Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (1/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May23 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
SOUP SPOON Jul31 Jun16 Jun01     (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
JAMAICAN JIMMY Jul11 Jun06 Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
JUNGLE TIGRESS Jul18 Jul06 Jun16 May26 Sep17 (ceccato )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 6.00    
C BY THE SEA Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 Oct24 Oct03 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
 
FE-2   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BIZ Jul10 Jun27 Nov25 Oct17 Sep27 (humber)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
BEND IN THE RIVER Jul24 Jun17 Jun02 Apr14 Mar30 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
NAVAL OFFICER Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 May14 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
FOREST SELECTION Jul10 Jun27 May30 May01 Feb14 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 6.00    
GUNZIG STINGER Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 May23 Aug08 (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
RADCLIFFE Jul24 Jun18 May30 Apr30 Nov25 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
 
FE-3   08/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL GREEN MACHINE Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun12 (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 6.00 40% 1.50    
DR CHAPPELL Jul21 Jul06 Nov11 Oct24 Aug04 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 8.00    
SENSIBLE PORTIONS Aug01 Jul18 Oct24 Sep19 Aug08 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
UNBRIDLED INFERNO Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 Nov25 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 8.00    
STRONG ATTITUDE Jul24 Jul10 Oct11 Aug30 Aug08 (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 May14 Apr23 (capi m)SINGH S 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
DIMMI QUANDO Jul24 Jul16 Jun27 Jun13 May05 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
SYNCHROMESH Aug01 Jul18 Oct03 Sep27 Aug29 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FE-4   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBZERO PLUS Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
FANCYSOUL Jul25 Jun26 Mar31 Mar05 Jan28 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
AWILDAS TREASURE Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun12 Jun06 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 3.00    
MONASTERY LANE Jul25 Jun15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct11 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
MIDNIGHT MEADOW Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 Jun01 May19 (chubb be)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 15.00    
BORN TO BE GOOD Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May30 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
FE-5   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE BREW Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 55% 0.80    
BODIE Aug05 Jun16 May26 Nov27 Nov06 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 May23 May09 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
SEVEN IS A BREEZE Jul24 Jun18 Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00    
MORNING THOUGHTS Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun16 May14 (voyce )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
MAYITO Aug03 Jun15 May23 May14 Apr30 (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ONE MORE RING Jul24 Jul11 Jun12 May23 May07 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
 
FE-6   08/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAY'S ROSIE Jul31 Jul16 Jun29     (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUMOURS FLY Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 May07 Dec09 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
WICKEN CENTS Jul31 Jul16 May30 Oct24 Oct10 (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEA'S SUNSHINE Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13   (albu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 10.00    
LADY OF THE FORT Jul31 Jul25 Jul16 Jun12 Jul26 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
LIGHTS AND SIRENS Jul31 Jul16 Sep20 Aug16   (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
TANGERINE TWIST Jul31 Jul16 Jul04 May30 Jul19 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
SAGED ENERGY Jul31 Jul16       (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 12.00    
LIGHTNING MARIE Jul31 Jul16 Jun13 Sep12   (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.