Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
EMD-8   WIN (8/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-10   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMDEN HIGH Jul23 Jul07 Jun16 May29 May13 (morris michael )CRUZ M 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  LASSIE CAT Jul14 Jun24 May29 Sep10 Aug06 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jul21 Jun17 Jun03 May27 May14 (crowe shelly)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
4  SETTLER'S COVE Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May14 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 10.00    
5  LA POPIS Jul07 Jun16 May29 Sep10 Aug20 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 1.80 30% 2.30    
6  GUNNHILD Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May29 May13 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 6.00    
 
EMD-2   08/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST PROMISE Jun25 Apr08 Mar11 Feb07 Jan25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 1.60 56% 0.80    
2  ABOVE THE STARS Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May27 May13 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  BLOWING BAYOU Jul08 Jun23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 (abrahamson m)ZACHERLE LOUIS 123 15.00    
4  FEATHER INTHE WIND Jul08 Jun10 Jun04 May14 Sep17 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
5  LAKER JET Jun24 Jun11 Oct15 Sep18 Sep10 (bean rober)ORANTES R 118 20.00    
6  FLYIN BY Jul16 Jun16 May21 Apr05 Feb25 (johnston kimber)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
EMD-3   08/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAX CODE Jun17 May27 May13 Sep03 Jun18 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 125 1.80 67% 0.50    
2  SMILING GOODBYE Jul23 Jun25 May28 Mar14 Feb28 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50    
3  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jul09 Jun25 May28 Apr26 Apr15 (kereluk edward)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jul23 Jun25 Jun10 Sep03 Aug14 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50    
5  MISSED THE BOAT Jul23 Jun25 Jun17 Sep09 Aug26 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 123 4.50 6% 14.80    
 
EMD-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESERVOIR Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May14 Apr21 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  WESTERN DREAM Jul23 Jun11 May14 Jul24   (cryderman s)RADKE K 125 4.50    
3  SCATALICIOUS Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 May14 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEENSBORO Jul14 Jul01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 (freeman v)BOWEN ROCCO 125 6.00    
SCR  STICKINITTOTHEMAN Jul01 Jun10 May27 May13 Sep02 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
6  MARY WALKER Jul16 Jun24 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
EMD-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Jul30 Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 (bean rober)ORANTES R 116 20.00    
2  SEVENTH HOUSE Jul09 Jun23 Sep18 Aug21   (essex charles)RADKE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Jul09 Jun16 May27 May13 Apr16 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  SUBITO SLEW May28 Aug28 Aug04 Jul04 Jun19 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 125 15.00    
5  OUR HY ROLLER Jul15         (baze robert)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
6  STREET MOGUL Jun09 May19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 (soranno jill)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00    
7  MR. BUGS Jul15 Jul01       (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
8  ELEGANT PREACHER         (freeman scot)OROZCO E 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
EMD-6   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAGO DE ORO Jul08 Jun04 May13 Aug26 Aug12 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00    
2  BAROSSA Jul02 Jun09 May21 May06 Apr17 (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  JEDI KNIGHT Jul28 Jul02 Jan27 Jan14 Nov19 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 123 6.00    
4  YOU SPLIT TENS Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 May21 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  GOLD CRUSHER Jul28 Jul08 Jun23 Jun02 May01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50    
6  COBRA JET Jul08 Jun17 May28 Jan10 Dec21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
EMD-7   08/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER BEGONE Jul09 Jun25       (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 15.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of COPY BEGONE by DEMON WARLOCK)
2  BOURBON DANCER Jul09 Jun18       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BAYERN out of BAUHAUS BOURBON by BEHRENS)
3  MR. EXECUTIVE Jul09 Jun18       (wright blaine)NEGRON LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CHARMER LO by GIROLAMO)
4  FREIGHTLINE Jul22 Jul09 Jun18     (bullock steve)CRUZ M 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT RAIDER by TOUGH KNIGHT)
5  WHISKEY HARBOR Jul09 Jun25       (harwood m)RADKE K 120 1.00 50% 1.00    
  (by RISE UP out of RUBY ROMANCE by GRINDSTONE)
 
EMD-8   08/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARFRONT FIGHTER Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 May28 May14 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50    
2  UPPER ROOM Jul03 Jun09 May29 May21 Apr24 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 17% 4.70    
3  QUIET CHARM Jul03 Jun18 May21 Feb25 Feb12 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAHI MAHI Jul03 Jun09 May21 Apr08 Feb16 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 12.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  J T'S A. T. M. Jul15 Jun10 May28 Apr26 Apr04 (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.00    
SCR  OUR EMPIRE Jul15 Jun18 May29 May14 Mar11 (bozell alan)NEGRON LUIS 125 15.00    
7  PICK YOUR BID Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun09 (chattong vichien)RADKE K 123 15.00    
8  D K'S CROWN Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
EMD-9   08/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEISSA Jul29 Jul09       (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 120 5.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
2  APPEAL FACTOR Jul09         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
3  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Jul09 Jun17       (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PATH TO POWER by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  SPECIAL DIVA Jul08 Jun17       (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
5  SHE'S A KRAKEN Jul15         (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of DEJA VIEWS by FOREST CAMP)
6  BOURBON TIGER Jul09 Jun17       (wright blaine)ENRIQUEZ D 120 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SPRING AGAIN by SKY MESA)
7  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jul23 Jul09       (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 15.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of FREE OF HEART by FREE AT LAST (GB))
 
EMD-10   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASIAN RAIN Jul22 Jul14 Dec11 Nov27 Jun18 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Jul16 Mar08 Jan30 Dec26 Dec10 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.00    
3  MISO FAST Jul22 Jul14 Jun18 Jun09 May29 (silva-martinez)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.50    
4  MOJAVE (GB) Jul22 Jun25 Jun10 May29 May14 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
5  DENNARD Jul03 Jun09 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRONY BOY Jun18 May29 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
7  SPIRE Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.