Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/5/7)-(4/2/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(4/2/9)-(3/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/9)-(4/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/9)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9)-(3/7/4)-(1/6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/6/7/8)-(8/9/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(8/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(8/9/1/3)-(2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3)-(8/9/1/6/3)-(8/9/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/3)-(2/7/4)-(11/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(11/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/5)-(11/1/7/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/5)-(11/1/7/5/3)-(11/1/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS INTENSITY Sep15 Aug31 Jul20 Jul06   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
2  YES TO LOVE Aug10 Jul20       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
3  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Oct06 Sep15 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
4  SOMESUGARNSPICE Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
5  BEA'S LEGEND Aug31         (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
6  GIRLS PERFUME Oct06 Sep15 Aug31     (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 122 1.60 31% 2.30    
 
CT-2   10/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF LUCK Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00    
2  IN HIGH GEAR Oct05 Aug26 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
3  JUST JUBA Sep15 Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  WINDSOR'S STAR Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
6  DE'S CASTLE Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 55% 0.80    
7  BOP ZAPPER Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF BAD BOYS Sep06 Jul06 May11 Apr22 Mar31 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 121 15.00    
2  COMO ESTAS Oct13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  CHASIN CHAPIN Sep08 Feb16 Dec17 Nov29 Oct14 (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
4  AIR KENNEY Sep29 Aug13 May03 Aug06   (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  ARYA CHARMING Oct20 Sep29 Sep08     (wilhelm m)CECIL Y 121 20.00    
SCR  KLIMT O'MATIC Aug19 Jul29 Oct07     (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ADAGE Oct13 Sep23 Jul29 Jul01 Jun16 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 121 1.20    
SCR  BUFF'S CAT Sep22 Sep07 Jul21 Jul07 May19 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
9  SHAMELESS APPEAL Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 Jun03 (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   10/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Oct12 Sep14 Jul15 May12 May06 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
2  TODAYISMYDAY Oct12         (morris r)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00    
3  EBONY QUEEN Sep22 Aug24       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
4  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 May12 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Jun23 May06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 (hummer a)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
6  SK'S HEART Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 (bailon)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 1.40    
7  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
CT-5   10/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET CASTLE Oct05 Aug31 Aug19 Aug10 Jul28 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  EXTRA CRUNCHY Oct08 Sep04 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 1.40    
3  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Oct14 Sep14 Jul29 Jul13 Jun17 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
4  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jun16 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
5  EXPRESS LADY Sep06 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 May16 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
6  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 Jun16 Jun05 (jones a)MAWING A 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  FLAVA'S DREAM Oct06 Sep29 Sep04 Aug25 Aug06 (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 115 3.50 14% 6.40    
8  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul13 Jun17 (obed-letts k)MORALES KELVIN 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
 
CT-6   10/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU YEARS Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10   (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
2  QUINN ELIA Sep21 Aug31       (schiano-d)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
3  SHOTGUN MARGARET Oct12 Aug31       (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
4  BEVERLY'SACTINUP Oct12 Aug31       (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 30.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
5  FLAMME FATALE         (couchenour lee)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LA FLAMME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  ROMAN CANDLE Sep21         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of ROMAN CHARITY by ROMAN RULER)
7  LIGHTNIN QUEEN Sep15 Aug31 Aug02     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
8  MITOLE CANDY Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  JUNE BELLE Oct06         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
10  PETTY PERFECT Sep21         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-7   10/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD SLEW Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
2  NOCASHREFUNDS Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Feb08 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  JACKSON MAN Oct14 Sep04 Aug20 Jul12 Jun05 (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
4  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Sep07 Aug17 Jun16 May25 Mar31 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 11% 8.50    
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Oct14 Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 May19 (sigler ronald )REYNOLDS C 118 10.00    
6  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
7  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 22% 3.70    
 
CT-8   10/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRAYAL Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 ★    
2  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Sep09 Sep01 Jul20 Jul06   (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
3  SCARE DEM Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 ★    
4  SUGAR LIPS Oct18 Nov16 Oct22 Sep21 Aug27 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
5  LIEUTENANT BROWN Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HILLBILLY ROCK Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
7  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 May12 Apr13 (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 1.20 ★    
8  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
9  ON A WHIM Sep07 Aug28 Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 30.00    
10  MONKEY WRENCH Oct06 Jul15 Jun09 May26 Apr27 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
11  BURR HILL BULLET Oct11 Sep25 Aug13 Nov17 Oct19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 75% 0.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.