Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/3/5)-(8/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(8/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(8/2/1/4)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (8/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/4)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/4)-(6/4/5)-(4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/2/5)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/5/6)-(6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/3)-(3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/2/4)-(3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   09/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAAJIN RIBBON Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun09 May21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 2.00    
SCR  PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE Aug05 Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 Jun19 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 12.00    
SIX BLESSINGS Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 Sep09 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50    
MAMACALLMEBOO Jul30 Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 (pierce l)RADKE K 125 10.00    
DARKSABER Jul23 May13 Apr25 Mar26 Mar11 (bean a)VALDES ALEXIS 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
BRONY BOY Jun18 May29 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
 
EMD-2   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OXBOW PARK Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
REGULATION DAZED Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun11 May21 (nunnally jennif)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 55% 0.80    
SUMMANUS Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 125 2.50 14% 6.20    
WITHEE Aug13 Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 May27 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
DEVILS WORKSHOP Jul30 Jul08 Jun04 Apr17 Feb08 (koler steve)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRIME EXAMPLE Aug13 Jul01 Jun03 May27 Apr12 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 3.00    
 
EMD-3   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERNI VALENTINO Aug18 Jul23 Jul09     (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 4.00 5% 18.10    
CONRAD MEADOWS Aug18 Jul30 Jul09     (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 2.00 7% 13.90    
DERBY BOY Aug18 Jul23       (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 120 12.00    
MIRRORED Aug18 Jul23       (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
RALLIFIED Aug18         (van debbi)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
FLY PARKER FLY Aug11 Jul23 Jul08     (martinez b)ZUNINO L 117 20.00    
JACOB YEN Aug18         (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 120 15.00    
FAR FAR AWAY Jul29 Jul15       (wright blain)OROZCO E 117 2.50 66% 0.50    
 
EMD-4   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE TOWER Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 May27 May14 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 119 3.50    
MISTER MAFIOSO Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
SINGLE MERIT Aug11 Jul28 Apr14 Mar24   (van debbie)MONTALVO C 125 10.00    
MR. BUGS Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01   (perez hilario)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.00 11% 8.00    
TIME 'ER TOO Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 May27 May13 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.00 8% 11.30    
TABLE BAY Jul15 Jun18 May27     (martinez dav)OROZCO E 121 4.00 58% 0.70    
 
EMD-5   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 May22 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 123 15.00    
ANNA'S IRON MAN Aug19 Jul22 Jul14 Jun17 Jun04 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.50 17% 4.90    
ZACCHEUS Aug05 Jul14 Jul03 Jun23 Jun04 (thompson e)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 10.00    
J T'S A. T. M. Aug18 Jul15 Jun10 May28 Apr26 (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
YOU SPLIT TENS Aug25 Aug06 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.00 16% 5.10    
PRINCE OF LUCK Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Sep17 Sep03 (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
FAMOUS ROCK STAR Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 6.00    
 
EMD-6   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSY PAYNTER Aug10 Dec17 Dec09 Sep24 Sep16 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 123 4.00    
ROLINGA Aug13 Jul21 Jun18 Apr29 Apr03 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
KERRALIA Aug20 Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 May21 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 123 3.50    
PARTY POLICE Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 May27 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00    
WILLING TO BURN Aug20 Jul22 Jul03 Sep10 Aug27 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
CRAZY ABOUT YOU Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 4.50 10% 8.80    
DODROPIN Aug20 Aug05 Jun11 Jun04 May21 (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 15.00    
BLOWING BAYOU Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun23 Sep17 (abrahamson m)OROZCO E 123 20.00    
 
EMD-7   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PICK YOUR BID Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 15.00    
POLACCO Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 May28 May06 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00    
HOLIDAY HUSTLE Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
MIRROR IMAGE Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 May20 Mar19 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.00    
D K'S CROWN Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 May29 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
NEW EVERY MORNING Aug11 Jul29 Jun25 Jun16 May29 (gibson vince)RADKE K 125 4.50    
 
EMD-8   09/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-11:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW STEW Jul29 Jul02 May14 Apr24 Mar14 (toye joe)RADKE K 121 15.00    
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Jul14 Jul01 May20 Apr21 Mar17 (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
YOGYA Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 May29 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
DRIVEWAY Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE SAID MY WAY Aug13 Jul14 Jun24 Mar27 Feb04 (johnston kimber)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
SCR  I AM YOURS Aug13 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 Jul30 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
SAILING IN Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 12.00    
SAINT SISTA Jul29 Jun29 Jun08 May18 May11 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.50    
 
EMD-9   09/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NADITA Jul16 Sep18 Sep10 Jul15 Jun28 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 15.00 16% 5.50    
NOW SAY SO Aug12 Jul30       (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 125 20.00    
HAUGHTY KITTY Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May27   (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 1.40 28% 2.60    
BABY MARTINI Aug12 Jul28 Jul21 Jul03   (navarro jose)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00    
SCR  VANDULIE Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 5.00    
GOIN' COASTAL Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
CLASSY CANDY Jun24 Apr23 Mar19 Feb19   (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
MALICE TOWARD NONE Jul28 Jul16 Jun24     (troiani ni)ORANTES R 116 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.