Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
GF-2   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/7/3/5)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GF-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-6   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
GF-7   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-1   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOPY DUDE Jul15 Jun17 Jun09 May21 May07 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LOOPETY LOO by AFLEET ALEX)
2  QUALITY GRANDSON Jul15 Jul01 Jun09 May27 Sep18 (meineke)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00    
  (by LINCHPIN out of JUDICATURE by TRIBUNAL)
3  PATS RIO GRAY         (lawren)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by SNOWBOUND RIO out of PATS LIL GRAY by LIT DE JUSTICE)
4  GEBO Jul16 Jun16 May21 May14 May06 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  PINE COVE Jul15 Apr23 Feb12 Dec31   (birdrattler nat)GERVAIS M 122 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DADDY'S DIVA by SCAT DADDY)
6  MARGOT Apr30 Mar14 Feb14 Jan15 Dec17 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00    
  (by KABORI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
GF-2   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Jul16 Jun16 May20 May06 Nov20 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 55% 0.80    
2  TOM'S MOON Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr15 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
3  DREAMED IT Jul16 Jul31 Jan16     (reevis)BIRDRATTLER E 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAJUN FIRE Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 Feb10 Jan07 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 4.50    
5  BERACUDA HEART Jul16 Jul31 Jul29     (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN Jul16 Jul31 Jul29 Jul23 Jul17 (birdrattler tim)CALVA R 126 8.00    
7  PALACEDANCER Jul16 May21 May20 May14 May07 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  OAKDALE ROAD Jul16 Jun04 May21 Jan09 Dec09 (meineke jessica)LARSEN S 122 6.00    
 
GF-3   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUIN MAGIC Jul08 Jun25 Apr11 Mar14 Feb19 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00 28% 2.50    
2  PREDICATION Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May20 Sep11 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 7.00 10% 9.30    
3  NUMMY NUM Jul15 May21 May14 May06 Mar25 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 2.50    
4  FLUSHING FLASH Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May21 May19 (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 4.00    
5  IMA CARPE DIEM Jul15 May21 May06 Mar25 Mar05 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
GF-4   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP C/G PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTA WAVERLY Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May12 Apr12 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
2  THE BONDSMAN Jul15 Jun17 May29 May06 Jun25 (cross p)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DARKSABER May13 Apr25 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 (birdrattler terra)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  SAN GIORGIO Jul16 Jun25 Jun09 May29 May14 (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  MAXIMUS THE GREAT Jul15 Jun25 Jun18 Jun16 May29 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 2.00    
6  TWO SOCKS MAC Jul15 Jul09 Jul02 May13 May06 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 121 6.00    
 
GF-5   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO ADMIRAL GO Jul16 Mar06 Feb26 Feb18 Feb09 (burd marci)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00    
2  SCOOTER'S BOY Jul16 Jun25 Jun16 May29 May20 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 6.00    
3  DEVIL'S TEETH Jun11 May27 Apr11 Mar25 Feb26 (depew )BIRDRATTLER E 126 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  GOTTA LOVE IKE Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May27 May06 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  SPORTY FLYER Jul15 May21 May13 May06 Apr21 (lawrence )IRONEYES R 121 4.00    
6  TEXAS LONG BOW Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May29 May14 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
GF-6   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINADAVINA Jul16 Oct09 Jul30 Jul29 Jul23 (birdra)BIRDRATTLER E 126 9.00 5% 19.00    
2  SERENGETI SIX Jul16 May27 Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 (lawrence )IRONEYES R 121 8.00    
3  HADLEYS CHARM Jul15 Jul31 Jul29 Jul24 Jul17 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
4  TOOTIE Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 May18 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  MAGIC IN A HAT Jul15 Jun18 Jun09 May21 May19 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 8% 10.80    
6  MALIBU ROSE Jul16 Jun10 May20 May14 May07 (meineke jessica)LARSEN S 126 10.00    
7  BAD OUTLOOK Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Mar31 Mar10 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 1.40 52% 0.90    
 
GF-7   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRINEE Jul15 Jun04 Apr14 Mar24 Mar12 (cross p)LARSEN S 126 3.00    
2  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul16 Jun18 May21 May14 Apr24 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 1.40 34% 2.00    
3  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Jul15 Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 Jul29 (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 10.00    
4  STERN May20 May14 Apr02 Mar17 Feb12 (lawrence jo)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  HAYNESPUN Jul16 Jun16 May28 May14 May07 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 121 3.50    
6  MISTY MATT Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 May02 Apr03 (depew j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 16% 5.30    
7  FOREST SONG Jul16 Jul31 Jul24 Jun26 May22 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 9.00 6% 14.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.