Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/8/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/8/2)-(4/2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2)-(4/2/7/1)-(5/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(5/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/1)-(5/1/4/2)-(6/10/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(6/10/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(6/10/5/8)-(9/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/8)-(6/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/8)-(6/10/5/8)-(6/10/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/5/8)-(9/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (9/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/5)-(9/10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10/5)-(9/10/5)-(9/10/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN SMILE Aug09 Jul06 Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 (granitz anth)RAMOS D 119 15.00 11% 7.80    
2  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Aug15 Aug05 Jul21 Jul12 Jun13 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 8.00    
3  INDAWIN Jun29 May23 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
4  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Aug09 Jul12 Jun24 May29 May11 (hammond)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
5  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Aug03 Jul09 Jun13 Apr26 Nov22 (reid r)PRESCOTT R 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  AMAZING GAL Aug05 Jun27 May29 Nov14 Oct29 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
7  OCELIA Aug09 Jun06 Apr19 Nov23 Nov01 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY ASSETS Aug15 Aug02 Jul15 Dec17 Oct29 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00    
SCR  BLOW SUM SMOKE Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 May24 Apr28 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 4.00    
 
IND-2   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKIE O'PRADO Jul13 Jun20 Jun07 May22 May11 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 15.00    
2  CONQUERED Jul19 Jun15 May22 May06 Oct29 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 110 6.00    
3  CHISEL Jun21 Jun07 May17 May09   (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00    
4  WHOSFORJUSTICE Aug11 Jun24 Jun13 May24 May03 (hammond)DE CRUZ 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
5  HOMERUNHAPPY Aug15 Jul13       (wohlers laur)RAMOS D 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
6  BAD BOY GEIST Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 May30 May03 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00 9% 10.10    
7  ROCKET DOCKET Aug11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul19 Jun29 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 8.00    
 
IND-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA'S RANSOM         (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FULL RANSOM by FULL MANDATE)
SCR  STONE'S THROW         (harty eoi)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SO FAR by A.P. INDY)
3  CATS BY FIVE Aug11         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CATTICUS by ATTICUS)
4  TAP VALLEY Jun30         (morse l)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASHCONSIDERATIONS by SUPER SAVER)
5  AIR CAV         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MITOLE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  CASH ONLY         (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of YOU BOUGHT HER by GRAEME HALL)
SCR  CORSO'S PICK         (o'neill doug)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DUDE FANTASY by FIRST DUDE)
8  NUEVO AMANECER Aug13 Jul21 Jun23 Jun06 May11 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
IND-4   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Jul03 Jun10 May23 May11 Feb11 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 4.50    
2  CORIMA Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 May17 May02 (jurado lui)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SURLEY Nov23 Oct27 Oct13 May09 Apr27 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00 ★    
4  PUMPITUPJUSTICE Jul03 May29 Apr25 Nov17 Oct31 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 115 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  NEVER TO MANY HUGS Jul18 Jul03 Jun10 May29 May15 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 3.50    
6  SHINY SHOES Aug20 Aug01 Jul16 Dec09 Nov21 (jones s)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 20.00    
7  WRAPPINJUSTICE Aug11 Jul18 Jun27 May31 Nov03 (haran john)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 6.00    
8  TWIRLING JUSTICE Jul03 May06 Oct29 Aug02 Jul04 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 115 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
IND-5   08/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON DAZE Aug10 Jul05 Jun14 Nov14 Oct19 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 7% 13.60    
2  TIZZY JUSTICE Aug10 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May15 (medina tomas)RAMOS D 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  EMPIRE SUNRISE Aug10 Aug01 May17 Nov14 Oct29 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 20.00    
4  CIERRA EMPIRE Aug10 Jul20 Jul08 Jun06 May25 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  SHESACLEVERJUSTICE Aug22 Aug10 Jul18 May17 Oct29 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
6  BICKERMENTS Aug22 Jul20 Jul11 May17 May09 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
7  SHEZA NUT Aug10 Jul20 Jun27 Jun10 May10 (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 118 4.00 10% 9.10    
8  NORA'S STAR Aug10 Jul20 Jun20 May17 Mar23 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 5.00    
 
IND-6   08/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 May24 May09 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
  (by GIO PONTI out of RING RING RING by PETIONVILLE)
2  FOREVER LASTING Aug15 Aug03 May29 May08   (garcia )DE CRUZ 117 10.00 9% 10.70    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MI TIA by MI SELECTO)
3  LOONY Aug05 Jun13 May30 Nov22 Nov09 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ALTERNATE PRIZE by ALTERNATION)
4  GOLDEN RAPPER Aug15 Jun24 Jun13 May24 Nov09 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00 17% 4.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOO HOT TO TANGO by MATCHLITE)
5  HITCHPIN Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May23 May10 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by TEXAS RED out of COLOR ME SPECIAL by RIVER SPECIAL)
6  BUCKLE UP Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 May10 Apr19 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SMART KIT by KITALPHA)
7  MAS ORO Aug05 Jul20 Jun08 May24 May09 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  PAIGE PERFECT Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 Jun13   (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of PAIGES PEBBLE by STALWART)
 
IND-7   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNTOLIVE         (wohlers la)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 2.50    
2  PARLAY CHARLIE Aug12 Aug01 Jun29     (livers charl)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00    
3  DESPERATE TIMES Aug10         (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
4  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Jun15   (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 6.00    
5  ANORIA Aug19 Aug01 Jul12 Jun08 May27 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 120 4.00 6% 15.90    
6  MAYLEN         (leonard geor)RAMOS D 120 8.00 41% 1.40    
7  EURCOOL Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun10 (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 15.00    
8  GIGI'S WORLD Aug19         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BEEN REAL BUSY Jul16         (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
10  PRINCESS MITOLE Aug01 Jun15 May27     (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
IND-8   08/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BINGE Jun20 May22 May03 Jun09 May04 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00    
SCR  FORT LOWELL Apr13 Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 20.00    
3  BERN N ASH Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 Sep22 (dunn d)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
4  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Jul14 Jun17 May06     (miller kenny)RAMOS D 118 6.00    
5  HUNTERTOWN Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May13 Apr27 (hernand)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLOCKED Jul13 Jun10 Mar18 Aug26 Aug07 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
7  LIBERTANGO Jun20 Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 Jan13 (catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
8  GHENT Aug11 Jun20 Mar09 Feb10 Dec28 (hamilton sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
9  NEW YEAR'S FEVER Aug05 Jul05 May22 Apr27 Sep30 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
10  GRAND HIDEAWAY Aug02 Jul19 May28 Mar30 Dec17 (reid davi)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Aug02 Jun29 May17 Apr25 Dec28 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 115 30.00    
SCR  GOODASIWONSWAS Oct20 Oct03       (warpool shane)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.