/4)-(6/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (8/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/4)-(6/1/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/4)-(6/1/9/5)-(7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (6/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/9/5)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS BOOMBASTIC Oct13 Sep22 Sep14 Mar03 Feb08 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
CAGED PIXIE Oct12 Sep27 Aug27 Jun17 May26 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 3.50 26% 2.90    
LONDONDERRY Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jul26 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 8.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Oct14 Sep27 Aug25 Aug12 Aug05 (sanchez-salom)CHAVEZ ANDRES 110 2.50 19% 4.20    
NURSE RACHETT Oct12 Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul27 (cronk samu)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL STAR Oct06 Sep28 Sep19 Aug09 Jul17 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
DEL-2   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA IMAGE Oct12 Sep30 Sep22 Sep09 Aug23 (strauss )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 117 8.00    
ALLIE'S HALO Sep30 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Jul08 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 2.50 21% 3.80    
AKIVA Oct12 Jul30 Jun03 May18   (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 117 6.00    
DESTINED TO DANCE Oct05 Sep22 Sep03 Aug27 Jul19 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 117 1.80 23% 3.30    
APRIL'S GOLD Oct12         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
STRIKING MELODY Aug16 Aug04 Jun15 Dec18 Nov26 (chichakly am)ARROYO S 117 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON VALLEY Oct11 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul19 (sullivan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
U U STAR Oct17 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Jun28 (perez rupert)ARROYO S 121 4.00    
NO MORE TALK Oct11 Sep14 Aug30 Aug05 Jul14 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
JOE PHILLIPS Oct07 Sep06 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 May23 May10 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 121 8.00    
CLASSY SOLUTION Oct11 Sep14 Sep02 Aug23 Aug04 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 117 8.00    
SCR  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 Aug24 Aug04 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 6.00    
 
DEL-4   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED WARRIOR         (breen j)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.00    
BUSTIN TIME         (breen j)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
UPTOWN GOLDENGOODS         (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
MYA C         (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 10% 9.40    
CHICA MUSIC Aug18 Aug11       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
SWEET SUMMER LOVE Oct18 Sep21 Sep07     (nambo cesar)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 10.00    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Sep29 Jul26       (hamilton ste)BURKE JERMAINE 119 8.00    
 
DEL-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALAXY MUSIC Aug24 Jul20 Jul01 Jun03 Apr08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 4.00    
TAKE A HINT Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 (capuano a)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Oct05 Sep13 Aug03 Jul14 Jun21 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00    
VICTIM OF THE NITE Oct07 Sep17 Aug25 Aug03 Dec04 (geralis emanue)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00    
SUPREME LAW Sep13 Aug24 Aug13 Jul20 Feb12 (sillaman )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWIFTY DEVIL Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 Jun21 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
NO CONFESSION Oct05 Sep02 Aug22 Jun17 May13 (schistl )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 114 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
DEL-6   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTBOSTONBENNY         (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
IN THE DANCE Oct13 Sep29 Aug26     (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
FINAL OPPORTUNITY Oct11         (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 109 8.00    
SILVERBULLETTWENTY Oct13 Jun28       (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00 8% 11.00    
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Oct15 Sep29 Sep04     (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 117 10.00    
SECRET SATURDAY Oct13         (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
DUBAI FIRE Sep29 Sep08       (beecher mark)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
DALINAR Sep01         (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
DEL-7   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOTTED BULL Oct18 Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 Aug05 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
MOTIVATING Sep27 Nov18 Sep07 Aug24   (stidham michael)CENTENO E 118 4.00    
BOAT SONG Sep14 Sep02 May27 Apr23 Mar10 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
BUSTIN LOOSE Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 Jun03 May21 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
SUMO (ARG) Oct05 Sep01 Mar17 Jan29 Jan15 (gaudet lac)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 6% 14.40    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS Sep01 Jul01 May18 Mar10 Dec27 (simoff andre)ARROYO S 121 8.00 38% 1.70    
MR. SWAGGER Jul01 May29 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 3.00    
ENTRUST Oct19 Aug12 Jul12 Jun30   (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 15.00    
RUN POPPY Oct12 Sep28 Aug17 Jul21 Jun22 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
DEL-8   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALK SADLY Oct18 Sep03 Aug11 Jul09   (popovich ja)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 12.00    
IT'S BIRDIE BIRDIE Oct06 Aug05       (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 120 1.60 13% 6.50    
POP SOCKS Oct05 Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 (martin cl)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 12.00    
TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Oct05 Aug25 Mar23 Feb15 Jan27 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 119 12.00    
FINN'S POINT Oct13 Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 (strauss )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 12.00    
NIEUWENDYK Oct14 Aug31 Jun04 May14 Apr21 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
BOLD MEDICATION Oct14 Dec09 Nov23 Nov02 Oct09 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 1.20 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.