Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(6/1)-(4/3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(4/2)-(7/4/1/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/4/1/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILISH MAGIC Sep20 Aug15 Jul06 Jun08 May23 (uelmen jason)CCAMAQUE M 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
2  LADY MARVEL Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jun19 (o verg)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 15% 5.80    
3  SHEZAGOLDGETTER Aug30 Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 (witherow sand)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
4  BELLA BASORA Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 (gotera car)LEON A 123 5.00    
5  SMOOTH RITHMS Sep11 Aug23 May29 Oct23 Sep14 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN ROULETTE May14 Apr13 Mar03 Jan26   (jeffries patri)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.00    
7  SUGAR BRITCHES Aug29 Aug15 Jul10 Jun20 May30 (herrington )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 20.00    
 
MNR-2   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTIONALIST Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  SECRET SEDUCTION Aug21 Aug09 Jul26 Jul09 Jun05 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
3  TOP MULE Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Nov06 Sep22 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00    
4  MY BATON ROUGE Sep05 Jul25 Jul01 Jun02 May05 (suarez wlaima)CEDILLO MAURO 116 1.40 31% 2.30    
5  BAY OF ANGELS Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 Jul23 Jun25 (sipp k)LEON A 120 10.00    
6  CONDUTTORE Aug23 Aug08 Jun10 May20 May03 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
7  QUITCHERSNIVELIN Aug23 Aug04 Jul26 Jul16 Nov16 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK ALLEY CAT Aug09 Jul30 Jul18 Jun11 May29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA May07 May02 Dec06 Nov21 Nov08 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00    
3  RIVER KAT Sep01 Jul23 Jun04 Mar10 Feb19 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00    
4  TEXTPECTATION Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
5  PARADE GRAND Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
6  SOLITAIRE GAME Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 May25 Oct09 (viands greg)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
MNR-4   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA SUNSET Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 (van den)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00    
2  RAISE THE PRAISE Sep11 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 May20 (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50    
3  BALLYKEEN Sep04 Aug01 Jul23 Jun20 May28 (viands greg)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
4  BIZZY GAL Aug28 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 May04 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
5  MYRA FLEENER Sep10 Aug23 Aug08 Jul19 Jul11 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
6  ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Sep03 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Oct29 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
7  LA BRODY Sep06 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 (cascallares n)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
 
MNR-5   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO YO MON Sep06 Aug14 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  MALIBU MARLEE Sep03 Jul26 Jul05 Jun18 May29 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
4  HERE COMES JIGS Sep03 Aug21 Aug08 Jul11 May09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
SCR  WOLF EYES Aug27 May24 Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 2.50    
6  MARIANNA QUEEN Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr18 (ruiz ort)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Aug15 Jul31 Jul09 Jun13 May09 (welsh )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
2  PRETTY STORMY Sep05 Aug22 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 (murillo rodri)NELSON TYRONE 120 8.00    
3  I'M A COOL MAN Aug30 Aug21 Jul11 Jun19 May30 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  QUICK ENTRY Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 18% 4.40    
5  KICKSTARTER Jul30 Jul05 Jun11 May28 May07 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50    
6  HIDDEN RULER Sep05 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 May07 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
7  TEN TWENTY NINE Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
MNR-7   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON BERTIE Aug30 Jul26 Jul16 Jun11 Jun04 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
2  POLISHED GEM May02 Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 Jan28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  AVENIDA MANANA Sep04 Aug09 Aug01 Jul17 Jul09 (larue steve)NELSON TYRONE 120 30.00    
4  ICE FLOE Aug27 Aug08 Jul19 Jul02 Jun20 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  U SO MONEY BABY Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul12 Jun10 (larue steve)PAUCAR E 120 3.00    
6  GET A GRIP MARILYN Sep06 Jun04 May25 Apr20 Sep09 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 2.00    
SCR  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 May07 Apr02 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
 
MNR-8   09/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONTI PRIDE Aug17 Jun17 May22 Apr15 Feb22 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 2.50 12% 7.30    
2  GALLIPOLIS Sep06 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 123 10.00    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO Aug31 Aug01 Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 111 3.50    
4  HAPPY YEARS Aug22 Jul16 Jun20 Apr22 Nov23 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  BLACK BULL Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 (knowles lucin)NELSON TYRONE 120 10.00    
6  WHY WINCHILL WHY Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 Jul18 (meeks )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
7  MY SWEET LORD Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Feb14 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 4.50 28% 2.50    
8  CAJUN BAYOU Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 Jul05 Jun19 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
9  ALLABOUTBIZ Jul25 Jun20 May29 May23   (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.