Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-1   WIN (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/5)-(8/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-2   WIN (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/6)-(6/8/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-3   WIN (6/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/9)-(6/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/9)-(6/8/3/9)-(6/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/9)-(11/10/3/8)-(6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ALB-4   WIN (11/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/3/8)-(11/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/10/3/8)-(11/10/3/8)-(11/10/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-1   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLISH SPLASH Sep02 Jul14 Jun16 May13 Mar19 (alamos armand)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 4.50    
  (by HOLMES out of TRULY ABOVE by ABAJO)
2  OLIVIADIDIT Nov14 Oct18       (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 122 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by COMFORT out of SHAIKHA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  LEAP YEAR NIGHT Sep02 Aug18 Jun11 May13 Apr15 (acosta jr)RAMEY CASH 117 8.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
4  CANDY TRACK Oct08 Sep30 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 (eliott ro)AMAYA RUIZ 122 20.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of CLANCY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  CHARLIENE Sep09 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Dec12 (villalobos m)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of THANK GOODNESS by ORB)
6  WHISPER'S MARK Sep14         (buechler j)HEBERT J 122 10.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MARKING out of WHISPER'S SISTER by GHOSTLY MOVES)
7  ZAPPIN Sep09         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by DOME out of ZAPPED OUT by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  MI PRINCESA Sep09 Aug05       (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 122 3.50    
  (by G G FLAG out of HOT FOR YOU by LARRUPIN')
 
ALB-2   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIO CUTIE Oct13 Sep14 Apr16 Feb28 Jan22 (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 12.00    
2  MAGIC IS FLYING Sep30 Apr29 Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  THIRSTY ECHO Oct13 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 May06 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
SCR  AUDACE Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 Sep19 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 25.00    
5  GO LAKER GO Sep30 Sep03 Aug21 Jul17 Jul08 (b)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  JUST AWESOME M Sep30 Jul08 Apr15 Apr02 Feb19 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00 9% 10.50    
7  JON L Sep17 Sep03 May13 Apr29 Apr15 (gherardi robert )HEBERT J 124 8.00    
8  TSUNAMI GOLD Sep27 Sep14 Jun16 May20 Apr29 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  TALE OF TRUTH Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 Aug24 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
10  STYLE BENDER Oct15 Sep27 Sep09 Jun10 May20 (martinez franki)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
 
ALB-3   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($33.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET'S DOUBLE Oct15 May23 Apr16 Sep24 Sep15 (clemmer phil)SIGALA ALFREDO 119 25.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Sep23 Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 (a)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
3  BEDROCK (GB) Oct08 Aug12 Jun19 Jun03 Apr26 (christian billy)MEDELLIN A 119 10.00 8% 12.00    
4  SEA TO SUCCESS Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jun25 Apr16 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 119 3.50    
SCR  KELLER'S GOLD Sep11 Jul02 Apr26 Mar26 Feb27 (moreno carlos)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
6  LINEARSPEED Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 47% 1.20    
7  NUMEROLOGIST Sep03 Jul30 Jun16 May21 May01 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 4.50    
8  CERVEZA Sep07 Jul30 Jul14 May07 Mar12 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
9  CANNONBALL COMIN Oct04 Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 May06 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEDDING GROOM Apr23 Mar14 Jan31 Jan07 Dec01 (fincher leroy)JUAREZ J 119 6.00    
 
ALB-4   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Oct06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun18 (christian billy)CARRENO J 119 20.00    
SCR  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Sep02 Jul31 Jul10 Jun12 Apr02 (alvarez sergio)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
3  DIXIE STREET Sep17 Sep03 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
4  EAST RAND Oct06 Sep07 Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
SCR  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Oct04 Sep04 Jun18 May21 Apr15 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
6  FEEL THE BERNING Oct06 Sep17 Sep07 Dec06 Nov30 (summers nancy)VALDEZ S 124 10.00    
7  GRAY MAGICIAN Sep09 Jul29 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50    
8  SILVER DASH Oct06 Aug27 Jun28 May27 May01 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  KEEN CAT Oct08 Apr29 Apr08 Mar12 Jan31 (o)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
10  MR. WHO Oct11 Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 Apr25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
11  RECKONING DAY Sep02 Jul29 Jun21 Jun03 May01 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
ALB-5   10/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Downs At Albuquerque Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE BOBBY Sep30 Aug26 Jul23 May21 Apr08 (fincher w)HEBERT J 123 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of REVEL IN THE WIN by RED BULLET)
2  ARHAM Sep17 Aug26 May13 Apr03   (cerin vladimir)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SANAAYA by SMART STRIKE)
3  MINE THAT STAR Oct01 May29 Apr02 Jan29 Nov22 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
4  BIGFOOT CITY Oct11 Sep04 Aug06 Jul22 Jul12 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 114 8.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
5  PRESIDENTIAL Sep24 Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of UPTOWN TWIRL by TWIRLING CANDY)
6  TRUTH SEEKER Oct01 Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 May06 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.