Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (9/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/3/2)-(12/6/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-2   WIN (12/6/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/6/3/1/5)-(12/6/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/6/3/1/5)-(12/6/3/1/5)-(12/6/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/6/3/1/5)-(5/6/8/9/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ALB-3   WIN (5/6/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/9/3)-(5/6/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/9/3)-(5/6/8/9/3)-(5/6/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/9/3)-(7/4/2/1/10)-(2/7/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
ALB-4   WIN (7/4/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1/10)-(7/4/2/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1/10)-(7/4/2/1/10)-(7/4/2/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-5   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THE JUAN Oct13 Sep24 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 (m)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
STORMIN TEXASON Jan18         (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 15.00 8% 12.30    
FLYING PHANTOM Sep17 Jun25 Apr22 Dec06 Oct24 (duree dom)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
SMOOTH WATERS Sep17 Jan17 Nov13 Sep24   (sedillo carlos)VALDEZ S 124 10.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  WOLFRAM Aug18 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (dominguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
ARBITRO Oct01 Sep13 May14 Aug24 Jul30 (olguin ev)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SUERTUDA Oct13 Sep08 Jul15 May14 May07 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50    
SCR  RED GARNET Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (domingu)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 10.00    
ATTILAS TORNADO Oct18 Sep17 Jul30 Jun25 May14 (buechler sim)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
10  RARE COIN Oct18 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jun16 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 2.50    
11  SPICEY SECRET Oct13 Oct04 Jun21 Jun04 May21 (clemmer phill)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 20.00    
 
ALB-2   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY DUDE Oct11 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 (christian billy)MEDELLIN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CRYSTAL BANDIT Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Sep11 Jul17 (simpson shannon)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
EXTREMELY WICKED Oct13 Sep24 Sep03 Jul29 Jul15 (matt wendell )JUAREZ J 124 8.00 6% 14.70    
PIRATE MISCHIEF Oct13 Sep16 May06 Apr01 Mar26 (leon alexis)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 30.00    
HOT MEMORIES Oct07 Sep17 Jun25 Jul10 Jun25 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
REIGN OF SPEED Oct07 Aug04 Jul21 Jun17 Jun04 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
GRIFTER Sep24 Jul08 Jun24 May21 Apr29 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50    
REIGN OVER ME Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 (sedillo carlos)VALDEZ S 122 30.00    
THE RONALD Oct01 Jul22 Jun19 Apr18 Mar12 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 3.50    
10  MOTOWN CLASSIC Oct07 Sep24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun18 (valerio r)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 25.00    
11  AUSPICE Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 May06 Mar05 (chacon sebedeo )ROSENDO J 122 25.00    
12  FULL BORE Oct01 Sep15 Sep03 Sep30 Aug31 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
ALB-3   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRICKHOUSE Oct18 Sep30 Sep16 May06 Mar26 (leon alexis)ROSENDO J 118 20.00    
ELLIOT Oct11 Sep08 Jul15 May29 May21 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 118 25.00    
TRICKY LEE Oct15 Sep11 Sep02 Aug05 Jul02 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUCK IN MY EYES Jun18 May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar28 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
NORTHCUT Oct07 Sep15 Aug09 Jun24 Apr10 (silva jos)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
MAD LUTHER Oct07 Sep01 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 (matt wendell )JUAREZ J 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
LOOKING FOR BULL Aug04 Jun18 Apr02 Mar28 Mar21 (hancock d)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 118 15.00    
IZA DADDY Aug04 Jun18 Apr22 Apr08 Jan10 (c)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
GOPHER GOLD Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 Jun17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
10  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Oct07 Sep01 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00    
 
ALB-4   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE PINCH Apr22 Mar28 Mar14 Aug24 Aug13 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
NATION OF LAWS Oct14 Sep27 Aug05 May20 Mar12 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Oct04 Sep27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 (lavanway dayson)RAMEY CASH 124 30.00    
CAIRO MOON Oct14 Sep27 Mar26 Feb28 Feb14 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
WON SASSY RIDE Oct08 Sep27 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00    
ISLA JANE Sep27 Aug05 Jun18 Apr29 Sep25 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 122 15.00    
SPRINKLES Oct08 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01   (matt wendell )JUAREZ J 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
LUCKY AND DARING Sep27 Jul22 Jul09     (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 25.00    
SCR  WE WANT ANOTHER Sep17 Sep09 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 (tsosie te)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 122 20.00    
10  GABRIELLA WHO Oct08 Aug05 Jun18 May07 Oct11 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
11  PRINCESS KITTEN Oct14 Sep02 Aug05 May20 Apr29 (martinez dan)SIGALA ALFREDO 119 8.00    
12  HAUTE LADY Sep23 Jun11 May07 Apr09 Feb21 (sedillo carlos)CARRENO J 124 30.00    
 
ALB-5   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Petticoat Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIGHT WARRIOR Sep03 Jul08 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (marr jo)FUENTES T 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
MAMA WAS A ROCKET Oct15 Sep03 Jul22 Jan15 Dec13 (fincher w)HEBERT J 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of GATOR PROWL by ROAR OF THE TIGER)
FIRST AGAIN Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May20 Apr22 (m)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of MIA'S FIRST by MALABAR GOLD)
MARKING'S MIRACLE Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr02 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 119 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of FOREST PIKE by OLD FORESTER)
DOER NOT A FAKER Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 Oct30 Sep10 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of COMPLETE PACKAGE by BOUNDARY)
BYE BYE BROOKY Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 Jul29 (chavez ar)VALENZUELA A 119 15.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of HANG GLIDE by DOME)
BETTER BELIEVE Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Sep25 Sep10 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 2.50 25% 3.10    
  (by MARKING out of LOOKIN BETTER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.