Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/5/1)-(7/8/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/8/5/2)-(3/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/2)-(3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/2)-(3/5/1/7)-(1/11/2/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-4   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(1/11/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/7)-(1/11/2/7/5)-(2/6/4/9/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/11/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/2/7/5)-(1/11/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/2/7/5)-(1/11/2/7/5)-(1/11/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/11/2/7/5)-(2/6/4/9/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/11/2/7/5)-(2/6/4/9/3)-(4/6/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
EMD-6   WIN (2/6/4/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/9/3)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/9/3)-(4/6/3)-(3/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/7)-(3/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/7)-(3/5/8/7)-(3/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LITTLE GRACE Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May14 (dronen sam)RADKE K 121 6.00    
2  DAREDEVIL PRINCESS Jul21 Jul01 May21 Apr07 Mar24 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
3  SHESRSECRETWEAPON Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 May28 May14 (jenne bonnie)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
4  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jul23 Jul03 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  LONSDALEITE Jul09 Jun18 Oct15 Oct08 Sep03 (bean rober)ORANTES R 118 20.00    
6  CALYPSO PRINCESS Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May14 Aug22 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 119 8.00    
SCR  NOMI LACKEE Jul08 May06 Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 121 4.00    
 
EMD-2   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHEATWAVE Jul03 Jun16 Jun03 May05 Apr18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  CIELO DIAMANTE Jul07 May28 May20 Apr15 Mar25 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 8% 12.00    
3  KERRALIA Jul03 Jun10 May21 Sep03 Aug05 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 123 8.00    
4  DODROPIN Jun11 Jun04 May21 May13 Apr24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 10.00    
5  SQUARE FOOTAGE Jul16 Jun18 May28 Apr05 Mar14 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  MO CONNELLY Jul03 Jun16 Jun04 May28 Mar06 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  HEART RIVER Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 Apr18 Mar19 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 6.00    
 
EMD-3   08/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALORESE Jul22         (patino faust)OROZCO E 120 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
2  VICTOR ALY Jul09         (cryderman s)RADKE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD ALY out of EMERALDCITY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  DYNAMIC SECRET         (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of BAY STREET BEAUTY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SCR  MR. EXECUTIVE Jul09 Jun18       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CHARMER LO by GIROLAMO)
5  MINER LEAGUE Jul22         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SUBTLE STEP by SMART STRIKE)
6  CHANCELLORS BOOM         (gibson vince)CRUZ M 120 12.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
7  KNIGHTLINE Jul22         (gibson f)BOWEN ROCCO 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
8  MOKKI Jul09 Jun25       (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 2.50 10% 9.40    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of HETTY by CAHILL ROAD)
 
EMD-4   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENNY THE JET Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Sep11 Aug26 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 Jun19 May28 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 125 12.00    
3  SOCAL RED Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr01 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  PROUD LION Jul22 Jul09 Jul01 May06 Sep11 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 15.00    
5  BEL RAGAZZO Jul07 Jun17 May28 Apr26 Apr03 (gabriel med)RADKE K 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  FREESTONE Jul07 Jun16 May29 Apr03 Mar08 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 5.00    
7  THIRSTY KISS Jul22 Jul08 Jul03 May27 May13 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  RAAJIN RIBBON Jul16 Jun24 Jun09 May21 May13 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
 
EMD-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZEN GRAZEN Nov20 Oct30 Sep25 Aug21   (markle dan)CRUZ M 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  FED GRANT         (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
3  ELUSIVE GOLD         (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00    
4  BAILS HIM OUT         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
5  PIRATE RED         (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PETER FLIES         (lawrence heath)ZUNINO L 121 20.00    
7  TIGER TOO Jul22 Jul02       (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CINDER ZEE         (bozell alan)NEGRON LUIS 121 15.00    
9  RAFIKKI Sep17 Aug28 Aug18     (patino faust)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
10  PEDAL TO THE METAL Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 Sep02   (boyd preston)RUIZ G 125 20.00    
11  ITS KRAKEN TIME Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May13 Sep18 (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
EMD-6   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLEN Jul07 Jun24 May13 Apr24 Mar25 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 20.00    
2  SEVEN SISTERS Jul22 Jul03 May28 Mar01 Feb15 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  RED PANTY NIGHT Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 Jun03 May21 (bullene michael)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Jul07 Jun24 Jun18 May06 Apr12 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  HEAT SEEKING LETA Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 May28 Feb26 (dronen sam)RADKE K 125 4.00    
6  MEAN SHARON Jul22 Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 5.00 19% 4.40    
7  BELLE MY BELLE Jun18 Mar18 Feb27 Feb04 Jan09 (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 125 20.00    
8  DANCE LADY Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 May21 Apr24 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
9  MISS AGGIE BLING Jul07 May13 Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 125 5.00 8% 11.50    
 
EMD-7   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIC SAMARAI Jul09 Jun17 May20 Apr10 Mar11 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.00    
2  GOAT ROCKS Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May29 May14 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
3  STARRY BEACH Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 May14 Aug19 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ME GUSTA LUNA Jul02 Jun18 May20     (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 1.80 48% 1.10    
5  DISTINCTIVE DEB Jul14 Jun24 Jul17     (boyd preston)RUIZ G 121 20.00    
6  DONNE CATTIVE Jul01 Jun11 May14 Jul10 Jun26 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
EMD-8   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OXBOW PARK Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Sep18 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 125 8.00    
2  BOB'S SNIPER Jul22 Apr16 Mar25 Jan07 Dec17 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 5.00    
3  ZACCHEUS Jul14 Jul03 Jun23 Jun04 May21 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  LOCHNESS Jul22 Jun25 Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 6.00    
5  CODE CHARLIE Jul14 Jun25 Jun09 Sep17 Aug06 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 33% 2.10    
6  PRINCE OF LUCK Jul23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug07 (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00    
7  DUSALUT Jul08 May14 Apr12 Mar20 Feb25 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 May20 (garcia j)AGUILAR JEIRO 125 10.00 6% 16.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.